by Mish

Looking ahead here are some charts for December 2016, March 2017, June 2017, and September 2017.

March 2017 Rate Hike Odds

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June 2017 Rate Hike Odds

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September 2017 Rate Hike Odds

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After the meeting we will take a look to see how the odds changed. I doubt the Fed gets in another hike in 2017.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock

Five Reasons Fed Won’t Hike Even Twice in 2017

On December 14, right before the FOMC decision I took a snapshot of rate hike odds and posted them in Fed Hikes Today, Then What?

Rate Hike Odds 99 Percent for June: Then What? Fed Hike Cycle Over?

CME Fedwatch places a 99.6% possibility of a quarter point rate hike on June 14.

What Will the Yield Curve Look Like if the Fed Hikes in Dec and March?

Futures positions imply a 92% chance the Fed will hike in Dec and 50% again in March. How will the yield curve respond?

How Much Can the Fed Hike Before the Yield Curve Inverts?

The market expects a 100% chance of a hike in June and a 78.2% chance of at least one more hike by September. Then what?

Interesting Rate Hike Odds: March favors Hikes, December Favors Cuts

Fed fund futures show a hike in March is more likely than a cut. In December, the opposite is true.

Kansas City Fed says Rate Hikes “Necessary” as Weakness is “Transient”: June Rate Hike Odds Sink

Esther George, president and chief executive officer of the Kansas City Fed says Continuing With Rate Rises Is ‘Necessary’.

Fed Hikes With One Dissent: Fed Behind the Curve?

As expected, the Fed hiked interest rates 25 basis points to a range of 3/4 to 1 percent.

Rate Hike Odds Rise Again: Fed Concerned About Corporate Leverage

Despite anemic GDP forecasts for third and fourth quarter, the Fed appears to have convinced the market that it will finally hike rates in December.

Too Late to Worry: Fed Way Late to Rate Hike Party

Golden Opportunity to Hike in 2014. The Fed had a golden opportunity to hike in 2014.