Ripple Impact

 High feed costs are rippling through supply chain to meat counters. Expect to  pay more for meat as Food Inflation Deepens.

The Covid-19 pandemic upended food supply chains, paralyzing shipping, sickening workers that keep the world fed and ultimately raising consumer grocery costs around the globe last year. Now farmers -- especially ones raising cattle, hogs and poultry -- are getting squeezed by the highest corn and soybean prices in seven years. It’s lifted the costs of feeding their herds by 30% or more. To stay profitable, producers including Tyson Foods Inc. are increasing prices, which will ripple through supply chains and show up in the coming months as higher price tags for beef, pork and chicken around the world.

Feed prices “go up and down, and you tend to take the rough with the smooth,” said Mark Gorton, managing director at the British chicken and turkey producer Traditional Norfolk Poultry. “But when it rallies as much as it has, it starts to impact massively on the business.”

The last time grains were this expensive was after the U.S. drought of 2012, and meat prices saw a dramatic run-up. Now, meat is again poised to become a driver of global food inflation, and part of the intensifying debate over the path of overall inflation and exactly what central banks and policymakers should do to aid economies still working to recover from the pandemic.

Soybeans at a 7-Year High

Soybeans at a 7-Year High

Wheat Near a 7-Year High

Wheat Near a 7-Year High

Oats Near a 7-Year High

Oats Near a 7-Year High

Orange Juice is Cheap

Orange Juice is Cheap

Coffee is Cheap

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Lean Hogs Near Top of 7-Year Range

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Live Cattle in Middle of 5-Year Range

Live Cattle in Middle of 5-Year Range

Crude in a 6-Year Channel

Crude in a 6-Year Channel

Beef prices are one place I have not see pass-through yet as measured by sale prices, not day-to-day prices. I suggest buying meat on sale and freezing it.

Anyway, not to worry, "As Reported" Consumer Price Inflation Is Lower Than Expected Once Again

Mish

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