Hooray! No Jobs for New York

The New York Times reports In Amazon Fight, Progressives Showed What They Want: A New Economic Agenda.

The political opposition that prompted Amazon to walk away from building a corporate headquarters in New York City featured a touchstone of the progressives’ economic agenda: ending tax policies that unfairly reward and pamper the wealthy.

The clash has consequences far beyond New York, going to the heart of a national debate that is likely to dominate the 2020 presidential race: What is the best way to spread prosperity?

As Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo fumed that some of his fellow Democrats put “the state’s economic future” at risk, others inside and outside the party saw the scuttled project as evidence that the left doesn’t understand how to generate growth. In a tweet, Lloyd Blankfein, senior chairman of Goldman Sachs, lashed out at progressive Democrats, labeling them as both “anti-progress” and “anti-Democratic.”

Elizabeth Warren

Vs. Lloyd Blankfein

It’s important to not let personalities get in the way of sound economics. I do not care at all for Blankfein or the handouts banks got in the Great Recession. But that is no excuse to embrace piss poor policy.

Andrew Cuomo New York Governor

Democrats Tear Themselves Apart

Please consider Democrats are Tearing Themselves Apart Over Amazon.

While the battle still rages and analysts study the entrails of Amazon’s decision-making, here’s a thought: What if both sides of the Dem battle are wrong?

The migration of jobs and families out of high-tax, high-cost states has been going on for years, but is becoming a stampede because of the new federal tax law and because of how Democrats are reacting to it.

Throw in the fact that some Democrat-controlled states, especially Illinois and New Jersey, already face huge problems with their civil- service pension funds and it’s obvious that the blue-state model is ­undergoing a major stress test.

Incredibly, the leaders of most are responding in self-defeating ways.

Cuomo and de Blasio forgot that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and her socialist ilk tend to see capitalism in any form as evil. Her side didn’t want Amazon to get taxpayer help and demanded instead that it be forced to contribute millions to schools and subways.

Cities from Seattle to New York are raising taxes, or trying to, imposing minimum wages of $15 an hour and requiring even small businesses to give workers expensive health and vacation benefits.

Simultaneously, many of those same cities are driving up their education and health costs by declaring themselves sanctuary cities for illegal immigrants — in direct reaction to Trump’s push for secure borders.

‘Green Deal’ Space Cadets

New York Post reader David Rabinovitz calls for caution. He says AOC’s New Green Deal has chances.

People shouldn’t be so dismissive of the Green New Deal.

His rationale is perfect.

It can be successfully implemented when the Little Green Men come down from outer space.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock

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HenryBowman
HenryBowman
5 years ago

Who cares? Nobody needs jobs. AOC promised us that soon the government will give everybody everything for free. Just sit back, wait, and do nothing… but don’t forgot to vote Democrat!

Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer
5 years ago

I was told real estate investors tried to front run this deal and are now stuck with loans and not appreciating real estate. I was never sure why Amazon chose NY or any other cold climate. Theyve primarily been operating out of warmer higher productivity climates. I thought geographically they would have been better off choosing place in the southeast.

Webej
Webej
5 years ago

Free market advocates should see the dilemma here. Big corporations have been doing jurisdiction arbitrage for decades (the jurisdiction that offers the most tax incentives and infrastructure spending clinches the deal). This often turns into a party like winning the Olympic venue — promise economic growth but saddle the tax-payers with all kinds of costs. Even worse, it benefits the already too large at the cost of other competition, and, hence works anti-competitively. It is a zero-sum game benefitting select corporations at the expense of everyone else, but it is hard to do anything about it.

Carl_R
Carl_R
5 years ago
Reply to  Webej

This isn’t new. It’s been going on for hundreds of years. Even if you passed something at the Federal level (and it was constitutional), different places would still compete to attract business any way they can. Now, if a community offers too much, and ends up a loser on the deal, which no doubt happens sometimes, in the long run they pay the price. If Bill de Blasio is correct that giving $3b in benefits was going to produce $28b in additional revenue, this wasn’t case where it was a bad deal for NY.

Carl_R
Carl_R
5 years ago

In later news, apparently some think they can take the $3b in tax breaks that were to go to Amazon and spend them now. Unfortunately, per Bil de Blasio, the Amazon deal was going to cost $3b, but was expected to bring in $28b in extra tax revenue. If correct, then, NY now has $25b LESS to spend, not $3b more.

abend237-04
abend237-04
5 years ago

New York and Illinois have the French disease: Over time, their politicians have insensibly drifted into a false narrative that governments tax corporations; they don’t. They merely use corporations to collect taxes from businesses’ customers.

They felt Amazon owed them more taxes, AKA, Amazon customers.

Ron Cataldi
Ron Cataldi
5 years ago

Amazon already has thousands of jobs in new york and nothing is stopping them from adding more. What this stopped was billions of dollars in free money to Amazon in the form of tax breaks. No more corporate welfare. I know Mish is a fake libertarian, because a real libertarian would have been against the deal all along.

LawrenceBird
LawrenceBird
5 years ago
  1. Google has 7K people in NY with plans expand their buildout to 14K. Apparently they did not ask or need subsidies.
  2. AMZN (or Bezos?) is pretty thin skinned if they could not take the short term heat over the tax abatements.
  3. That AMZN caved so quickly and is not planning on doing the HQ2 in another city makes you wonder not just about the entire process but its goals as well.
  4. Most jobs are not created by the large companies yet it is only the biggest that ever get the sweetheart deals. Time to stop give aways or lower taxes for all of them.
everything
everything
5 years ago

Drama story, everyone picked it up, and slung it all around. Jobs is jobs, the fact that states compete with corporate hand outs says two things, race to the bottom, and corporations own America, no longer capitalist, but oligarchy. And, yes now AOC is getting hammered by the press, but we knew she would for trying to expose Americans to what America really has become. Just like all the rest, someone will come along and put a big enough chunk of money in her back pocket to shut her up. Power corrupts, and 75% of her campaign money came from individual donations

ReadyKilowatt
ReadyKilowatt
5 years ago

Too bad these politicians have bought into MMT. I guess when you have an economist tell you what you want to hear instead of what you need to hear, you’ll believe anything.

I just finished up “The Myth of Capitalism” by Jonathan Tepper. Highly recommended. He points out that the current must-read economics book amongst the elites is Thomas Piketty’s “Capital in the Twenty-First Century.” I haven’t read it yet (700+ pages, and Tepper points out that no one else has either), but I’ll bet it reads like Keynes’ General Theory, so most only get through the first few chapters and call it good. Tepper tears Piketty apart, at least in summary, pointing out that all the MMT ideas have already been proven wrong, but because it is a big thick book that tells politicians to spend more money it gains credence.

DFWRealEstate
DFWRealEstate
5 years ago

MIsh, You can mock AOC if you want, but she has tapped into the social angst that is ripping the country apart. The social contract is broken and parasites like Amazon are a huge part of the problem. Are there flaws in many of the progressive movement policies? Absolutely. But the core of the outrage is the realization that the economy simply isn’t working for most Americans and they realize their grip on “the dream” is slipping away with wealth inequality at record levels. Bezos was an easy target, overplaying his hand at every turn. Why? because he could, because local officials were/are willing to worship at his feet for some additional development stimulus and satisfy his unfettered greed.
I look at the reaction of the real estate faction to this deal, both before and after, and it sums up the situation quite well. You had a host of predatory capitalists chomping at the bit to pounce on this deal, looking for an angle to profit from it, even if it meant eventually displacing thousands of New Yorkers.
If you’ve lost Blankfein and Cuomo, you know you’ve done something right. Sure there was development “opportunity” at stake, but for whom? Cui bono?, certainly not your average New Yorker struggling to maintain a decent standard of living in a rent-controlled apartment.

KidHorn
KidHorn
5 years ago
Reply to  DFWRealEstate

So, lets open the border and let in a bunch of people who are willing to work for far less than minimum wage and take away 25,000 high paying jobs. That’s the solution for middle class america.

And you wonder why Trump is the one who actually resonates with the people you describe.

numike
numike
5 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn

‘My whole town practically lived there’: From Costa Rica to New Jersey, a pipeline of illegal workers for Trump goes back years

Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
5 years ago

Or Amazon concluded business over the past couple of months is slowing down too fast to justify new headquarters.

KidHorn
KidHorn
5 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear

I doubt they just had second thoughts. They planned this for years and dashed the plan in a few months. Doesn’t make sense. More likely they felt NYC reneged on the deal and they think they can do better elsewhere.

Tengen
Tengen
5 years ago

I find it awfully hard to get worked up about this story one way or the other. So a barely-profitable massive retailer that sells mostly cheap junk to cash-strapped, debt-laden consumers decided not to relocate to NY, the land of Wall St shysters who have made NY wealthy through excessive financialization at the expense of the rest of the country. That’s worth a big shrug.

Maybe I’m getting cranky as I settle further into middle age, but I’m becoming more and more enamored with the idea that something should be built to last. Amazon is too big and only possible in a crony-capitalist society. It’s run by an ultra-elite oligarch with a permanently crazed look on his face who apparently leads an idiotic personal life. NY is the heart of the big ponzi and people like AOC and Trump are only possible in a society more driven by vengeance than the idea of building a better future. None of this is remotely sustainable.

I reckon in another few decades nobody will care whether AMZN moved to NY or not, we’ll be digging out of rubble by then, assuming the blood lust is finally over and we can spend more than a few moments in each others’ company without experiencing powerful homicidal urges.

KidHorn
KidHorn
5 years ago
Reply to  Tengen

Amazon is much more than a web site that sells trinkets. They’re the biggest web service platform in the US. They want to do consulting business with the US Govt’ and Wall St. That’s why they chose NoVa and NYC.

Mish
Mish
5 years ago

“what if they divide the $3B in subsidies among 3,000 small businesses at $1M/per, would that help generate more than 25,000 jobs?”

How many would Take $1M close shop and retire? OK let’s assume they have to spend it. How many would spend it wisely as opposed to giving their brother a job for $100,000. I think you can see where this is going.

Amazon gave NY a detailed plan. NY needed to decide, not AOC, whether the plan provided a net benefit or not. It is possible the plan was not a good one. I really do not know, but it is not for idiots like AOC to decide.

BillSanDiego
BillSanDiego
5 years ago

Ocasio-Cortez says that New York could use the $3 billion to “hire out more teachers,” whatever that means, and “fix our subways.” She doesn’t get that the $3 billion was not money that New York was giving to Amazon, but was in the form of tax payments that Amazon would not be required to make to New York.

Carl_R
Carl_R
5 years ago

There are arguments for not giving Amazon $3b. There are also arguments for giving it to them, those being that they extra jobs, and the resulting increase in property values, would generate more than the $3b. Would it? I have no idea. The only thing is that what is done is done. Behind Amazon, I doubt many other companies will come looking, so, now they get to see how things go without any companies coming in and creating jobs.

killben
killben
5 years ago

The problem is the kind of capitalism (crony capitalism-entrenched since 2008) that we have now will only give rise to anti-capitalism. This will be in play till the capitalists change their ways of enriching themselves at the expense of common man or it ends up in a civil war.

While I do not agree with Warren or AOC, I am dead against the present capitalism too. If this is way you get change, so be it.

Runner Dan
Runner Dan
5 years ago
Reply to  killben

It’s almost as if the bottom 95% are saying, “Hey, if I’m going to be in debt my entire life regardless of how much I work, why work? So, go away Amazon!”

ReadyKilowatt
ReadyKilowatt
5 years ago
Reply to  killben

At best what we have today is the modern take on mercantilism, not capitalism. Not quite National Socialism, but getting closer every day.

Sudo
Sudo
5 years ago

Could never understand why tax subsidies are not considered as income by IRS. I suspect if someone gave me 3 billion dollars in credit the IRS would be knocking on my door. Then again I do not understand big money culture.

shamrock
shamrock
5 years ago

what if they divide the $3B in subsidies among 3,000 small businesses at $1M/per, would that help generate more than 25,000 jobs?

tz1
tz1
5 years ago

What high taxes, high regulations, crony corrupt unions and city inspectors couldn’t do…

I think Bezos simply came to his senses.

Hey, maybe he can move it to Chicago, Illinois!

Maybe they will get everything Trump has built to leave too.

Runner Dan
Runner Dan
5 years ago
Reply to  tz1

Perhaps this was just an exercise to throw the Peoples Republic of Seattle back onto their haunches by shopping around the country for their next area of expansion. “We are the boss, Seattle, and NOT you! We now know the fair market price for a new headquarters, so you can keep up your socialism-loving posturing (as we do through WaPo), but don’t apply it to us!”

mark0f0
mark0f0
5 years ago

Don’t know if I’d call Amazon “one of the wealthiest on the planet”. Their billions in assets can’t produce meaningful profit. However, why are these businesses being subsidized? And why would Amazon want a location like NY when they could locate at a place for RTP for far less?

Stuki
Stuki
5 years ago
Reply to  mark0f0

“And why would Amazon want a location like NY when they could locate at a place for RTP for far less?”

Because, as you say, they can’t produce a profit. Hence needs to be closer to where the biggest fresh print beneficiaries are located. TIA: This is America.

RedQueenRace
RedQueenRace
5 years ago
Reply to  mark0f0

They aren’t one of the wealthiest. Warren, idiot that she is, is equating market cap to corporate value.

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