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Starting on February 26 the number of global cases took an exponential jump. A few days later, as one would expect, the number of deaths took an even bigger jump as measure by slope on a logarithmic chart.

Yesterday, I was accused on Twitter of being a fearmonger. A second person said I did not understand exponential growth rates implying that I was watching linear charts.

Understated Charts

If anything, those charts, especially on the number of cases, are way understated.

Why?

  1. The data from China is not believable.
  2. The data from India india is not believable.
  3. The data from the US is not believable.

Explanations

1: China is a basketcase of manipulated lies. Virtually no one believes their numbers, especially on deaths.

2: India is the second most populous country in the world, with more than 1 billion citizens. The country is a sanitation mess. A staggering 344 million practice open defecation. For further discussion, please see Massive Surge in India Coronavirus Cases Guaranteed

3: US data is suspect primarily due to lack of testing, not lies or coverups.

We cannot fix data from India and Africa, both without a doubt growing exponentially, but we can look at what's happening in the US or rest of the world excluding China.

US Cases

Excellent Charts From Jim Bianco

I think we need to track the US separately and also the developed world where testing is likely to be believable separately.

  1. US
  2. US, Canada, EU
  3. World Excluding China

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I will ask Jim for that set of tracking.

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Fake News on Fake News

I discussed fake news earlier today in Trump Blames Fake News Media and Oil

For fake news on Trump's "perfectly coordinated and fine tuned plan", please see Trump's Not Worried, So Why Should You?

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Was this recommendation coordinated with media czar VP Mike Pence?

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What about Trump's claim that everything is running?

Is that fake news?

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An Appropriate Metaphor

I am sure relieved this is No Worse Than the Flu™.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock