Starting on February 26 the number of global cases took an exponential jump. A few days later, as one would expect, the number of deaths took an even bigger jump as measure by slope on a logarithmic chart.

Yesterday, I was accused on Twitter of being a fearmonger. A second person said I did not understand exponential growth rates implying that I was watching linear charts.

Understated Charts

If anything, those charts, especially on the number of cases, are way understated.


  1. The data from China is not believable.
  2. The data from India india is not believable.
  3. The data from the US is not believable.


1: China is a basketcase of manipulated lies. Virtually no one believes their numbers, especially on deaths.

2: India is the second most populous country in the world, with more than 1 billion citizens. The country is a sanitation mess. A staggering 344 million practice open defecation. For further discussion, please see Massive Surge in India Coronavirus Cases Guaranteed

3: US data is suspect primarily due to lack of testing, not lies or coverups.

We cannot fix data from India and Africa, both without a doubt growing exponentially, but we can look at what's happening in the US or rest of the world excluding China.

US Cases

Excellent Charts From Jim Bianco

I think we need to track the US separately and also the developed world where testing is likely to be believable separately.

  1. US
  2. US, Canada, EU
  3. World Excluding China


I will ask Jim for that set of tracking.

Trending Fake News

Powell !!!!

Fake News on Fake News

I discussed fake news earlier today in Trump Blames Fake News Media and Oil

For fake news on Trump's "perfectly coordinated and fine tuned plan", please see Trump's Not Worried, So Why Should You?

Most Frightening Disease I've Ever Encountered

CDC Says Restrict Visits

Was this recommendation coordinated with media czar VP Mike Pence?

Amtrak Shutdown

What about Trump's claim that everything is running?

Is that fake news?

Question of Leadership

An Appropriate Metaphor

I am sure relieved this is No Worse Than the Flu™.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

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The pool of severe cases keeps rising. Most of the death counts will come from this pool.

Massive 14,840 Coronavirus Case Jump in Single Day

Yesterday China reported fewer than 2,000 new cases. Today it's nearly 15,000.

Coronavirus Death and Illness Stats Update

Mainstream media is slow to update. Instead, let's check into some Tweets.

Massive Surge in India Coronavirus Cases Guaranteed

Looking for the next coronavirus hotspot? Check out India.

Global Coronavirus Cases Jump 50% Overnight, 5 Now in US

There are now over 2,000 confirmed cases with 5 in the US. This is a lowball estimate, perhaps by a factor of 10.

Trump Blames Fake News Media and Oil

Fake news is everywhere. Let's take a look.

Coronavirus Can Spread in Poop and On Doorknobs

Let's take a look at some of the latest reports on the spread of the coronavirus.

Coronavirus Deaths Surge, No Containment In Sight

As the coronavirus "official" death toll nears 500, hospitals in China turn away cases.

US Cases Jump 14,000 in a Day, Germany Bans Groups of 3

The latest coronavirus news isn't pretty. Here's what's happening.