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Poor Crop Estimates Aggravate Food Shortages, India Resorts to Protectionism

After the hottest March on record, India looks at wheat export restrictions.
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India Mulls Wheat Export Curbs

Bloomberg reports India Mulls Wheat Export Curbs in Latest Food Supply Squeeze

The South Asian nation experienced its hottest March on record, shriveling the wheat crop that the world was relying on to alleviate a global shortage. To safeguard domestic supplies, the government is considering limiting wheat exports, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. 

Curbing exports would be a hit to India’s ambition to cash in on the rally in global wheat prices after Russia’s war in Ukraine upended trade flows out of the critical Black Sea breadbasket region. Importing nations have looked to India for supplies, with top buyer Egypt recently approving the South Asian nation as an origin for wheat imports.

The move would also add to a wave of crop protectionism around the world as governments seek to protect their own food supply amid soaring prices and fears of shortages.

Wheat Futures 

Wheat futures courtesy of the Nasdaq.

Wheat futures courtesy of the Nasdaq.

Corn Futures 

Corn futures courtesy of the Nasdaq.

Corn futures courtesy of the Nasdaq.

Soybean Futures 

Soybean futures courtesy of the Nasdaq.

Soybean futures courtesy of the Nasdaq.

Historic Fertilizer Crunch Threatens Food Security

Please note Historic Fertilizer Crunch Threatens Food Security

For the first time ever, farmers the world over — all at the same time — are testing the limits of how little chemical fertilizer they can apply without devastating their yields come harvest time. Early predictions are bleak.

In Brazil, the world’s biggest soybean producer, a 20% cut in potash use could bring a 14% drop in yields, according to industry consultancy MB Agro. In Costa Rica, a coffee cooperative representing 1,200 small producers sees output falling as much as 15% next year if the farmers miss even one-third of normal application. In West Africa, falling fertilizer use will shrink this year’s rice and corn harvest by a third, according to the International Fertilizer Development Center, a food security non-profit group.

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Drastic Action Needed

This calls for drastic action and I know just what to do. 

Elizabeth Warren and President Biden need to call for an immediate end to food price gouging, triple down on the need for Build Back Better, and of course blast out more free money in shotgun fashion. 

For good measure, we need more sanctions on Russia including grains and fertilizer. 

According to FarmDoc, Russia is the world's largest exporter of fertilizers, accounting for 23% of ammonia exports, 14% of urea exports, 10% of processed phosphate exports, and 21% of potash exports.

Since ammonia is produced from nitrogen in the air and hydrogen from natural gas, let's add that to the list and ban 100% of Russia's natural gas exports too.

Nothing can possibly go wrong with these policies.

Meanwhile, please note U.S. Senate Passes Antitrust Bill Targeting OPEC.

That both ridiculous and ironic for reasons explained.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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