CME Fedwatch has 48% Chance of at Least Four Hikes in 2018. Inversion When?

Deutsche Bank research suggests the yield curve will invert in 2019. I suggest sooner if the Fed hikes 4 times.

The inversion chart came in a Tweet. I do not have a link to the analysis.

If the Fed gets in 4 hikes this year, I would expect the curver to invert sooner. CME Fedwatch shows a nearly 50% chance of at least four hikes.

It's also possible the economy falls to pieces and the next move is a cut. Under that scenario, inversion may be a long time coming.

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