September 20, 2021
Initial Weekly Unemployment Claims Recession Warning
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Initial Weekly Unemployment Claims Recession Warning

Will initial unemployment claims provide a recession warning? If so, how long?
Author:
Will initial unemployment claims provide a recession warning? If so, how long?

Calculated Risk puts out a nice chart of Initial Recession Claims every month.

The text anecdotes in blue are mine, as are the boxes.

I like the chart, not for what it says, but for what is doesn't say.

Will we have a recession warning or not?

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My guess is no.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

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