by Mish

Former Prime Minister Alain Juppe is extending his lead over former President Nicolas Sarkozy in their battle for the 2017 presidential nomination of France’s Republican party, a poll showed.
Juppe is the preferred candidate of 39 percent of voters who identify as being on the right or center of the political spectrum, compared with 31 percent for Sarkozy, according to an Ifop poll published Sunday in Le Journal du Dimanche. That’s a lead of eight percentage points, up from six percentage points two months ago.
The survey is the latest to show Juppe’s lead widening in the vote that will be held in two rounds, on Nov. 20 and Nov. 27. Even so, the Ifop poll shows that Juppe’s support comes largely from voters who identify with centrist parties instead of from Republicans themselves. All voters are eligible to vote in the primary provided they sign a statement saying they believe in the values of the right and center and contribute 2 euros ($2.20) to the cost of the balloting.
The victor of the primary will go on to run in France’s 2017 presidential election, which will be held in two rounds in April and May.

Hollande Still Hoping

Hollande still has not dropped out of the running for the socialist party. The left looks to get crushed in both the preliminary rounds and the final round.


French president Francois Hollande and Jean-Luc Mélenchon rate to splinter the Left vote. The result rates to be a match-up between Marine le Pen and her National Front party, and the winner of the Republican match between Nicolas Sarkozy and Alain Juppé.

Polls show Sarkozy or Juppé would beat Le Pen in the second round. Le Pen matches best against Hollande but would only get 46% of the vote. The only candidates Hollande might beat are Le Pen and Sarkozy.

Plenty can happen between now and the 2017 election.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock

Stellar Performance by Marine Le Pen on 60 Minutes

Marine le Pen put in a stellar performance on 60 Minutes on Sunday. Le pen came across as very presidential. The interview, in French but translated, is sure to boost her standing in the French presidential election on May 7.

Can Marine Le Pen Pull Off French Election Stunner? Germany a Loser No Matter Who Wins?

Conventional wisdom suggests National Front candidate Marine le Pen will make it to the second round in French elections, then lose in a landslide to whoever her opponent happens to be.

Marine Le Pen’s Eurosceptic “National Front” Party Takes Lead in France National Poll

Given the extreme economic mess socialist president Francois Hollande has made in France, it should not be too shocking to discover a surge in the popularity of the National Front, a far-right, eurosceptic political party led by Marine Le Pen.

Path to Le Pen Victory: What Would It Take? Ni-Ni?

Recent opinion polls for round two of the French election on May 7 show Emanuel Macron with 59-60% and Marine Le Pen 40-41%.

Pollsters Get One Right: Macron and Le Pen Square Off in Round Two as Expected

Emanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen will square off in round two of the French elections as most expected.

Marine Le Pen's National Rally Ahead of Macron in European Parliament Elections

An Ifop poll shows Marine Le Pen's National Rally party is ahead of French President Macron's En Marche in EP elections.

France First: Marine Le Pen Speech Interrupted by Cheers “France! France!”

In response to Trump’s “America First” policy, can anyone blame citizens in other countries for insisting upon the same?

Le Pen Calls for “Europe of Nations”, Blasts EU as “the Problem”

Striking back at the nannycrats who want “more Europe” including a “superstate”, French presidential candidate Marine le Pen instead seeks a “Europe of Nations”.

Favorability Ratings: Clinton vs. Trump, Hollande vs. Le Pen vs. Sarkozy

The favorability ratings of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are the worst ever in US politics. However, those ratings pale in comparison to the negativity in French politics.