An article on Policy Options claims the Facts Support Trump on NAFTA.

Based on the charts presented, it's is one of the silliest articles I have ever seen.

Inflation Adjusted Hourly Earnings

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In the US and Canada, real hourly earnings topped 18 years before NAFTA.

Auto Production

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US auto production peaked 19 years before NAFTA.

The article concludes: "Free-trade agreements will not be supported if they threaten people’s livelihoods."

I looked up Jordan Brennan, the author of that article.

He's an economist for Unifor, Canada’s largest private sector labour union.

The Real Deal

When your position necessitates having a certain view, that's the view you present even when your own charts show otherwise.

Manufacturing jobs are on the decline everywhere. The trend started long ago. It's called automation.

The Economist says "Manufacturing jobs have disappeared and they are not coming back in significant numbers."

The New York Times writes about the Mirage of a Return to Manufacturing Greatness.

The Slate correctly asserts Nothing Will Bring Back Manufacturing Employment.

"On net, global manufacturing employment declined from 1996-2006" says Slate.


The situation will get worse. Clothing is about to be automated and it will take millions of jobs with it.

Brennan and Trump are fighting a battle that cannot be won.

Jobs Not Coming Back

The Brennan bemoans the loss of jobs, but nothing will bring them back. He also bemoans wages but that is barking up the wrong tree as well.

Rising wages incentivize companies to automate. Cheap money from central banks makes financing easy.

Standards of Living

It is foolish to believe there is a benefit to paying more for something. But in general, that's what unions stand for.

If China or Mexico gave us cars for free we should take them. The same with solar panels from China.

When products are cheap, standards of living rise. That's the bottom line behind "fair trade" nonsense.

Trade War

Brennan practically screams for a trade war, but that's a Huge Mistake.

States like Michigan and Ohio pushed Trump over the top in his victory over Hillary, but bad policy is bad policy.

Clueless About Trade

Trump does not understand trade deficits or the folly of Tariffs.

Brennan can't. His position as economist for a large union would not let him come to the proper conclusion, even if he was capable.

For a mathematical explanation of trade deficits, please see Trump's Tariffs Show He's "Clueless About Trade".

Also consider Disputing Trump’s NAFTA “Catastrophe” with Pictures: What’s the True Source of Trade Imbalances?

Trump's trade policies are set to exacerbate the next global recession, but economic illiterates are egging him on.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Trump Threatens to Kill NAFTA if Congress Doesn't Approve His New Deal

“I will be formally terminating NAFTA shortly,” Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on his way home from Argentina

NAFTA is Dead: Trump Seeks Separate Agreements With Mexico and Canada

Trump proposes NAFTA by another name. But it won't look like NAFTA. He wants tailored bilateral trade agreements.

More Trump Foolishness: Trump Reaches Out to AFL-CIO for NAFTA Talks

Trump ignored business leaders and instead reached out to the AFL-CIO for advice on NAFTA and his infrastructure package

Opening Round NAFTA Fissures Over the Meaning of “Substantial”.

Trump is bound and determined to have his way in NAFTA negotiations whether or not anyone agrees with him. Ironically, not even the auto manufacturers do. The first round of negotiations, now underway, has hit a snag already. The meaning of “substantial” is in play.

Disputing Trump’s NAFTA “Catastrophe” with Pictures: What’s the True Source of Trade Imbalances?

President Trump and his trade czar, Peter Navarro, are moaning and groaning about NAFTA and the US trade imbalance with Mexico.

5th Round of NAFTA Talks Collapse: Who's to Blame? What's at Stake?

The 5th round of NAFTA talks between the US, Canada, and Mexico was a complete disaster. It's a lose, lose, lose setup.

Trumpian Hardball: Nowhere Close to NAFTA Deal but Progress in China

NAFTA negotiations are in jeopardy, but things are progressing better in China. The difference? China strikes back.

Killing the Trade Golden Goose: Farmers Rattled by Trump’s NAFTA Rescinding Plans

It’s fair to presume NAFTA is not the sole cause of the increase in trade, but it is also fair to presume that NAFTA helped.

If You Need to Be Somewhere, Get There Before You Can't

The closures of restaurants, bars, and gatherings is picking up steam. If you absolutely have to be someplace, go now.