US Treasury Yields 1998-Present

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The above chart suggests it is far too premature to believe that long-term yields have bottomed.

US Treasury Yields 5-year Duration and Under 1998-Present


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Other than zero-bound 3-month treasuries, it is difficult to present a clear technical case that even short-term rates have bottomed.

And given that a huge percentage of the world's bonds trade at negative interest rates, one cannot make a legitimate case that any bond yields have bottomed.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

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