New Tally Shows the LA Port Ship Logjam is Longer Than Ever

Wait Time Hits New Record

Despite the fact that merchants say they are well-stocked for Christmas, the Logjam Stretching Far Into Pacific Is Longer Than Ever.

The number of container ships headed for the busiest U.S. port complex has risen to close to 100 under a new counting method, underscoring the magnitude of the economy-restraining logjam that the Biden administration is trying to help alleviate.

The backup outside the adjacent ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, California, involves 96 container carriers, up from 86 on Nov. 16, when a new queuing system took effect and dozens of arriving ships stayed outside the official area to be counted, according to the Marine Exchange of Southern California. The revised measure released late Friday includes those eastbound vessels farther out in the Pacific.

Just when it looked like the bottleneck was easing — the previous official tally was 41 ships in the queue as of Thursday — the latest numbers confirm that the most visible symbol of the U.S.’s overwhelmed supply chains is still likely months away from being cleared. The average wait for ships was 20.8 days as of Friday, almost a week longer than a month ago, according to the L.A.’s Wabtec Port Optimizer.

Walmart Raises Forecast and Says Shelves Are Stocked for Holiday Shoppers

On November 16, the WSJ reported Walmart Raises Forecast and Says Shelves Are Stocked for Holiday Shoppers

“We gained market share in grocery in the U.S., and more customers and members are returning to our stores and clubs,” said Walmart Chief Executive Doug McMillon in a news release Tuesday. He said that Walmart has enough products to serve customers over the holiday season. “Customers continue to move away from early pandemic behaviors,” Mr. McMillon said on a call with analysts.

Some of the biggest U.S. retailers, including Walmart, Home Depot Inc. and Target Corp., have chartered their own cargo ships to sidestep congestion at U.S. ports.

“Our scale has benefited us,” Home Depot Chief Financial Officer Richard McPhail told The Wall Street Journal. Besides chartering ships, Mr. McPhail cited the ability to use Home Depot’s cavernous stores to facilitate deliveries, and to negotiate with shipping carriers and trucking firms for lower rates. “Scale matters, they can count on our volume so it’s an advantage.”

Walmart said it had more products flowing through its supply chain this quarter than the same period last year when pandemic demand for some products strained supply. U.S. inventory rose 11.5% in the quarter as “preparation for an expected strong holiday season,” the company said.

If stores are well stocked, what do we make of a record 96 container ships off the California coast with a 21 day average wait?

On top of that factoid, Christmas is only 19 days away. 

Even if these ships to port, there is no way the late-arrival merchandise makes it to stores in time for Christmas.  

What to Make of It? A Q&Q Not Q&A

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thimk
thimk
2 years ago
Perhaps our record current account  imbalances have exceeded port capacity .
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
2 years ago
Reply to  thimk
We’ve reached the stage where we’re only qualified to cheer for Dear Leader and make money off our house by now. Offloading ships is way too complimecated and challenging.
The only reason the Chinese can offload ships, is because their Dear Leaders are mean. And they, like, are, like, slave labors. That’s what our Dear Leaders tweet. And our Dear Leaders are good Dear Leaders. Unlike all the other Dear Leaders, who are bad Dear Leaders. Our Dear Leaders should hold all the other Dear Leaders accountable! And stuff!
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
If the stores are well-stocked yet there is a long line of ships off of LA then the logical conclusion is that retailers are talking about their particular stores and do not speak for the whole sector. Alternately one could say that a store chain who says they are not well-stocked would lose sales to those chains who say they are well-stocked so the logical thing to do is to claim they are well-stocked when they are not leading to everybody saying they are well-stocked which is the situation we see today. 
The goods on those ships we ordered by somebody so when everyone claims to not to need those goods I have to conclude that someone is lying but who?
randocalrissian
randocalrissian
2 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Something about perception equals reality. Sounds about right.
KidHorn
KidHorn
2 years ago
What I’ve noticed at stores is there isn’t a shortage of overall products. There’s a limited selection. For example, there are 50 flavors of ice cream, but they only have 10 of the flavors in stock, so they display 5x more vanilla than usual. When I shopped for thanksgiving side dishes, they had tons of mac and cheese but no stuffing or sweet potatoes.
Felix_Mish
Felix_Mish
2 years ago
Ah, yesssss, notice that things are priced so much higher now.
Well, just as those evil Oil Companies hoard precious oil in tankers to cruelly skyrocket the price of oil, these container ships are hoarding precious goods from us simply to run up the price! This is how greedy, fat-cat plutocrats of the parasitic class brazenly steal our hard-earned money.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
2 years ago
“If stores are well stocked, what do we make of a record 96 container ships off the California coast with a 21 day average wait?”
That arbitrary de facto restrictions are preventing pricing mechanisms from functioning as they would in a free society.
Just as is the case wrt housing shortages, healthcare shortages, (problematic) wealth inequalities, getting buttwhipped by sandal wearing dudes operating on a shoestring, drug problems and the rest of the pathologies which make up all that is left of this bunghole at the bottom of a manurepile.
Christoball
Christoball
2 years ago
Reply to  StukiMoi
The bull whipping sandal wearing type dudes operating on a shoestring are the worst. They always think they are so advanced.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
2 years ago
Reply to  Christoball
“They always think they are so advanced.”
Compared to the current West, they are……
TCW
TCW
2 years ago
I saw a video a few days ago where someone documented that the cranes used to unload the ships had not moved all day long.  
Christoball
Christoball
2 years ago
This could be good news
TechLover1
TechLover1
2 years ago
There is a bullwhip effect coming into play as well once people stop hoarding. The holiday season is going to be over soon as well.
If the supply becomes high relative to the demand on the ebb of bullwhip effect, inflation will go really low, might even be negative.
Most factories in China and onshore are working close to limit. If demand normalizes, all the inventory in transit might cause an oversupply in the next three months.
Jmurr
Jmurr
2 years ago
It’s amazing how similar Biden is to Trump. Instead of competently solve a problem just lie about it and then come up with some gimmick like releasing oil from strategic reserve. It sounds good but it does nothing to solve the problem. 
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
2 years ago
Once all the stores are looted or closed, shipping containers will become the next target.
KidHorn
KidHorn
2 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
LOL. There will be a big hiring demand for experienced Somali pirates.
Bam_Man
Bam_Man
2 years ago
Bear in mind that NOTHING on any of those container ships has been paid for yet.
The bank issuing a letter of credit does not pay the beneficiary (most likely an exporter in China) until the goods have been physically delivered.
There may very well be more going on here (economic/financial warfare) than most people realize.
KidHorn
KidHorn
2 years ago
Reply to  Bam_Man
You might be right, but my money’s on gross incompetence.
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Not paid but ordered.

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