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Excess Deaths State-by-State

Range of Excess Deaths by State 2020-01-22

The CDC provides Excess Deaths Associated with COVID-19

Excess deaths are typically defined as the difference between the observed numbers of deaths in specific time periods and expected numbers of deaths in the same time periods. 

Data are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction and cause of death

The CDC gives a range of 365,918 to 492,450. 

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According to Worldometers, the current death count is 423,016. 

Covid-Related Deaths

The true Covid-related death count is closer to 500,000 especially given the time lag. 

The excess death total captures under-diagnosis (someone died without ever having a positive test) and the indirect impacts on the healthcare system such as filled hospitals, ambulance delays, medical equipment shortages, and staff shortages.

Such counts are undoubtedly small in comparison to direct Covid deaths.