Three New Records
- Hospitalized: 101,487
- In ICU: 20,145
- On Ventilation: 7,094
Data from the Covid Tracking Project.
Cumulative Hospitalizations and Deaths
As go cases and hospitalizations, so go deaths with a lag. Thanksgiving is starting to have an impact.
Mish
Deaths set a new record today. Final number will probably be close to 3200.
Its unfortunate some of our biggest social gatherings occur in the time period of lowest sun exposure and the resulting drop in Vitamin D levels. Thanksgiving, Xmas, and New Years are really spreading or gonna spread this big time. Its gonna be rough thru April or until we get everyone vaccinated with an effective vaccine. Meanwhile eat Salmon, take your Vitamin D, and hunker down. Excercise, learn how to play a musical instrument, paint, do home improvement projects, etc…
Elections have consequences. Campaign rallies and post election celebrations certainly lead to record breaking COVID hospitalizations and daily death rates.
prophylaxis of any sort may not be able to overcome a big dose of virus from close contact without masks, IVM has a much better safety profile; the developer of I-MASK plus no longer recommends hydrozychloroquine as I understand it.
What is I-Mask and IVM?
Google is returning face cream, goggles, and a government agency in Holland.
It is actually “I-MASK+”. My search engine returned this:
Mr. Giuliani said in October that he was taking the antimalarial drug hydroxychloroquine as a preventive measure. The Food and Drug Administration revoked the emergency authorization for the drug in June due to safety concerns. Public-health officials say there is no compelling scientific evidence to support the use of hydroxychloroquine to prevent Covid-19.
Rudy is now in the hospital with Covid-19 after testing positive. As much as I detest Rudy and have mocked him I hoipe he gets better. Still worth noting that he will get access to hospital resources, medications and treatments that 99% of Americans can’t get
On the bright side, Rudy arguing for the constitutionality of a President to pardon himself in front of the Supreme Court is going to be hilarious (if he doesn’t get disbarred before then)!
doubt it comes to that. most likely Trump pardons his family , then resigns and Pence pardons Trump. Trump may not like resigning but I can’t imagine him rolling the ice and hoping the self-pardon holds up, especially when there is a fool proof alternative
What are the safety concerns?
Any data on fatalities?
It’s been used globally for 60 years, the safety envelope was well established before 2019.
The one safety concern with HCQ is related to the heart. It should not be given to people with known heart issues. That makes it difficult with regards to Covid19, since Covid is known to cause heart issues.
And the data on fatalities?
How many people have died from normal dosages of HCQ the past 60 years?
Data from the last 60 years would not include any patients whose hearts had been damaged by Covid, so they aren’t relevant to this situation. There were numerous studies that showed an increase in fatalities when HCQ was given to hospitalized patients with advanced Covid. The EUA that was granted to allow for HCQ use early in the pandemic turned out to be exactly wrong. It did not allow HCQ to be given early, when it might be beneficial, and had no risk. Instead HCQ was allowed only for hospitalized patients where patients already had possible heart involvement, and where there was a significant risk of complications.
I don’t think it was done maliciously, or by some conspiracy. I think it was easier to do studies on patients in a hospital setting. In any case, later studies have shown that HCQ wasn’t beneficial even when given early. Going from memory, there was a study of 163,000 patients who were taking HCQ for other reasons, and they had nearly identical rates of infection and death. With that huge amount of data, even a small beneficial effect would have been easily seen. By contrast Ivermectin seems to be showing much more promise. I have yet to see a study where it wasn’t shown to be beneficial.
Not going to peak in the US until January, according to Fauci and IHME.
California tops the state list, but I still see the 7 day rolling average of deaths lagging well behind last year. To accept the ICU data here, we will need about a 40% jump before Christmas in deaths to beat last year. Meanwhile Sweden 7 day rolling average on deaths is in marked decline since Thanksgiving, after peaking far below last winter. I say we are peaking.
Take your Vitamin D. It’s about your latitude, so pay attention.
“The study proves no correlation between the country surge date and its 2 weeks preceding temperature or humidity, but shows an impressive linear correlation with its latitude. The country surge date corresponds to the time when its sun UV daily dose drops below ≈ 34% of that of 0° latitude. Introducing reported seasonal blood 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentration variation into reported link between acute respiratory track infection risk with 25(OH)D concentration quantitatively explains the surge dynamics.”
In many cases treatment in the hospital is too little, too late. Early outpatient treatment has been largely ignored by the U.S. media and medical establishment despite good results across the world.
For example, in 4 months, Honduras went from a fatality rate of 14.5 percent to 2.66 percent because of its early treatment regimen, “Catracho”: colchicine, anti-inflammatories, tocilizumab, ivermectin, blood thinners, and hydroxychloroquine.
California has about 10 million more residents than Texas but has recorded fewer deaths from thecovid-19 virus.
Can’t pardon COVID
And Covid won’t be handing out any pardons either.
Something’s off about the quantity vaccine doses under Warp Speed.
Distribution is by states population. Illinois, with almost 13 million people is getting 109,000 doses which is less than 1% of the population. ( A week or so ago, they thought they would be getting 400,000 doses)
That would mean less than 3 million doses for the US.(The DOD a week or so ago was talking about 20 million doses.)
Over-promising and unde-delivering?
Would any be surprised if this turned out to be another in the long list of failures under the Trump administration ? He wants credit for the vaccine but if the rollout doesn’t make it quickly, a lot more people are going to die.
You can have mine as I am not taking it.
What is it that you use to say Mish ? The party is over long. Turn the lights out .
Do the hospital still have “Candy Stripers”? Are any Hooters waitresses out of work? For $5000/day just for the hospital room (don’t worry, it’s insured!) lets at least improve the morale, before the old geezers shuffle off this mortal coil.
Rudy tests positive and immediately gets a bed. The rest of us are getting turned away.
Some animals are more equal than others.
I’m sure everyone in Trump’s circle will have a bed and dose of regeneron whenever necessary.
Is there any truth in the reports i’m reading that the current US death total is little changed over last year and that deaths in other areas are less?
No
See
See the graph down from the top of:
If TheStreet allows this comment thru. 🙂 It did not allow a more direct URL for the graphic, itself.
Many were also able to skip the draft during the Viet Nam war.
The report you are referring to was a model by a economics researcher at Johns Hopkins based on theory not actual numbers.
Well no. Her theory was based on downloading the numbers.
She was very surprised.
I don’t know if she’s right.
Yes.
No. The population is declining precipitously.
Soon there will not be enough people to fill the job openings.
Rudy is a follower of HCQ. The travesty is, that he probably doesn’t need the bed.
“Rudy is a follower of HCQ. The travesty is, that he probably doesn’t need the bed.”
… OR, since nobody forced him into the hospital, maybe he chose to go because he is sick and HCQ doesn’t work.
Yes, quite possible. It’s anecdotal, but I’m curious enough to be listening for updates.
It’s sad to hear about anyone having to be hospitalized regardless if they were careless or not. I am confused by the statement that “The rest of us are getting turned away.” Is there widespread regular sick people who require hospitalization that are getting turned away? I have heard of bed shortages resulting in the transfer of patients, but not about outright denial.