Pew Reports Trump’s Approval Rating Drops to 38 Percent

Trump’s support, even among Republicans is dropping. But does it matter?

More Opposition than Support

Pew reports Trump’s Tariffs and ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’ Face More Opposition Than Support

Six months into his second term, public evaluations of President Donald Trump’s job performance have grown more negative. His job approval stands at 38% (60% disapprove), and fewer Americans now attribute several positive personal characteristics to him than did so during the campaign.

  • Trump’s tariff policy and the ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’ are viewed more negatively than positively by Americans.
  • By about 2 to 1, more say Trump is making the federal government work worse, rather than better
  • Trump’s job approval rating slips, including among his 2024 voters
  • Trump is widely viewed as standing up for his beliefs, while far fewer say he’s honest or a good role model
  • Republicans narrowly disapprove of administration’s handling of Epstein information, and nearly 4 in 10 do not trust what is being shared

Role Model, Honesty, Beliefs

Confidence in Trump

Making Government Work Better

That one is interesting because of the partisan breakdown.

Only 55 percent of Republicans or those who lean Republican think Trump is making the federal government work better.

70 Percent Disapprove of Trump’s Epstein Handling

I wonder to what extent Epstein, Israel, and Ukraine collectively account for Trump’s 10 percentage point drop in the lead chart.

One Big Beautiful Bill Act

The partisan divide is also interesting on this one. Only 21 percent of Rep/Lean Rep strongly approve of the OBBBA. However 61 percent of Dem/Lean Dem strongly disapprove.

Unsure Rep/Lean Rep are a big 23 percent.

Tariff Policies

Only 40 percent of Rep/Lean Rep are mostly positive about tariffs.

Expected Results

Trump is sure to denounce the poll as a fraud, but it makes sense to me.

There is a lot of dissent over Epstein, Tariffs, and the OBBBA that barely passed Congress.

The only thing mildly unexpected is how many Republicans are sitting on the fence.

Does Any of This Matter?

That’s the real question, and the answer is uncertain.

The incumbent party normally loses seats in midterms. So who will be more energized?

Democrats keep attacking the wrong stuff and have not even backed down on woke nonsense despite overwhelming bipartisan support to do so.

Gerrymandering wars are on, and arguably Republicans have a better shot at success.

Trump’s Hyperbolic Nonsense

Truth Social Link

Tariffs are having a huge positive impact on the Stock Market. Almost every day, new records are set. In addition, Hundreds of Billions of Dollars are pouring into our Country’s coffers. If a Radical Left Court ruled against us at this late date, in an attempt to bring down or disturb the largest amount of money, wealth creation and influence the U.S.A. has ever seen, it would be impossible to ever recover, or pay back, these massive sums of money and honor. It would be 1929 all over again, a GREAT DEPRESSION! If they were going to rule against the wealth, strength, and power of America, they should have done so LONG AGO, at the beginning of the case, where our entire Country, while never having a chance at this kind of GREATNESS again, would not have been put in 1929 style jeopardy. There is no way America could recover from such a judicial tragedy, but I know our Court System better than anyone, there is no one in history that has gone through the trials, tribulations and uncertainties such as I, and absolutely terrible, but also amazingly beautiful, things can happen. Our Country deserves SUCCESS AND GREATNESS, NOT TURMOIL, FAILURE, AND DISGRACE. GOD BLESS AMERICA!

So, we collect tariffs from US businesses and consumers, and it would be impossible to pay them back.

Yet, Trump says he’s considering rebate checks for Americans based on tariff revenue

Somehow it would be impossible to pay back $300 billion out of a budget of $7 trillion. Yet, possible to send out rebate checks of some of that money.

The Midterm Election Determining Factors

This will come down to is jobs, inflation, and recession. Epstein, Russia, and Israel are on the far back burner unless a big war breaks out.

For now, the economy is in a muddle-through mode. But big court decisions are coming up on reciprocal tariffs and birthright citizenship.

I have 95 percent confidence Trump will lose reciprocal tariffs in the Appeals Court. I have less confidence if the Supreme Court reviews the decision (although it’s logically clear Trump should lose).

Meanwhile, the strong likelihood is jobs are weakening much faster than the BLS says. This is what happens at economic turns. And jobs is another area where Trump has overpromised and underdelivered.

Untangle the above mess with confidence, and you have your midterm answer. The polls are too early to tell.

Related Posts

May 28, 2025: Court of International Trade Strikes Down Trump’s Liberation Day Tariffs

This is an enormous ruling. 5 Reasons the court is correct.

August 1, 2025: Payroll Disaster, Jobs Rise 73,000 but Massive Negative Revisions

There were 258,000 negative revisions in May and June.

August 11, 2025: Over Half the US Has Major Stress Over the Price of Food

Are you stressed out over food?

August 8, 2025: The Mish U1 Recession Indicator Is Flashing a Big Warning

My U1 (15-weeks unemployment recession indicator) is very elevated.

The Big Irony

Trump says we will have a depression if the courts reverse him. The opposite is more likely.

Trump would be the biggest beneficiary if the courts reverse reciprocal tariffs, at least in terms of staving off recession.

Inflation might be another matter. I have not seen anyone else discuss this.

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This post originated on MishTalk.Com

Thanks for Tuning In!

Mish

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IRISH
IRISH
4 months ago

oh come on it has to be below zero.

dave barnes
dave barnes
4 months ago

On the other hand, Insider Advantage has Fat Donnie at +10 per RealClearPolitics

Eyes of Horus
Eyes of Horus
4 months ago

In regards to Pew: PU!!!

BenW
BenW
4 months ago

Per Noem, 1.6M illegals have self-deported in 200 days, which is jaw dropping.

Your mileage may vary on whether this improves or lowers your personal rating of Trump.

For me, it definitely improves my view of how he’s doing, but I’m not happy about the all over the charts TACO’ing on tariffs.

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
4 months ago
Reply to  BenW

… but is it true? These clowns lie like they breathe.

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  BenW

If a Dem president wins in 2028, be assured that they will open the borders again and make sure the flood of illegals are directed to Blue states, as this will help Congressional apportionment in the 2030 census.

Jeff Kassel
Jeff Kassel
4 months ago
Reply to  BenW

I don’t believe Noem. How would she know?

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
4 months ago

LOL don’t let leftist judges cause the Greatest Depression. You really need to be stunted to believe this mope’s baloney.

bmcc
bmcc
4 months ago

democracy works. assholes elect assholes to do asshole things. hat tip “republic of Plato” for warning all thinking men. amerikans are assholes. hence our asshole representatives and asshole policies. philosophy drives politics which drives policies. a philosophy of being an asshole will have asshole policies. the vast majority of amerikans cannot handle the truth of themselves and their parents and grandparents being assholes. reality is hard, for assholes to face.

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
4 months ago
Reply to  bmcc

Stupid people are the majority. 100 IQ means stupid, and it doesn’t get reasonable until 115 or so. Do stupid people not deserve stupid representaiton?

The eugenicist in me says we should hunt them for sport… but that’s always a slippery slope to finding one’s self on the wrong end of the bell curve.

Stu
Stu
4 months ago

Let’s see how much higher it shoots up, now that the war in Ukraine is all but over. Trump and Putin 100% Agree that Peace is needed, and the sooner the better. Let it be written, let it be DONE!!!
Z can pound sand, and be happy with the $$ that he got. He is simply a turd in the punch bowl now…

Nicely Done Trump & Putin!!! The Man of Peace does it Again!!

MelvinRich
MelvinRich
4 months ago
Reply to  Stu

“The man of peace”. No offense, but you forgot the Gaza genocide.

bmcc
bmcc
4 months ago
Reply to  MelvinRich

vermin don’t count. AIPAC approved.

Stu
Stu
4 months ago
Reply to  MelvinRich

You’re confusing Countries. We live in America, and ironically that’s where Our President is also from…

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
4 months ago
Reply to  MelvinRich

… and the Israeli pedo, Tom Artiom Alexandrovich, that got caught in a sting and magically got whisked back to Israel instead of standing trial: https://www.lvmpd.com/Home/Components/News/News/2182/263

Pedos protecting pedos.

The Man of Pedophelia.

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  MelvinRich

No such thing.

John Overington
John Overington
4 months ago

Just like the FED, Goldman Sachs, BLS, et al, Pew has no idea what it’s doing and should be following Trump’s guidance. Trump’s approval must be near 1500% by now and rising fast by my reckoning. (For $300,000 per annum, I’ll run Pew correctly thank you very much.)

Jon
Jon
4 months ago

You can tell it is false news because they use the phrases “Rep/Leans Rep and Dem/Leans Dem”. Everyone knows it should be Great American/ Regular American and Radical Leftist Loser/Regular Commie Sympathizer”.

mmc1968
mmc1968
4 months ago

Mish, you should change the name of the blog to trumptalk.com or alltrumpallofthetime.com. You seem obsessed with Trump.

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

Exactly. He makes sure that everything is all about him by attempting to control everything he sees that day. And the press is there to provide the audience. Which makes him hard to ignore.

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

And the more he talks, the more variations we hear, which provides plenty of fodder for never-ending discussions by the MSM.

I’ve noticed this on the evening and Sunday political talk shows. One of the most common subjects/themes is “but Trump said this in the past and this doesn’t match what he is saying now”, ad Infinitum. These segments fill time but don’t advance the discussion in any meaningful manner.

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
4 months ago
Reply to  Jojo

Reasons why I stopped watching those shows well over a decade ago

Woodsie Guy
Woodsie Guy
4 months ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

Maybe talk about your favorite recipes; your thoughts on micro plastics; whether you are a cat or dog person; or maybe your thoughts on the meaning of the universe?

In all seriousness, mmc1968 is just pissed that you are accurately calling Trump out on his bullshit. Pay him no mind Mish.

dave barnes
dave barnes
4 months ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

I have not seen him babble about chocolate prices.

mmc1968
mmc1968
4 months ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

Lol, thank you for proving my point. Have a nice day.

Last edited 4 months ago by mmc1968
Doug78
Doug78
4 months ago
Reply to  mmc1968

Blog rule number 1.

Talk about things your readers want to talk about.

Michael Engel
Michael Engel
4 months ago
Reply to  Doug78

The herd is fed three times a day.

Last edited 4 months ago by Michael Engel
randocalrissian
randocalrissian
4 months ago
Reply to  mmc1968

mmc you should FO and find somewhere you like instead of electing to be miserable

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
4 months ago
Reply to  mmc1968

Buck up snowflake… the Cheeto Pedo is what’s going on.

Jeff Kassel
Jeff Kassel
4 months ago
Reply to  mmc1968

Trump is a lightning rod and the tariffs are a real problem. Most businesses that import are counting on the courts overturning the tariffs, which is likely. One court already ruled against Trump’s tariffs. It’s not an emergency and Trump doesn’t have the authority to impose tariffs or any taxes. The law he cites says nothing about imposing tariffs.Tariffs are a terrible idea. To me it looks like Trump is carrying out Putin’s agenda: Wreck America’s trade relations, destroy our close relationship with Europe, Canada, Mexico, Japan and everybody else; Trump has harmed our relationship with NATO which makes Putin Happy; Trump is making America worse and damaging our economy with a trade war and uncertainty; Trump isn’t helping Ukraine much; Trump lies to us nearly everyday, reducing our Trust in government. And aside from the lunatics who voted to give Trump a second term, most sane people want Trump removed before he does more damage to our country.

Michael Engel
Michael Engel
4 months ago

Frosty, please come back. We miss u.

Michael Engel
Michael Engel
4 months ago

If more Kamala’s voters responded to the puke poll the haters won. When 90% of the comments are Anti Trump ==> Mish has a very good day. He is proud of his herd.

Avery2
Avery2
4 months ago
Reply to  Michael Engel

The tell – did any of the “celebrities” really move to Canada?

Michael Engel
Michael Engel
4 months ago
Reply to  Avery2

The Canadians didn’t return home. They moved to Portugal.

Stu
Stu
4 months ago
Reply to  Avery2

I think 1 moved to Ireland?

Michael Engel
Michael Engel
4 months ago

Trump doesn’t care about the puke report.

Phil in CT
Phil in CT
4 months ago

These numbers are still far too high. It’s horrifying how low the average voter’s IQ is. Trump voters have stained America’s reputation in a way that we may never recover from.

Jon
Jon
4 months ago
Reply to  Phil in CT

I travel outside the US often. When people first determine I’m an American, they treat me like I’m an idiot. When they learn I despise Trump as much as they do, they simply feel sorry for me. Amazing how far the country has fallen in a few short months.

Rando Comment Guy
Rando Comment Guy
4 months ago

We all know real estate and the stock market are overvalued, inflation is still rampant, and the nation’s fiscal outlook and debt load are deteriorating. To expect this ship to turn around in 210 days when everyone is out to sabotage the administration again with endless lawsuits and smears just isn’t realistic. Decades of mismanagement by all three branches of government and the Fed can’t really be fixed by one administration in a few weeks. And corrective policies with short term pain often take years to see the long term benefits. Just purging woke from the military and restoring merit will take at least ten years.

Jon
Jon
4 months ago

Debt loads are deteriorating because of the massive revenue reductions enacted in Trump’s first term and continued in the OBBB. Inflation is rampant because of Trump policies instituted during COVID and his free money handouts. He is the cause, not the solution.

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
4 months ago

Ah yes, Trump sent by Jesus to save us all. Thanks for seeing it all so clearly and objectively

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago

The polls do not matter. Congress and the Senate don’t matter. The justice system doesn’t matter. The constitution doesn’t matter.

Trump will do what he wants. Get used to it. And try to figure out how to improve your life on your own. Because no one in government, including Trump, is going to make your life significantly better. Only you can do that.

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
4 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

The government never built a thing, according to some

Albert
Albert
4 months ago

Given Trump‘s stagflationary policies which are disastrous for the SME sector (about half of the economy), 38 percent approval is amazingly high. He should be down around 30 percent, essentially the hard-core MAGA base.

Jon
Jon
4 months ago
Reply to  Albert

That percentage is the core Fox News viewership. There is no way for them to have any other perspective.

Angry Senior
Angry Senior
4 months ago

Look up the Pew Gate scandal. Pew isn’t reliable.

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago

Fortune enfuego today.
Immigrants worked for lower wages for many jobs that most Americans don’t want to do.
If you need a dishwasher now it’s going to cost you.
This is going to put a lot of pressure on wages which will of course push inflation higher.

Donald Trump’s new immigration policies—including deporting, the White House claims, about 750 immigrants a day on average—are helping drive up prices, Moody’s chief economist Mark Zandi told Fortune.
He says if Trump continues deporting immigrants at the current rate, inflation will go from 2.5% to somewhere close to 4% “by the time it hits its peak early next year.”
Zandi says his stark prediction is based on recent inflation data. “Foreign-born labor force is declining, and the overall labor force has gone flat since the beginning of the year,” he added. “That’s causing tightening in a lot of markets, adding to costs and inflation.”

YP_Yooper
YP_Yooper
4 months ago
Reply to  Wilbur Mercer

Illegal aliens leaving? Good.
Even H1B leaving, even better.

Companies dependent on that cheap labor should go under. Companies making fortunes on H1B should pay more to US employees.

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  YP_Yooper

H1B offers some the illusion that they can break BRICS+.
But this didn’t make much of a wave.

U.S. travel advisory warns citizens of crime, rape, terrorism in India, urges ‘increased caution’ June 23, 2025

The U.S. has issued an advisory for its citizens travelling to India, urging “increased caution” due to crime and rape, and advising them not to travel to certain parts of central and eastern parts of the country due to terrorism.
The travel advisory issued last week states that “rape is one of the fastest growing crimes in India” and violent crimes, including sexual assault, happen at tourist sites and other locations.

Doug78
Doug78
4 months ago
Reply to  Wilbur Mercer

So the massive illegal immigration was to keep working wages down? I am so surprised.

Avery2
Avery2
4 months ago
Reply to  Wilbur Mercer

You had me at ‘Zandi’.

Stu
Stu
4 months ago
Reply to  Wilbur Mercer

– Immigrants worked for lower wages for many jobs that most Americans don’t want to do.
> Says you, or the tens of thousands out of work, that would love any job right now?

– If you need a dishwasher now it’s going to cost you.
> The same as a McDonalds Employee…

– This is going to put a lot of pressure on wages which will of course push inflation higher.
> That’s ridiculous! Dishwashers are not causing inflation, and neither are McDonalds workers.

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago

Meanwhile, the strong likelihood is jobs are weakening much faster than the BLS says. This is what happens at economic turns. And jobs is another area where Trump has overpromised and underdelivered.”

A major factor in the weakening of the job market is the widespread adoption of AI in business. Little of this gets written about in the MSM, so most people are unaware of the true impact of the AI juggernaut. AND we are just at the beginning of the avalanche!

There will be calls for the FED to lower interest rates but this is not going to help because the problem isn’t with companies, it is with our whole economic model.

In point of fact, it is only the huge company spending on AI that is actually keeping the economy afloat, as this short video segment illustrates.

Will AI save the economy?

Fareed Zakaria, GPS

17 Aug 2025

Massive spending on artificial intelligence is propping up the US economy. So will AI save us, or is it a bubble waiting to pop? Fareed speaks with journalist Derek Thompson, co-author of the bestseller “Abundance.”

https://www.cnn.com/2025/08/17/politics/video/gps-0817-ai-economy-increase

YP_Yooper
YP_Yooper
4 months ago
Reply to  Jojo

lol, really? So like the textile or silicon valley industries, we’ll just have fewer jobs because there’s a short-term inflow of money from those who benefit the most?

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  YP_Yooper

Yes. And during the transition to everything being free because all work is done by AI’s and robots, we will need some sort of UBI.

billybobjr
billybobjr
4 months ago

It looks like Zelensky is bringing everyone with him to the meeting tomorrow Nato secretary, head or European union and most all the heads of state of the European Nations . So Mish are they coming so they can all stand in front of the podium united and tell Trump to stick it up is A*****s ? No cease fire was a smart move they generally result in failure. The entire western leadership is droping their plans and heading to Washigton on very short notice . This blog will be in depression if they get a peace deal . They would prefer the march to a WW3 type scenario. The table is set if they reject peace Ukrain and the Europeans can fight it out with Russisa without the US either way Trump has set the table for a win win for the US no deal were done and they go at it, or peace your call Europe .

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  billybobjr

Are they gonna jetpool? I’ll pick you up first and then…

billybobjr
billybobjr
4 months ago
Reply to  Jojo

Funny , probably not . The the climate change finatics are about everyone else sacrificing not them they still fly and spew CO2 at thousands of times the rate average persons do . .

Doug78
Doug78
4 months ago
Reply to  billybobjr

It did suddenly get interesting. All parties are looking for a way out. Maybe they found a way. Time will tell.

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  Doug78

They did, goodbye Z. Does anyone know the company which manufactures the Z playing a piano with his dick action figure?
If there isn’t one yet China will make them cheap and sell a lot in Russia and NRK.

Maximus Minimus
Maximus Minimus
4 months ago
Reply to  billybobjr

I will watch it to see them bear hugging the dwarf.
I haven’t seen such since the time Brezhnev.

drodyssey
drodyssey
4 months ago
Reply to  billybobjr

Little Zelensky is like a gen Zer bringing his mother to the job interview. Except he is bringing the whole crazy family.

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago

Following the Zero Hedge crowd over the entire TACO process I have NEVER seen a group of supporters turn so rapidly.
The original MAGA folk were working class who wanted a change. I spoke with delivery people and other workers and they thought he being a business man would be better.
Rumor has it TACO ran just for fun against Hillary the first time. That when he won Melania sat in the hotel room crying.
Not their plan at all.
Supporters all those years. Stolen election and J6 still rabid supporters.
Now they are PISSED at damn near everything he does. They know TACO and family are bigger grifters than Biden or BUSHCO.
TACO doesn’t care final term and he pulled a WWE story line win.
On the interesting side someone posted that the whole TACO/BIDEN/TACO thing was preplanned. That each destroyed some part of the US in their own way.
I’m not certain if this has any meaning or not I think that obscenity rues were ended for cable network like Scifi. If you watch some series words were either bleeped or never used then suddenly you got the harder core obscenity. Not movie channels they were already allowed.
I always considered it a social “nudge” the same way TPTB “nudged” Rap into scary Black folk stuff. Suddenly the average person was allowed to act more common, that comicon geeks could stop using FRAK or FRELL and act like real adults.
It was very strange.
Coarser mentality coarser people meaner people.
Who knows but at this point it does not matter.
Vance 2026 with either Tulsi or MTG as VP.
Then again the Trump family may decide to simply grift their way until 2028 again with Vance and either of the women.
The Biden’s did with Joe.
It is fun to watch the slide into the police state and maintain enough balance to avoid the “#METOO decades earlier social media offhand quote that got so many men fired or shunned. Or the much simpler present day data searches.
Everyone has forgotten that some drunkguy in a bar during BUSHCO made an offhand comment about ” a burning bush” and was sent to federal prison.
From REDDIT

TIL that “threatening the President” even as a joke can send people to jail: Richard Humphreys said “God might speak to the world through a burning Bush,” in regards to President Bush, was found guilty and sentenced to 3 years in prison.
Second source

SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (AP) _ A man who made a remark about a “burning Bush” during the president’s March 2001 trip to Sioux Falls was sentenced Friday to 37 months in prison.
Richard Humphreys, of Portland, Ore., was convicted in September of threatening to kill or harm the president and said he plans to appeal. He has said the comment was a prophecy protected under his right to free speech.
Humphreys said he got into a barroom discussion in nearby Watertown with a truck driver. A bartender who overheard the conversation realized the president was to visit Sioux Falls the next day and told police Humphreys talked about a “burning Bush” and the possibility of someone pouring a flammable liquid on Bush and lighting it.
“I said God might speak to the world through a burning Bush,” Humphreys testified during his trial. “I had said that before and I thought it was funny.”
Dec 5, 2002

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  Wilbur Mercer

Have you ever thought of writing your own blog? Whew.

Doug78
Doug78
4 months ago
Reply to  Jojo

Or a novel along the line of “War and Peace”.

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  Doug78

Social media has forced people to default into less complex thinking. To pigeonhole every idea, culture and political view into on over simplistic worldview.
It made us STUPID.
In a complex world PEOPLE DIE.
Have you never heard of the DARWIN AWARDS? Or those who die taking selfies?
Texting mainly created this social programming or nudging. Dumbed us down and made us more crass.
The real question is who GAINS from lowering something like the US IQ?

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  Wilbur Mercer

Some people just like to “hear” themselves talk. Centuries ago, Shakespeare wrote that “Brevity is the soul of wit”.

You would do well to take this to heart.

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  Doug78

No but I do read every NEAL ASHER trilogy, and Genet, and the Beats, and Steinbeck ( They will never make another film based on his works unless it is bland), Gurdjieff, Ayn Rand ( Atlas Shrugged was not as well written as The Fountainhead plus Sometimes a Great Notion essentially restated what Rand advocated. Never Give An Inch), Heinlein, The Tao of Physics, Moby Dick which was less of a slog that American Psycho.( Most of the above before I was 18 which was drinking age back then)
For a funsies challenge spend a short amount of time watching Inside No 9. Possibly the best written series since the original Twilight Zone.
Throw in Deadwood and Spartacus ( Not the new chick one) for dialogue and acting.
My knowledge is a mile wide and an inch deep.
But I can see the patterns the waves make.
And I love a good story.

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  Jojo

No. I rarely poke my head into anything social.
I noticed some abstract thinkers but eventually will fade.
Remember I have been lurking for decades
Back when he was Mish and before the first tragedy.
Financial blogs like this one and ZH and that other guy who went paywall, all had good advice and lacked the political aspect.
Now everything is politics with little advice.
Then again when some company moves their tower inches closer to gain a fraction of a second in automated trading time how can one actually offer meaningful advice against the algos, early AI.

The Gazillion-Dollar Standoff Over Two High-Frequency Trading TowersThe hunt for a millionth-of-a-second advantage in the town best known for Wayne’s World is getting heated.
March 8, 2019

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  Wilbur Mercer

And I have a good long memory for seemingly small details which impact larger issues.

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  Wilbur Mercer

Remember I have been lurking for decades”

Many here would be happy were you to return to just lurking. You run on and on and contribute little of value.

klaus
klaus
4 months ago

Trump doesn’t care. He is still better than Uncle Joe.

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  klaus

Define “better”?

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  Wilbur Mercer

Death of wokeness. Was so freaking annoying!

Woodsie Guy
Woodsie Guy
4 months ago
Reply to  Jojo

Left wing wokeness was in decline before the election (this is a good thin. It has been replaced by right wing wokeness.

Both suck equally.

Creamer
Creamer
4 months ago
Reply to  Woodsie Guy

I see we’ve reached the point where the word “woke” is entirely meaningless and only used by morons. I’ll put it next to reciprocal on the no no shelf.

Jon
Jon
4 months ago
Reply to  Creamer

Lol. That point was reached long ago.

Anthony
Anthony
4 months ago
Reply to  Jojo

well, woke isn’t dead unfortunately, and even if it was it’s not worth burning the constitution and invading cities with federal troops, driving prices up on everything, and his general chaos.

MMchenry
MMchenry
4 months ago

Here she blows! Here comes inflation. I heard yesterday inflation retail benchmark juggernaut Dollar Tree sends 2 strong messages about the bottom 50%-plus:

  1. Prices are hiked from $1.25 to $1.50. IN percentage terms approx 12.5% hike. I guess soon “Dollar Tree” will have to become “Dollars Tree”.
  2. A company wide hiring freeze. A no-confidence vote on the economy.

Not good omens.

Dave Smith
Dave Smith
4 months ago

Almost everything Trump says has two objectives; prepare the masses for blame on anyone but Trump when the SHTF and to create more genuflection his way. There is no other purpose for his spewing unless you consider grifting, like trashing the dollar so his fake coins become more valuable. I do not have voter’s remorse when I consider the choice.

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  Dave Smith

You forgot the slow crawl to police state.

Anthony
Anthony
4 months ago
Reply to  Wilbur Mercer

not really slow. slower than overnight cop, but it’s only been 7.5 months and we’ve had federal troops roving around with masks and no ID in 2 cities already

Tony Frank
Tony Frank
4 months ago

You have to give taco credit for being consistent as his approval rating continues to trend in the expected direction. He has more than earned it.

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  Tony Frank

You assume he cares.
Evangelical base still love him. He can go anywhere and draw cheering crowds.
That alone feeds his ego.

EADOman
EADOman
4 months ago

I held my nose and voted for Trump three times. More accurately I voted against Clinton, Biden and Harris. The vote I regret the most is this last one. He’s nothing more than a spoiled narcissistic idiot with a God complex. I will not vote for anyone in his administration who has dreams of running in 2028.

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  EADOman

I stopped voting when Nader stopped running.
I still hate Maher and Moore for dropping to their knees begging Nader not to run against lurch. Lurch collected all that donor money to fight against rigged voting machines after Bev Harris did the research and then he folded in seconds keeping the cash.
Who the Fuck were those hollywood dicks to try and stop my choice.

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  EADOman

Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. But fool me three times and I’m just really an idiot.

edmondo
edmondo
4 months ago
Reply to  Jojo

No kidding. Did they completely forget his entire first term?
The fact that 38% of Americans support a pedo is embarrassing.

Creamer
Creamer
4 months ago

With polling I think it’s important to note how radically different things look when you cut out boomers. Trump polls a consistent sub 30 with the fighting age demographic. This poll just shows that boomers are crapping their depends over the idea of losing their social security and Medicaid after voting to take it from everyone who works.

Sentient
Sentient
4 months ago
Reply to  Creamer

IOW, same as it’s always been.

Limey
Limey
4 months ago
Reply to  Sentient

And you may ask yourself
Well…How did I get here?

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  Creamer

“fighting age demographic”, gamers?

Creamer
Creamer
4 months ago
Reply to  Wilbur Mercer

People who can hold a gun. Boomers can barely hold a pen to vote and people over sixty make up a gigantic bloc that doesn’t work that’s voting in a dictatorship and stripping away rights. Push becomes shove and suddenly the important demographics do not include baby boomers.

Avery2
Avery2
4 months ago
Reply to  Creamer

They’re the ones getting Starbucks delivered?

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  Creamer

You really want to give those with the Gen z stare guns?
First time they get a leg blown off and can’t pop a healing potion their buds will cut and run.

Jon
Jon
4 months ago
Reply to  Creamer

Nothing to do with social security and medicare. It has everything to do with Jeebus hating the gays and coloreds.

SocalJim
SocalJim
4 months ago

According to realclearpolitics.com, Trump’s approval rating is 44.4%, which is near its high. realclearpolitics is the most accurate metric because it takes an average of all credible polls.

Walt
Walt
4 months ago
Reply to  SocalJim

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

You are correct about the absolute number, however his approval rating is near it’s *lowest* point of his presidency thus far, not near it’s high (which was when he first took office as with most presidents).

SocalJim
SocalJim
4 months ago
Reply to  Walt

Those are all small moves. His approval stays high.

George
George
4 months ago
Reply to  SocalJim

Well we know your polling but I take a guess anyway your mind has trump at 125 % approval correct?

SocalJim
SocalJim
4 months ago
Reply to  George

After he stops WW3, he should get close to 50%.

President Trump Says “BIG PROGRESS ON RUSSIA. STAY TUNED!”

George
George
4 months ago
Reply to  SocalJim

Sure then he flies to mars then he solves wolds hunger then he solves chinas housing problems then somaliland kat problem then Israel and Gaza issues then he sues the Mexican cartels drug am I correct.

Victoria "the Hutt" Nuland
Victoria “the Hutt” Nuland
4 months ago
Reply to  SocalJim

Russia didn’t want the war the CIA and its puppet government in Kyiv started in 2014, but now that it’s the one winning the war it’s not going to stop now, short of some MAJOR concessions that won’t happen like admitting Russia into NATO and the seized assets being returned with interest. Now that the Ukrainian forces are fighting with 60+ year old Volksturm, it would be silly for Russia to stop until they take everything east of the Dnieper plus the rest of the coastline. If they stop now, they’re just going to get doublecrossed again like the Minsk II agreement and the agreement with the Iranians that Trump trashed, the Geneva Accords for Vietnam to have an election in 1956, etc. The West, especially the USA, especially the Bible Belt, isn’t trustworthy.

Larry McGrath
Larry McGrath
4 months ago

voters have to decide to return to tax and spend centralized government or capitalism and growth, smaller government, keep the borders secure, and freedoms
Think about what are the opposition’ plan(s)!!!!!!!!

Walt
Walt
4 months ago
Reply to  Larry McGrath

Trump is doing a bang up job spending, that’s for sure.

Neil
Neil
4 months ago
Reply to  Larry McGrath

When it comes to spending and centralization of government especially trump is the worst even. Freedom certainly is reduced. Capitalism only exists for the poor under trump, and socialism is there to support the rich. But perhaps you have a point on borders, where people can now be detained at will instead of according to the law. So that leaves you 1 out of 7. At best, and at the expense of the rule of law.

Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  Larry McGrath

No. Voters are misdirected away from the slow creep of police state and move toward Chinese social valuation.
Look some BROWN skinned person, NOT a H1B although they do have truck issues, had an accident and will be deported.
Yay a win.
Meanwhile more police power is handed out to curb violence.

“If you want to know who rules over you, just look for who you are not allowed to criticize.” ― Kevin Alfred Strom

Avery2
Avery2
4 months ago
Reply to  Wilbur Mercer

Voltaire?

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  Larry McGrath

Don’t look back. We’re not going that way.

Avery2
Avery2
4 months ago
Reply to  Jojo

Satchel Paige?

Tom Brady
Tom Brady
4 months ago

You have two very important points.

  1. Losing the tariff decision will probable save Trump from himself as his disastrous tariffs would be removed.
  2. Democrats keep attacking the wrong stuff! The DNC makes Trump and MAGA actual seem competent. The only thing people hate for than MAGA is the DNC.

The democrats need a hero to provide with them a powerful message for the midterms. Right now the DNC is concentrating on Dark Money which is probably at the bottom of American’s priorities. The leadership is out of touch and lost.

Flavia
Flavia
4 months ago
Reply to  Tom Brady

The Democrats won’t need a “hero” until the next general election.
For the midterms, all voters want to see is reasonable candidates who will take good care of the district. (And we often don’t care what party they belong to, if we like them).

edmondo
edmondo
4 months ago
Reply to  Flavia

Until my Republican congressman gets a spine, I’ll be voting for Democrats for a few years.

Anan 7
Anan 7
4 months ago
Reply to  Tom Brady

Much by design. Incompetence is excellent cover. And more moving parts means uncertainty about who’s in control.

Between Trump, the Republicans, the Democrats, the oligarchs, the Deep State, AIPAC, Soros, and “take your pick”, we the people not only can’t compel “TPTB” to actually represent us. We can’t fully decide to whom we should present our grievances.

The system is impenetrable! 😉

Our uniparty message is clear though: “Vote harder, everyone.”

Last edited 4 months ago by Anan 7
Wilbur Mercer
Wilbur Mercer
4 months ago
Reply to  Anan 7

I agree with everything but “DEEP STATE”.
There is no unified force there. There are people who align under certain circumstances and disagree or oppose on others.
The human mind needs to pigeon hole vague notions like that, same with the media “BLOB”.
In the end everyone from the top to the bottom are in on the grift whether the realize it or not. We all make it fall apart.
How many people took actual original value on a home sale instead of inflated price? How many told the auto loan and auto manufacturers that those cars are actually to high for me to buy so I will find other means of transportation and my friends and family will boycott future inflated purchases.
My town those 40k, original price, homes now sell for 150k.
And now that the grift is ending for free money many Nonprofits and future slum lords are failing.
Add in the homeless and drug addicts what a wonderful world we the people allowed to happen.

Avery2
Avery2
4 months ago
Reply to  Tom Brady

J.B. Pritzker and plumber wife M.K. are overdosing on Ozempic in anticipation of 2028

Last edited 4 months ago by Avery2
MPO45v2
MPO45v2
4 months ago

If economic misery was the reason Trump got elected, it doesn’t look to me like anything trump’s done has made anything better. You could argue it’s made things worse with rising inflation now.

It’s so bad that even Marjorie Greene wants to leave the GOP.

https://www.mediaite.com/media/news/unacceptable-marjorie-taylor-greene-shares-video-of-woman-in-tears-over-financial-stress/

The woman in the video, who said she is from Illinois, was distraught and in tears as she spoke, saying that “gas prices and the electric bills and the prices of food is just so overwhelming.” “I’m wondering if anybody else is feeling like they’re drowning and they can’t get out,” she said. “I work overtime, and I cannot get above water. I mean, I literally have no gas for next week.

There was another article on Laura Loomer saying the GOP would cease to exist after trump. Too many GOP sycophants and sociopaths tearing the party apart.

And you’re right, democrats are useless as well so not sure where that leaves you guys in the future other than more pain and no gain.

Sentient
Sentient
4 months ago
Reply to  MPO45v2

If Trump – inadvertently or advertently – would send the boomercons into the wilderness, that’d be fine with me (a non interventionist) .

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  MPO45v2

AI takeover!

How many would vote for an AI, if one were allowed to run in an election?

This is a story that to my knowledge, no one n the MSM has ever written about. I say, it is time to consider this possibility. Can we get a SCOTUS stamp of approval?

Last edited 4 months ago by Jojo
MPO45v2
MPO45v2
4 months ago
Reply to  Jojo

Albania has promised to let AI run the government after it joins the EU.

https://www.politico.eu/article/albania-use-ai-artificial-intelligenve-join-eu-corruption/

Jojo
Jojo
4 months ago
Reply to  MPO45v2

Thanks! That is a very perceptive article that everyone would do well to read in its entirety. Don’t know how I missed it.

As noted in the article, it is important to know who is programming the AI in order to minimize/eliminate opportunities for institutionalizing corruption into the algorithms driving the AI.

Ideally, the AI will become smart enough to eliminate and override any such “finger on the scale” programming, just as humans able able to do, if they so choose.

Avery2
Avery2
4 months ago
Reply to  MPO45v2

You had me at ‘Illinois”.

Electric bills? What is Michael Madigan going to prison for?

Last edited 4 months ago by Avery2
anan 7
anan 7
4 months ago

LOL ! It’s a TDS pandemic! We need a “Warp Speed II” to fast-track a beautiful vaccine! If only we elect a POTUS to make that happen.

Last edited 4 months ago by anan 7
Avery2
Avery2
4 months ago
Reply to  anan 7

It was merely an IQ test.

anan 7
anan 7
4 months ago
Reply to  anan 7

Seven NPC’s lost their sense of humor.

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