Goods Trade Deficit Expands a Shocking 9.2% as Exports Plunge

The Census Bureau’s Advance Trade Indicator supports another record trade deficit in goods. 

  • Exports fell from 149,111 million to 142,152 million
  • Imports rose 237,275 million to 238,403 million.

The net impact is an increase in the international trade deficit of 9.2% to a record 96,252 million. 

Bond yields plunged on the news. 

The BEA reports the advance estimate for third-quarter GDP tomorrow.

It is increasingly likely we see a negative number and highly likely we see a negative bottom line number in real final sales, the true measure of GDP.

As I have stated, the economy is cooling rapidly, and it’s not just in the US. It’s global.

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Mr. Purple
Mr. Purple
4 years ago
Anyone who wants to bet against America, I’ll take the other side of that bet.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
4 years ago
Reply to  Mr. Purple
Do you still have anything left to wager, after losing so badly to a bunch of dudes in sandals?
Mr. Purple
Mr. Purple
4 years ago
Reply to  StukiMoi
Plenty.
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
4 years ago
 “the economy is cooling rapidly, and it’s not just in the US. It’s global.”
Duh.  Take away the training wheels in US (various CARES stimulus / rent moratorium / loan forbearance) and China with its emperor has no clothes moment re (empty) apartments = Economic Reality.
And it ain’t pretty.
randocalrissian
randocalrissian
4 years ago
LB Port is going to soon be as full of containers as Cushing was of crude in March/April 2020. They are bringing empties from the Gulf Coast and British Columbia just to dump them in LA. What could possibly go wrong?
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
4 years ago
The USA is in a post-covid paralysis: political, economic and social.
Make up for lost economic activity by printing fiat, and inflating prices.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
4 years ago
Covid is nothing more than the latest in an ever longer line of excuses going back to at least 1971.
Robbing productive people; via debasement, “regulation” and kangaroo courting; at at ever accelerating rate; solely in order to hand the unearned loot to idle rent seekers incapable of contributing anything at all; can never NOT result in the cost of doing something productive going higher and higher. Rendering more and more once productive activity uncompetitive here.
It’s not exactly hard: You only have X real wealth. Printing, deeming, finding, holding and feeling, doesn’t make more of it. Hence, every penny handed to some idiot sitting idly on the couch collecting ever rising rent; as well as some yahoo doing childish CNBC reenactments, and nothing but, while cheering for paper he knows nothing particular about to “go up,” is a penny which has to be taken away from someone who would otherwise have had to produce something of real value in exchange for it. 
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
Empires rise and empires fall, history shows…. the US of A is now definitely falling in all fn aspects, the moral one included ….Time to buy rrmm…anything I d say, but even that won t  save overbloated american asses ….and egos… 
kiers
kiers
4 years ago
Paid for with Tariff money from the little people.  Inflation is Patriotism!  What an economic brain trust among the Murican elite! QE for the elite. Savers go ___ urselves.
dbannist
dbannist
4 years ago
Curious, when was the last time we ran an annual trade surplus?  I don’t think it was in my lifetime.
kiers
kiers
4 years ago
Reply to  dbannist
stop the bannonism!  every i-phone in the world IS an American export.  GDP arithmetic is wrong.  The clever found a way to confound GDP arithmetic.  Then bannon comes round and whips export-worship types up. Also, take note:  Tim Cook got a “deal” at Mar-a-Lago: no tariffs for him!
dbannist
dbannist
4 years ago
Reply to  kiers
I have a Master’s degree and received a perfect ACT score of 36 on the reading comprehension section.
And I have no idea what you just said.  Sorry.  It sounded quite a bit like a far-fetched conspiracy but I couldn’t be sure.
kiers
kiers
4 years ago
Reply to  dbannist
do you have a recommendation from your dad too?
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
4 years ago
Reply to  kiers
“every i-phone in the world IS an American export”
No, it’s not.
Very little of it can be produced at all, much less competitively, in the US anymore. What is produced here, can 95% be replicated elsewhere. It largely remains here on account of overhang from back when American decay hadn’t yet gone so far.
There are powerful reasons to stay with even overpriced products, when so much of the value of a product results fro the network of others already invested in it. Being the first guy to leave to start his own network, is never easy. So you can hang on being inefficient for quite some time, before your underperformance becomes so obvious that members of a network as big as the I-one packs up and leaves. But what you can’t avoid, is more and more of the components supporting your network, being more efficiently made elsewhere. So that you in the end, are contributing little more than a stable artifact of what once was greatness. Little innovation, little efficiency improvement, little of anything. And more and more of nothing but cheering for ever more heavy handed totalitarians to “protect” you from more competent and efficient people. IOW, instead of adding value, you are, too, becoming just another rent seeker in a dystopia fit for little else.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
OT. For Realist and others interested in oil and gas companies:
I got bought out today. 
Phillips 66 Announces Agreement to Acquire Phillips 66 Partners
8:23 am ET October 27, 2021 (BusinessWire) Print

Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) and Phillips 66 Partners (“PSXP” or the “Partnership”) (NYSE: PSXP) announced today that they have entered into a definitive agreement for Phillips 66 to acquire all of the publicly held common units representing limited partner interests in the Partnership not already owned by Phillips 66 and its affiliates.

I own both PSX and PSXP. PSX gave back 5% on the announcement, and I added a bit more on the pull-back.

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