There has been some flattening of the curves as well as an interesting but not unexpected development: Hospitalizations lag cases and deaths lag hospitalizations.
The latter is more reliable as the former is a function of the number of tests. But tests or not, if people get sick enough, they go to the hospital and a portion of them will die.
It is the hospitalization trend that matters most.
I may work on a hospitalization chart next as the Covid Tracking Projects recently added new data items including ICU cases and current vs total hospitalizations.
It is current hospitalizations and ICU data that I believe will predict the trend of future deaths.
The Covid Tracking Project does a brilliant job even though it is hard for me to keep up with format changes.
On Ventilators in New Jersey
A Word About Masks
Testing Stepping Up
More tests is a good thing.
Important Thread on Antibody Tests
Sad to say we have overwhelmed hospitals.
Deaths in the Netherlands
The same is undoubtedly happening in Sweden, Italy, India, and even the US, but especially China.
No one in their right mind believes data from China.
Comment of the Day
I still have people emailing and even commenting on my website that this is No Worse Than the Flu™ .
I have had enough of this nonsense. Hospitals are overflowing and short of ventilators.
Forget about Sweden, or better yet compare Sweden to Trump's early comments about the US.
By any chance does anyone recall Trump's proclamation: "We have 15 cases soon to be zero"?
Check it out. 15 soon to be zero is now over 30,000 cases and 7,000 deaths.
Global Coronavirus Cases
Price of Ignorance
There is a price to be paid for ignorance, and the US is paying it now.
New York is US ground zero today.
Ground zero tomorrow will come in states where foolish governors did too little, too late.
Yet, despite the obvious trends, foolish people still persist with nonsensical this is No Worse Than the Flu™ comparisons.
If by some miracle, things turns out better than the current path we seem to be on, it will only be due to the measures we take today, not because fools spreading fake news have any idea what they are talking about.
Mike "Mish" Shedlock