Scott Adams Will Save the World
Adams has an excellent video on climate change.
He says that hockey stick graphs are "the most famous symbol of lying in the world".
Yet, if you think the video is an attack on science you are mistaken.
The video is not really about climate change at all. It's about persuasion and what it takes to get people to change their minds.
Both Sides Lying
Adams thinks, as do I, that both sides may be lying. Certainly, both sides overstate their case. The question is to what degree, and about what.
In the video, Adams states he genuinely is unconvinced about climate change science. So am I, even though it may not seem like like it.
What Does a Comic Writer Know?
So, what does Adams know about climate?
The same as me, perhaps a bit more or perhaps less, which is to say, not much, at least compared to climatologists. But I can smell lies. So can Adams.
Art of Persuasion
Adams knows a lot about persuasion. The Dilbert comic strip itself is about persuasion. Adams is a master of persuasion.
Adams points out that the tactics used to persuade the young and naive are not the same tactics that are needed to persuade older businessmen.
When 97% of people agree on something that is genuinely unknown or debatable, I am inclined to take the other side, as is Adams.
He gives many examples of strong agreement. Some of them are humorous.
In the economic world we see the same thing. Fed governors believe they know something for sure, but their models blow sky high all the time.
Climate Change Religion
Climate change has become a religion. That makes persuasion all the harder.
Adams asks an interesting question: What would it take to get you to change your mind?
What the Hell is NASA Hiding?
I know that I changed a few people's minds based on emails following my post Climate Change Religion and Related Cover-Ups: What the Hell Is NASA Hiding?
Adams didn't discuss data suppression but that is clearly another red flag.
For excellent commentary on the above comic strip, please see the Watts Up With That article ‘Mikes Nature Trick’ Revisited- @ScottAdamsSays edition.
My problem with WUWT and many other deniers is the site tends to cherry pick things out of articles, sometimes a bit out of context. But both sides do that.
Many confuse weather (what's happening now), with climate change that happens of millions of years.
Six Red Flags
Adams mentioned three red flags on climate change. I have at least three more to add.
- Hockey Stick Graph
- Prediction Models
- 97% agreement
- Suppressing or Hiding Data
- Changing the Data or the Data Sources
- Constantly changing the model to explain what's happening
Climate change scientists have been caught red-handed lying and manipulating data.
When data is not to their liking, the climatologists find another source, suppress the information, or change their model such that the model now predicts what just happened.
If you fail to spot these things, then you simply are not paying attention.
These things do not make the scientists wrong, but it does make them liars.
Play the Video
Please play Adam's excellent video start to finish. It will be 18 minutes well spent no matter what your climate position happens to be.
Once again, the video is not at all about climate change, it is really about persuasion and persuasion techniques.
New Green Deal
AOC wants to spend $100 trillion or so on a "New Green Deal"
I am open to changing my mind about climate. Most aren't.
But I have another angle that Adam's failed to mention.
The notion that politicians will do anything sensible about the problem seems ridiculous.
Mike "Mish" Shedlock