In the Past Year, US Natural Gas Price More Than Doubled, EU More Than Quadrupled

US Natural Gas Price courtesy of Trading Economics 

In the past year, the price US consumers pay for natural gas has more than doubled. About 38 percent of electricity in the US comes from natural gas according to the Energy Information Administration EIA

And about half of the homes in the United States use natural gas for space heating and water heating. 

Natural Gas Surges With US LNG Export Terminal Set for Fast Restart

US Natural Gas Price courtesy of Trading Economics 

Yesterday, Bloomberg reported Natural Gas Surges With US LNG Export Terminal Set for Fast Restart

US natural gas prices surged after a key export terminal in Texas reached an agreement with regulators to restart as soon as October after an explosion.

Freeport LNG, which was shut down in June after a blast, has entered into an agreement with the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration to resume operations in early October at almost full capacity, the operator said in a emailed statement Wednesday. That would boost demand for natural gas by nearly 2 billion cubic feet a day, equivalent to roughly 2% of domestic output.

The restart of Freeport LNG is poised to increase the strain on US inventories of the heating and power-generation fuel ahead of winter. Concern about tightly supply has triggered stomach-churning volatility and led prices to more than double this year. Gas held in salt caverns and depleted aquifers is about 12% below levels typically seen for this time of the year, and booming domestic demand this summer has limited suppliers’ ability to add gas to storage. 

Stockpile Deficit

Heading into Winter, the stockpile of US natural gas is about twelve percent below normal. 

EU Natural Gas Price 

In the European Union, the price of natural gas shot up from 43.869 to a record 199.25, about 4.5 times vs a year ago.

Thanks to sanctions and the now-abandoned Nord Stream II pipeline from Russia to the Europe, the EU is struggling to get gas. 

Marine Le Pen Calls for End to Sanctions

RFI reports French Far Right Leader Le Pen calls for an End to ‘Useless’ Russia Sanctions.

“I want these sanctions to end,” Le Pen said at a parliamentary press conference on Tuesday. “Otherwise Europe is going to face a blackout, notably on the question of Russian gas imports. “The sanctions are simply useless. All they do is make Europeans suffer. And that, incidentally, includes French people.

“You’d need a huge dose of bad faith not to realize that, contrary to the inflated claims of our government, the Russian economy is not on its knees. They are not on the brink of bankruptcy.

“We are suffering far more from these sanctions than the Russians are,” said the MP for the northern Pas-de-Calais constituency. They can find other buyers for their oil and gas, they can get around the embargoes, she added. “This has been a series of failures by the European Union.”

Sanctions Don’t Work, Le Pen is Correct

Le Pen is correct on all counts. Putin is delivering only 20-40% of normal gas supply to Europe but at a price that is 4.5 times higher. 

Thus, Russia is making more for selling less. 

Global Natural Gas Flow

Global map from Nations Online Project, annotations by Mish

Instead of getting natural gas from hundreds of miles away over existing pipelines we compress natural gas in the US then ship it 4,700 miles away Europe.

Meanwhile, Russia fearing eventual European cutoff is building new pipelines to China. 

De-globalization to punish Russia and China is seriously impacting global supply chains and increasing costs for everyone,

The one point Le Pen misses is that the EU would still vulnerable because Russia can no longer be considered a reliable partner. Once Russia has pipelines to China, it will not need the EU. 

That is years away however. Meanwhile, supply chain disruptions and de-globalization are driving prices up everywhere.

For further discussion, please see De-Globalization: New Supply Chains Are Inefficient and Will Drive Up Inflation

We have economic illiterates running the country and running the Fed. The average Joe is getting killed.

Dear President Biden, the above charts speak for themselves. If you want to lower inflation, stop the sanctions.

This post originated on MishTalk.Com.

Thanks for Tuning In!

Please Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

If you have subscribed and do not get email alerts, please check your spam folder.

Mish

Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

This post originated on MishTalk.Com

Thanks for Tuning In!

Mish

Subscribe
Notify of
guest

59 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
jivefive98
jivefive98
1 year ago
Dictators and autocracy and their puppet strings are not the solution. Im sure Adolph and Benito made the trains run on time for awhile really well … till they didnt.
KidHorn
KidHorn
1 year ago
Thankfully my electricity supplier gets most of their electricity from coal and nuclear. And I have a heat pump for heating.
Carl_R
Carl_R
1 year ago
It is worth pointing out that while natural gas prices are high, the price of oil has now fallen below the price at which it was when Putin invaded Ukraine. It was 91 at the time he invaded.
Doug78
Doug78
1 year ago
Since apparently Marine Le Pen is now cited as an expert in economics here perhaps we should follow her 2022 presidential candidate program and lower the retirement age to 60 years old, exonerate all under 30 from paying income taxes and pay students a salary of 200 to 300 Euros per month while they attend post-secondary schools. These are only a few examples of her economic wisdom. Her party and Jean Luc Mélenchon’s far left meet in most ways when it comes to economics. They both are heavy socialist twinged with heavy nationalism in that.
Raj Kumar
Raj Kumar
1 year ago
Reply to  Doug78
Well said Doug78
KidHorn
KidHorn
1 year ago
Reply to  Doug78
Sounds a lot like our democratic party.
Doug78
Doug78
1 year ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Are you saying Mish is a closet Democrat? Marine Le Pen is against the sanctions on Russia not because she has Libertarian tendencies but because she has always been an admirer of Putin who helped her get loans of money to keep her party afloat in the 2017 presidential race.
Matt3
Matt3
1 year ago
Reply to  Doug78
Doug,
Rather than tell us why she is wrong on this, you tell us that she is wrong on other things. How does that show she is wrong on the sanctions?
Doug78
Doug78
1 year ago
Reply to  Matt3
Mish put her up as an example of wisdom because they both agree on the sanctions but it was a very bad example because she is as far from Mish’s Libertarianism as one can imagine. Her program is very heavily socialist and that it would have been much better to use a quote from someone who is against the sanctions but who can convey a rational argument in favor of Mish’s position. I rather doubt that Mish and her see eye to eye on anything else except this one quote and I was mystified as to why he quoted her when there are so many better people against the sanctions to quote. It was inconsistent.
Matt3
Matt3
1 year ago
Reply to  Doug78
Thanks. Makes sense to me
alexwest
alexwest
1 year ago
# map w/ proposed and existing routes
that map is inaccurate as earth is flat.
Russian gas does not flow from (I believe Moscow) to China all across from west to east in Russia
———
you can see bluish mark above label Asia on map. it is deepest lake on earth called Baikal
Russian gas flows to china from north-east of that place. Mongolia is on south side from Baikal
alexwest
alexwest
1 year ago
# test
PapaDave
PapaDave
1 year ago
Food, water, shelter, energy. There is your ongoing inflation. Discretionary spending will decline as a result. Economic growth will slow.
The US will continue to export natgas to Europe because of the price differential and because they are our allies. It is possible that the US will restrict exports, but I wouldn’t expect that unless prices really skyrocket here.
I see that France is using more natgas for electricity right now because their nuclear power is barely operating at 50%. They use river water to cool their reactors and the river water is so hot right now it can’t cool the reactors.
KidHorn
KidHorn
1 year ago
Reply to  PapaDave
It’s not because it can’t cool the reactors. It’s clearly way cooler than the steam flowing through the condensers. It’s because of environmental concerns for fish.
PapaDave
PapaDave
1 year ago
Reply to  KidHorn
References please.
jhrodd
jhrodd
1 year ago
Reply to  PapaDave
“Reactor production is limited during times of high heat to prevent the hot water re-entering rivers from damaging wildlife.”
PapaDave
PapaDave
1 year ago
Reply to  jhrodd
“Electricite de France SA, France’s state-owned utility, announced on Tuesday that it is highly likely it will be forced to extend cuts to nuclear generation as scorching weather pushes up river temperatures, making the water too hot to cool reactors.”
KidHorn
KidHorn
1 year ago
Reply to  PapaDave
I think what the article is saying is the water is too hot to allow the cooling of reactors. Not that it’s incapable of cooling the reactors.
Anyway the water doesn’t actually cool the reactors. it’s used to condense steam in the secondary loop. The river water never gets near the reactors.
PapaDave
PapaDave
1 year ago
Reply to  KidHorn
“Electricite de France SA, France’s state-owned utility, announced on Tuesday that it is highly likely it will be forced to extend cuts to nuclear generation as scorching weather pushes up river temperatures, making the water too hot to cool reactors.”
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  PapaDave
R U saying the French are in hot water?
PapaDave
PapaDave
1 year ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
Yes. And much of the rest of Europe as well: Rivers too hot to cool reactors properly and too shallow for barge transport. And less water for hydro electric generation.
Sunriver
Sunriver
1 year ago
Between natural gas prices and the oil strategic reserve dropping to the lowest level ever this winter, inflation just isn’t going to disappear from the energy sector. Housing may drop inflation, but housing isn’t counted appropriately in the CPI. It appears transitory inflation may be from like 2022 till 2024. Longer?
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
“Dear President Biden, the above charts speak for themselves. If you want to lower inflation, stop the sanctions.”
Even if he wasn’t a demented and corrupt degenerate, he is surrounded by liberals who don’t give a hoot about inflation.
effendi
effendi
1 year ago
Why do you suggest that Russia will no longer be a reliable supplier once they pipe more to China?
They will still be reliable but at a lower volume and a higher price. Standard supply and demand.
Mish
Mish
1 year ago
Reply to  effendi
Russia always a threat for political demands to supply gas
alexwest
alexwest
1 year ago
Reply to  Mish
Russia started exporting gas into Europe in 70х . it was communist country . in 1979 it started invasion into Afganistan. dont remember any hissy fits about.
————
what country was against USSR exporting gas into Europe? answers is USA !
keep Germany down, Russia out , USA in – official motto of USA policies for Europe from ww2
Mish, stop this American nonsense about Russia and political demands.
grazzt
grazzt
1 year ago
Reply to  Mish
Kinda like the USA is always a threat for political demands to access the international banking system.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  Mish
Is the EU reliable when they renege on contracts to accept and pay for natural gas?
Roadrunner12
Roadrunner12
1 year ago
We can expect US natural gas to increase in price once Freeport comes back on line and I also believe that at some point in the future that the US will act to limit exports as US consumers begin to feel the pinch of high gas prices. It is a simple equation, the more gas the US exports, the more US consumers pay and higher inflation.
Economic reality is beginning to hit home for the Europeans. Winter is coming, energy prices are set to even increase further in Europe. And then this continues into next year and near year. There is a remedy to this that becomes more difficult as Europe actions continue to obey its American overlords wishes, Nord Stream 2.
Another simple equation for the Europeans.
Buy Russian Gas=prosper into the future.
Obey US overlords=become 3rd world.
That pretty much sums up the future for Europe. I suspect Nord Stream 2 start up becomes more and more talked soon.
Putin relays to Schroeder feasibility of activating Nord Stream 2 pipeline (aa.com.tr)

“Russian President Vladimir Putin told Former German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder that the Nord Stream 2 natural gas pipeline could be activated if necessary, Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitriy Peskov confirmed Wednesday.

Speaking to reporters in the Russian capital Moscow, Peskov said the comment was made during Schroeder’s meeting with Putin in Moscow.

According to Peskov, Schroeder, like many experts, expressed his concern over the energy crisis and demanded during his meeting with Putin that Russia issue a statement on its approach to energy developments.

In response to Schroeder’s question on activating the Nord Stream 2 pipeline in the event of a crisis, Putin replied that it is technically possible, although he said the project needs a lot of work for immediate use.

Nonetheless, Peskov confirmed that it would not be possible for the Nord Stream 2 to operate at full capacity until the end of the year, even if it is commissioned today.

“Only at half capacity, 27.5 billion cubic meters can be shipped, because the other half of the capacity is used for domestic consumption,” he said.”

MPO45
MPO45
1 year ago
Reply to  Roadrunner12
I spent the day liquidating non-dividend stocks including apple on this run up. the internet whispers a crash coming in sep/oct and I’m not one to ignore internet whispers.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
Reply to  MPO45
What happens to dividend-paying stocks when they miss a dividend?
MPO45
MPO45
1 year ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
They will likely go down which is why I focus on dividend kings and aristocrats. no it doesnt eliminate risk but it mitigates it a bit. I plan on owning these dividend stocks until i die or they explode in value and its not sustainable. If they drop in value, as long as they have sound business, i will buy more. 3% bonds aren’t enough with 10% inflation.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  MPO45
Hmmm. The goal is to die with the most nifty toys and zero cash or investments.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
The stock price may stay the same but the stockholders don’t get any money.
The company retains more cash instead of hemorrhaging it to stockholders .
Some may sell, but one missed dividend is a poor excuse.
It can be rough if you’re retired and depend on the income.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  MPO45
I sacrificed a chicken at dawn this morning and the entrails say October looks pretty bad for equities.
Carl_R
Carl_R
1 year ago
Reply to  Roadrunner12
You’re suggesting that Europe should accept Russia as their proper overlord? Perhaps. I think that’s a choice Europe is constantly faced with, and they choose depending on the circumstances. When Trump told them not to buy from Russia, they told the US to take a hike, and the went with Nord Stream 2, making the choice that a Russian overlord was better than a US overlord. Once Russia invaded Ukraine, they took the opposite view. In the future, things may shift again, but it will likely take a long while before Europe trusts Russia again, certainly not until Putin is gone.
KidHorn
KidHorn
1 year ago
Reply to  Carl_R
Oh please. Russian overlord? All the west needs to do is stop meddling in Russian affairs. Stop pushing NATO to their door step. What they did is similar to our bay of pigs invasion. Although far more successful.
Carl_R
Carl_R
1 year ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Russia is the one pushing people into NATO, not the US. Russia is far more of a threat to be an overlord than the US. The US makes suggestions, such as not buying Russian gas, but the EU does what it pleases. Russia doesn’t make suggestions, they invade.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  Carl_R
Yeah, sure.
Of course Germany is no threat.
Then again, third time is the charm.
Carl_R
Carl_R
1 year ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
It takes a long time, and several generations, for people to forget, and even then, the memories are still in the back of people’s minds. It has taken 80 years for Germany to be perceived as “not the biggest threat”, enough time for all but the very last survivors of WWII to be gone. Even then, if Germany were to make some move that even had a hint of being threatening militarily, those memories would return quickly.
It will most likely take a similarly long time for people in Ukraine and Europe to forget this invasion of Ukraine, and the longer it goes on, and the more damage that the war causes, the longer it will take for people to forget. While those of us in the US aren’t really aware of the history of that region, the Ukrainians are doubly motivated to defend their land by history. Just as people will long have back of mind awareness of the history of German aggressions, Ukrainians have a memory of the history of being a vassal of Catherine the Great.
Matt3
Matt3
1 year ago
Reply to  Carl_R
Europe should accept Russia as their gas supplier until they can build out and replace the Russian gas needs. This is the only sensible plan. You don’t change energy providers without an alternative already in place. Energy is essential.
Roadrunner12
Roadrunner12
1 year ago
Reply to  Matt3
“Europe should accept Russia as their gas supplier until they can build out and replace the Russian gas needs. This is the only sensible plan.
You don’t change energy providers without an alternative already in place. Energy is essential.”
I still havent seen any reasonable alternative to Russia supplying cheap reliable gas to Europe. The US is incapable of replacing Russian gas plus the gas is sold to Europe at a significant increase as compared to Russian gas. As well I have no doubt that the US at some point will restrict gas exports. Some democrats were calling for this before the war. And again a really simple equation for Americans.
The more gas the US exports, the more US consumers pay and higher inflation.
I expect that the US will follow Australia, the 2nd or 3rd major gas exporter in calling for LNG import limits in the future.
Australia May Limit LNG Exports Amid Domestic Gas Shortage | OilPrice.com

“Australia is again facing a domestic gas shortage because of excessive exports, and the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission is warning that the government must impose limits on LNG exports to secure local supply.

This warning follows a decision by the Australian Energy Market Operator to activate a supply guarantee mechanism that was set up in the wake of another looming shortage a few years ago when the Australian government realized it needed a way to ensure that the local market would be well supplied with gas despite rising LNG exports.”

Roadrunner12
Roadrunner12
1 year ago
Reply to  Carl_R
“You’re suggesting that Europe should accept Russia as their proper overlord? Perhaps. I think that’s a choice Europe is constantly faced with, and they choose depending on the circumstances.”
Europe has prospered on Russian energy and it has been beneficial for both European and Russian economies. This is not acceptable to the US neocons who have done everything they could to stop this beneficial relationship between Russia and Europe continuing namely in Nord Stream II with sanctions, political pressure, etc. The circumstances going forward without Russian energy are dire.
This is a relatively simple equation as I have stated for Europe and you are correct, it is a choice that Europe is faced with
Buy Russian Gas=prosper into the future.
Obey US overlords=become 3rd world.
The question for Europe now is that door even open now for buying Russian gas? Have the Russians closed it? However I suspect that in the near future, that the Europeans will look towards getting gas through Nord Stream II. How will that play out? The Americans and Ukrainians of course will oppose it and again place sanctions, etc on the Europeans if it does come on-line. For now the European political elite chose to look towards obeying the American neocons rather than the interest of their own people. Their people will suffer the consequences as I said this gets progressively worse for the Europeans. Winter is coming and next winter and next winter and next winter.
Scooot
Scooot
1 year ago
I wish you’d stop reminding me.
MPO45
MPO45
1 year ago
If higher interest rates are supposed to quell inflation then why do G20 countries who have had central bank rates way higher than the Fed funds rate continue to experience really high inflation? While we may be de-globalizing that will take time, in the meantime, their inflation is our inflation.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
Reply to  MPO45
In a theoretical (and rational) world…
Assume the interest rate represents the return required to induce savers to lend money, not the artificial creation of some central bank. That required return should compensate fairly for expected inflation plus compensation to the lenders for going without their money for a period of time. In the USA with inflation at 9% and compensation of 1%, the Fed 1-year rate should be 10%.
Now, many years of Fed incompetence has caused irrational behavior, among other things….Note that the Treasury one-year rate is 3%.
Subsidize the financial markets for 14 years, the market depends on it.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
There is also the small matter of exchange rates among currencies…
KidHorn
KidHorn
1 year ago
Reply to  MPO45
What currencies? Yen, Euro, and USD have had their rates close to 0 or below for years. They make up the bulk of world trade.
Mish
Mish
1 year ago
Question of the Day
Does today’s rally in bonds portend a weak jobs report tomorrow?
That’s my guess. I’ll take the under on the Bloomberg Econoday consensus 250,000
We have an answer tomorrow morning. I am prepared to look silly.
MPO45
MPO45
1 year ago
Reply to  Mish
Does this help? Released yesterday.
Unemployment rates were lower in June than a year earlier in 388 of the 389
metropolitan areas and higher in 1 area, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
reported today.
8dots
8dots
1 year ago
Xi is so angry, his navy – a sitting target around Taiwan – might sink 10,000 feet. Taiwan will play bunker. China is so angry they will end the live ammunition drill on Mon instead of Sun. It’s all about power. If Europe play bunker, Putin will pump gas. Putin got Germany in a seat belt position. Germany have to use grappling techniques to avoid submission. Putin have no interest to lose his best customers and “his” new Italian boot in eastern Ukraine. Putin is playing for a tie. Putin can stomp China…
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
Reply to  8dots
China probably stayed on the western side of Taiwan, only a few hundred feet deep. The eastern side is 10,00 +/- feet.
One has to wonder whether all this Pelosi fuss is worth it–going to Taiwan just to distract attention from her husband’s court hearing.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
1 year ago
Reply to  8dots
It’s nice to speak Esperanto.
FromBrussels2
FromBrussels2
1 year ago
I ve been exclaiming for years now that the fn EU is a totally worthless, spineless, officially corrupt fair weather circus equipped with equally useless overpaid corrupt clueless clowns calling the idiotic shots ….Reptile brain sanctions post Russia’s legitimate invasion of Nazi Ukraine confirm what I ve been proclaiming all along : IDIOTS is all we got for fn leaders ! … My ONE unanswered question being though : How in the world could our emptyheads go along with this undeniably US imposed anti Russia stance ? Because they are fn emptyheads in the first place of course ….but, has the US bribed them somehow by filling their bankaccounts, like they ve been doing with fn Zelensky ? I wouldn t be surprised . I WANT TO KNOW THE FN TRUTH !
9TIMES9
9TIMES9
1 year ago
Reply to  FromBrussels2
It is Government in General. You are not alone. Best you can do is flow around it and through it. The masses will consume themselves with mindless bickering and the Government will drink, get drunk and laugh at them. I understand your frustrations. Many of us do. But time should be focused on things you can control. Use the weight and momentum to your advantage, don’t let it fall on top of you. It is the same everywhere. Good Luck from the U.S.
Naphtali
Naphtali
1 year ago
Reply to  FromBrussels2
Amazingly, emptyheads attract rather than repel. I know, it sounds quite unnatural, but empirically, it appears to solidly hold as factual. So far, every experimental test has indicated this property holds solidly as a neo-social law. Perhaps it may become the first law of neo-feudalism.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
1 year ago
Reply to  FromBrussels2
How come you don’t know the chain of command?
Controlled media: Bloomberg, Reuters uber alles. Reprint media and translators down the chain of command.
CIA/journo double agents.
Taxpayer funded think tanks, foundations etc… Free revolving door exchange.
Graduated bootlickers for the leadership positions.
Hope you have enough wood for the winter.
effendi
effendi
1 year ago
Reply to  FromBrussels2
The truth? You can’t handle the truth. The few good men who could have made rational decisions have been sidelined by the groupthink of the EU minions running Europe into the ditch. Is there a single head of government in Europe who has said that relying on solar is a farce? Or has said that wind has major issues when the wind doesn’t blow? No, they all parrot the same green nonsense and now you are paying the price
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
Reply to  FromBrussels2
Either empty heads or mutually assured blackmail… If I know something bad about you; and you know something bad about me; we are joined at the hip. Now, what could that something be?

Stay Informed

Subscribe to MishTalk

You will receive all messages from this feed and they will be delivered by email.