Laughable Headline

The Guardian reports Cornered Boris Johnson Suffers Triple Commons Defeat.

These writers clearly cannot think. Take a look at what has transpired.

Just the Facts Maam

  1. Johnson goaded 21 problematic Rebel Tories into voting against him. Those Tories have been removed from the party and will lose their seats in the next election. Good riddance.
  2. Because of foolish Remainer actions, Johnson will no longer have to go through the charades of working out a deal with the EU.
  3. Johnson's hands are effectively bound and he welcomes that! He will not have to work out a deal. Instead he can lay the blame on the EU and on the Remainers for removing the option to negotiate with the EU.
  4. By removing the 21 rebels, Johnson won the support of Nigel Farage thereby allowing a coalition between the Brexit Party and the Tories minus the rebel problem makes.
  5. The Remainers are hopelessly split. Corbyn wants a referendum or the right to work out a customs deal with the EU. The Liberal Democrats want to remain. Many Labour party members want Brexit.

Q & A on losing

Q. How the heck is that losing?

A. I think you know the answer.

House of Lords Charades

Supposedly, Johnson suffered a "triple defeat" today, using the word "defeat" loosely.

This charade moved to the House of Lords where a massive filibuster is taking place on a motion that will supposedly block a no deal brexit.

Ho. Hum.

Brexit Filibuster

For a discussion of the laughable nature of this effort, please see House of Lords Bogged Down on Brexit Filibuster Amendments.

What If the Filibuster Succeeds?

  • If the Filibuster succeeds, Johnson's next move may be to do nothing. He has the option of waiting to see the Remainers' next move.
  • Alternatively, Johnson may promise to abide by an election date before October 31. The problem with the alternate option is neither side trusts each other and there is no legal mechanism to ensure an election date.

What If the Filibuster Loses?

In this case, I 100% expect Johnson to do nothing.

The legislation will have passed but it is not legally binding until it has the Queen's Assent.

Recall that the Queen Will Suspend Parliament at Request of Boris Johnson.

Starting September 10, parliament will be out of session until October 14. Then Johnson can deliver the Queen's speech starting a new session.

Assumes the Bill Passes on September 5 or 6

September 6 is a Friday.

On Monday, September 9, Johnson is likely to make a statement to the effect that he needs legal advice on the bill. Guess what?

Parliament will be out of session until October 14.

Then What?

Instead of submitting the legislation to the Queen, I believe Johnson would give his Queen's Speech starting a new Parliamentary session. Perhaps Johnson delays a day or two on the Queen's Speech.

All pending legislation in progress dies on the vine.

The House of Lords charades has to start all over again.

But wait. It has to start all over again in the Commons first!

Pick a date for all this to happen. Whatever date you pick, it will be to the liking of Johnson or it won't happen.

Hello October 18

On October 18, it will be impossible to schedule an election in time to stop Brexit.

It will also be impossible for a motion of No Confidence to put an alternative government in place.

The default Brexit date is October 31.

Johnson can run out the clock if he can delay events until October 18.

One Remaining Issue

The only Remainers option would be to succeed a second time on a move in the House of Lords.

Perhaps Johnson and his team submits 500 or 5,000 amendments. Don't rule it out.

Should that fail, Johnson may just refuse to submit the legislation to the Queen.

Time's Up

Sorry Remainers, the time has expired.

Starting from the Top

Let's return to the beginning.

Johnson's move to prorogue parliament worked brilliantly. He got the exact response from the rebels that he wanted.

Johnson then removed the rebels. They are lost and gone forever.

Lies All Around

Johnson insists he not want an election.

What a joke. Of course Johnson wants an election. Corbyn is the one who does not want an election, at least not right now.

There are lies on all sides.

Everyone wants an election, but only conditionally.

Who is In Control?

Johnson has control of the conditions simply by refusing to submit the legislation to the Queen (assuming it ever gets out of the House of Lords) on time in the first place.

Enormous Mistake

Remainers made an enormous mistake believing they could stop Brexit.

Had they voted for Theresa May's pathetic deal, they would have gotten 85% of what they wanted.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Jeremy Corbyn Calls on Boris Johnson to Resign

The UK's Supreme Court finds Boris Johnson acted illegally by suspending parliament for weeks. Resignation calls mount.

Boris Johnson's Deviously Clever Brexit Strategy Unfolds

The Remainers are huffing and puffing this morning, but it will be to no avail. Johnston's strategy is nearly foolproof.

Boris Johnson Throws Down the Gauntlet: No Backstop, Not Even Temporary

Boris Johnson laid down the ground rules for discussion with the EU. The EU says it won't accept them.

Without a Doubt, Boris Johnson United the Tory Party

Boris Johnson united the Tories. In contrast, Jeremy Corbyn failed to unite Labour.

Boris Johnson Takes "No Deal" Fight to UK Supreme Court

Boris Johnson has taken the Benn Bill legislation blocking No Deal to the UK supreme court.

Nigel Farage Offers Boris Johnson a Chance to Work Together to "Smash Labour"

Nigel Farage wants to help Boris Johnson deliver Brexit. Boris should accept the offer gratefully.

Blowout Win for Boris Johnson: Live Blog

The election is over. It's a Tory blowout win for Boris Johnson.

Boris Johnson Loses Brexit Delay Vote 328 to 301, 21 Tories Rebel: What's Next?

Boris Johnson lost an "emergency" So24 bill designed to prevent a No Deal Brexit. The House of Lords must approve.

Final Two: Boris Johnson vs Jeremy Hunt With Charges of Rigging

Boris Johnson will face Jeremy Hunt in a Tory party vote that will determine the UK's next Prime Minister.