Please consider ‘You Pick the People Who Are Going to Die’.
Gov. Andrew Cuomo sounded his loudest alarm yet on New York's coronavirus crisis Tuesday, warning the curve was showing no signs of flattening out and was in fact rising faster and more dangerously than projected. He said last week that peak infection was 45 days out; now, he says, the state may see it in two weeks.
It looks like the wave will be bigger, and crash harder, than expected. "We have exhausted every option available to us," Cuomo said Tuesday, declaring with unprecedented urgency that New York needs help now — and far more than it has gotten to date.
"The apex is higher than we thought and the apex is sooner than we thought. That is a bad combination of facts," the governor said Tuesday. The rate of infection is doubling every three days. "We're not slowing it -- and it is accelerating on its own. We're not looking at a freight train. We're looking at a bullet train, because the numbers are going up that quickly."
New York state saw its case total hit 26,348 by Tuesday as the death toll climbed to 271. New York City has more than 15,500 cases alone, adding another more than 3,000 since Monday as its death toll surged to at least 192. The five boroughs now account for 60 percent of the state's total and about 35 percent of all cases in America.
Cuomo initially projected the state would need 110,000 hospital beds at the peak of the crisis. Now he believes New York will need up to 140,000 hospital beds. That's more than double current capacity. The intensive care situation is worse; the state has 3,000 ICU units and may need up to 40,000, Cuomo said.
"What are we going to do with 400 ventilators when we need 30,000? You pick the 26,000 people who are going to die because you only sent 400 ventilators," Cuomo said.
Western Country Cases
New York Cases Doubling Every Three Days
Both Italy and Spain are so short of supplies, both countries are deciding who get treatment and who doesn't.
Shortage of Supplies
The chart of acute care beds shows the dire setup for the United states.
We are short of beds and short of respirators.
That relatively few in the US have died (so far) from the coronavirus is not the issue.
When you run out of beds and respirators deaths soar.
Calling Next of Kin
Without enough ventilators, NYC doctors now calling next of kin to EXTUBATE (remove breathing tube) of low probability survivors to help save high chance survivors.
1 Million US Cases, By When?
For further discussion, please see 1 Million US Cases, By When?
Mike "Mish" Shedlock