by Mish

Bloomberg reports Le Pen Says French Foreign Policy Must Be Decided in Paris.

Laying out her foreign-policy vision in a speech in Paris, Le Pen spoke of a world based on nation states that pursue their own interest and preserve their own cultures without interference.
“To assure the freedom of the French, there is no price too high too pay,” Le Pen said. “The foreign policy of France will be decided in Paris, and no alliance, no ally, can speak in her place.”
Her first move as president would be to renegotiate EU treaties as an initial step toward creating a “Europe of Nations,” she said. She saluted Britain’s vote to leave the EU, and said she’d withdraw from NATO’s military command.
“I rejoice in Europeans claiming back their freedom against the attempts to create an artificial superstate,” she said. “The European Union is not the solution, it’s the problem.”
On the U.S., she said she was hopeful President Donald Trump would reverse what she described as interventionist policies of President Barack Obama. She listed support for rebels in Libya and Syria as “mistakes” that have undermined world peace.

EU is a Problem

The EU is a problem, not the problem. Other problems include the euro (to which le Pen would agree), productivity, and socialism (to which le Pen would disagree).

Le Pen is also correct in blasting US intervention.

Le Pen Can Win

I think le Pen can win the French election. Her blast of NATO and immigration and her focus on jobs is very likely to resonate with voters. Things are already running her way.

PresiTrackPoll results show eurosceptic Marine le Pen is not only in the lead for round one, but she has significantly closed the gap in round two as well.

Voter Preference Two Key Points

  1. Le Pen Topped Macron on February 22, Taking the Lead for the First Time.
  2. Macron Down Five Percentage Points Since February 7.

“Without thinking of the candidate who has your preference, among the following candidates in the presidential election, which one has scored the most points in the past week?

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Marine le Pen is scoring the most points with voters despite a recent surge for Fillon.


  1. Le Pen stacks up well vs. Macron and Fillon on Jobs, pensions, security, terrorism, and immigration.
  2. The idea she cannot win or is highly unlikely to win is a serious mistake.
  3. Those on the Right may well vote for Macron in that pairing, but will those on the Left vote for Fillon?
  4. I suspect Le Pen would beat Fillon.

For more details, please see French Elections: Another “Unthinkable” Result Coming Up?

Mike “Mish” Shedlock

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Pollsters Get One Right: Macron and Le Pen Square Off in Round Two as Expected

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Marine Le Pen’s Eurosceptic “National Front” Party Takes Lead in France National Poll

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French presidential candidate François Fillon won a temporary reprieve in charges that he paid his wife and children €880,000 for work they did not do. The charges are dubbed Penelopegate” after his wife Penelope.

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French elections looking increasingly like a Marine le Pen, Alain Juppe match-up as Juppe Widens Lead Over Sarkozy in French Primary.