Interesting Rate Hike Odds: March favors Hikes, December Favors Cuts

Fed fund futures show a hike in March is more likely than a cut. In December, the opposite is true.

Stocks Dive, Rate Cut Odds Soar, Trump Blames Impeachment

Global equities are under pressure amid and rate cut odds rising amid weakening economic data. Trump blames impeachment.

July Rate Cut Odds Still 100%

Despite today's jobs report, Implied July rate cuts odds are still 100% but a second cut is now priced out.

Nearly 50% Odds of "At Least" 3 Rate Cuts by December

In the last month the odds of interest rates cuts by the Fed have soared.

Rate Cut Odds Shrink Dramatically Following FOMC Decision

The odds the Fed Funds Rate would be 1.75% to 2.00% fell from 54.2% yesterday to 0% today.

Dot Plot Fantasyland Flashback vs Current Rate Cut Expectations

In December, Powell said the Fed was on "autopilot". Let's compare those dot plots with current Fed Fund Futures.

Powell Testifies to Congress: July Rate Cut Odds Jump

Jerome Powell told Congress "Risk that weak inflation will be even more persistent than we currently anticipate."

2019 Rate "Cuts" in Play

The market still expects the Fed to hike on Wednesday, but even the 3-Month yield is lower. Let's look ahead to 2019.

The Fed Will Cut Rates on March 18

It's now baked in the cake. The Fed will cut rates on March 18 and most likely at least twice more.