There has been some flattening of the curves as well as an interesting but not unexpected development: Hospitalizations lag cases and deaths lag hospitalizations.

The latter is more reliable as the former is a function of the number of tests. But tests or not, if people get sick enough, they go to the hospital and a portion of them will die.

It is the hospitalization trend that matters most.

I may work on a hospitalization chart next as the Covid Tracking Projects recently added new data items including ICU cases and current vs total hospitalizations.

It is current hospitalizations and ICU data that I believe will predict the trend of future deaths.

The Covid Tracking Project does a brilliant job even though it is hard for me to keep up with format changes.

On Ventilators in New Jersey

A Word About Masks

Testing Stepping Up

More tests is a good thing.

Sobering Situation

Important Thread on Antibody Tests

Overwhelmed Hospitals

Sad to say we have overwhelmed hospitals.

Deaths in the Netherlands

The same is undoubtedly happening in Sweden, Italy, India, and even the US, but especially China.


No one in their right mind believes data from China.

Comment of the Day

I still have people emailing and even commenting on my website that this is No Worse Than the Flu™ .

I have had enough of this nonsense. Hospitals are overflowing and short of ventilators.

Forget about Sweden, or better yet compare Sweden to Trump's early comments about the US.

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By any chance does anyone recall Trump's proclamation: "We have 15 cases soon to be zero"?

Check it out. 15 soon to be zero is now over 30,000 cases and 7,000 deaths.

Global Coronavirus Cases

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Price of Ignorance

There is a price to be paid for ignorance, and the US is paying it now.

New York is US ground zero today.

Ground zero tomorrow will come in states where foolish governors did too little, too late.

Yet, despite the obvious trends, foolish people still persist with nonsensical this is No Worse Than the Flu™ comparisons.

If by some miracle, things turns out better than the current path we seem to be on, it will only be due to the measures we take today, not because fools spreading fake news have any idea what they are talking about.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Covid Tracking Project and Tweets of the Day

Fortunately, we see a change in the slope of hospitalizations and deaths for the better.

Covid Tracking Project: How Long to 1 Million US Cases?

The Covid Tracking Project offers data downloads. I created the above chart from their data.

Tweets of the Day: Human to Dog Infections

Latest coronavirus news: human to dog transmission, emergency declarations, real time tracking in Singapore, more ...

Coronavirus Update and Tweets of the Day

Tweets of the Day: Expensive Words, Death Rate Comparison, Containment, Forward Guidance, and Trump Says

Coronavirus Update and Tweets of the Day

US schools shut, more Princess Cruise Ship disasters, Huge hotel cancellations, airline index plunge.

Coronavirus Update and Tweets of the Day

As expected, an increased number of tests in the West led to an increased number of cases in the US and elsewhere.

Tweets of the Day: More Trump Narcissism and Incompetence

When asked about the coronavirus Trump responded that he "broke all ratings records" on Fox News.

Coronavirus Tweets of the Day

Here's some interesting Tweets from the elbow bump to long 21-day quarantines to deaths to toilet paper thefts.

Coronavirus Global Update and Tweets of the Day

People in 5 States with 23% of the US are under stay home orders as the number of cases jumps 25% in a day.