When will the NBER Declare a Recession?

Will the NBER Declare Recession Before It's Over?

What's the Length?

Shape of the Recovery?


Comments welcome as usual.

​Mike "Mish" Shedlock

How Long Will the Government Shutdown Last?

I rated the government shutdown threat a "zero bowls of popcorn" affair. Others think it's the real deal.

On Average, How Long From Inversion to Recession?

Let's take a look at the last six recession. How long did it take from inversion to recession?

Paying Down Christmas Debt: How Long Will It Take

Consumers splurged this Christmas. GDP will rise. Hooray. But how long will it take for consumers to pay off their debt?

7 of Last 9 Recessions Started in Quarters with Positive GDP

Think recessions begin when GDP is negative? Think 2 quarters of negative growth are required to start a recession?

Lance Roberts and Mish Discuss What the Next Recession Will Look Like

Lance and I did four video segments today. We discuss the Fed, the US, Europe, and other topics.

Eurozone Recession: Right Here, Right Now!

Industrial production statistics show Europe is in recession, right here, right now.

EU About to Face 2 Realities: Johnson Will Deliver Brexit, Eurozone in Recession

Hello EU. Meet Boris Johnson and his negotiating team. While doing so, think about recession.

How Much Recession Warning Did You Expect?

How often have you heard the stock market looks a year ahead of a recession?

How High Will the Unemployment Rate Rise in April?

Leisure and hospitality jobs once again provide an accurate recession signal.