Snow and Ice Storms Will Break Records, Take Down Power Lines

A polar vortex will impact much of the country. The price of natural gas soars.

Here are a few videos that show the progression of the storm. Utah, Nevada, and the west coast are spared.

The biggest problem is ice and freezing rain in a long band that separates snow from rain.

Massive snowstorm to bury areas from Oklahoma City to New York City, Boston

Accuweather reports Massive snowstorm to bury areas from Oklahoma City to New York City, Boston

“It is rare that storms combine this much snow, ice and bitter cold over such a large area — a widespread travel-halting winter storm will stall daily life for days in large portions of the central and eastern U.S.,” AccuWeather Senior Vice President Evan Myers said.

Accumulating snow will fall along a swath of the central and eastern United States that extends for at least 2,000 miles and includes the major cities of Albuquerque, New Mexico; Denver; Oklahoma City; St. Louis; Nashville; Indianapolis; Cincinnati; Pittsburgh; Washington, D.C.; Baltimore; Philadelphia; New York City and Boston.

Snow has broken out over portions of Colorado and New Mexico as well as western portions of Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas on Friday morning and will then expand eastward across the Mississippi and Ohio valleys Saturday. Saturday night, the snow is forecast to reach the mid-Atlantic and the central Appalachians before spreading over much of New England Sunday.

In the zone around central Maryland, the eastern panhandle of West Virginia and the northern tip of Virginia, a heavy rate of snow before and after any mixing of ice may compensate, hence AccuWeather’s forecast accumulation of 12-18 inches with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 30 inches. Snowfall accumulations of 12-18 inches with pockets of 18-24 inches will also extend from portions of central and northeastern Pennsylvania to central and eastern upstate New York and central New England.

If ice does not mix in over areas such as Washington, D.C., Philadelphia and New York City, snowfall may exceed the higher end of the average of 6-10 inches currently forecast. A changeover to sleet and freezing rain are forecast over much of Virginia, central and eastern Maryland, all of Delaware, parts of New Jersey and southeastern Pennsylvania.

Travel conditions will deteriorate rapidly with streets, highways and runways becoming snow-covered during the first hour or so of the storm in many cases. Snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour at the height of the storm may overwhelm road crews’ ability to keep roads open.

Similar to Chicago, the southern shorelines of lakes Erie and Ontario may receive a boost in snowfall totals due to the added moisture from the nearby open waters.

Because of the massive scope of the storm, travel disruptions will continue well beyond the end of the storm as temperatures plummet into the teens, single digits and even below zero in some areas, which will reduce or prevent the function of ice-melting compounds.

Snow on some roads may be compacted by vehicles, making it more difficult to remove or drive on with full traction.

Thousands of flights are expected to be canceled nationwide as crews and aircraft are displaced, even in areas where the sky is clear and the weather is dry. It may take days for the airline industry to fully recover and return to normal operations due to the massive scope of the storm.

Three Storm Models

Natural Gas Soars

CNBC reports Natural gas prices soar as Arctic cold to blast Upper Midwest and descend across U.S.

Natural gas prices soared more than 20% on Wednesday as an Arctic cold front is forecast to blast across the Upper Midwest and descend south to grip much of the U.S. with frigid temperatures through the weekend.

Prices surged about 25%, or 97 cents, to close at nearly $4.88 per million British thermal units.

Heating demand is expected to spike as wind chills could fall to -50 degrees Fahrenheit across the Upper Midwest and Northern Plains, according to the National Weather Service.

Natural Gas Not Just a Storm Issue

Natural gas is the largest source of U.S. electricity generation, accounting for approximately 43% of total utility-scale electricity in 2023. It has been the dominant source for electric power since 2016.

AI electrical power needs will significantly increase the need for natural gas.

Stay warm, but expect higher electricity and heating bills.

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January 16, 2026: Industrial Production Up 0.4 Percent Led by 2.6 Percent Surge in Utilities

AI Boom. Utilities provided 88.8% of the increase in IP this month.

December 30, 2025: Average Electricity Rates by State, What Do You Pay?

Hawaii and California have the highest rates. Idaho the lowest.

Addendum – Blame Canada

Reader: This is Biden’s fault.

Mish: That’s quite logical at first glance.

But didn’t Trump forget to command the polar vortex to stay in Canada where it belongs?

Then again, what the hell is the matter with Canada?

Trump needs to file a lawsuit against Canada for this belligerent terrorist polar vortex attack on the US.

14 Years Ago, South Park Nailed It

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Curt
Curt
2 months ago

Mish, please DON’T believe this nonsense about freezing weather. We are in a GLOBAL WARMING CRISIS!! There CANNOT be any snow, ice or freezing weather of any kind. Claims of winter storms are just a HOAX.

pokercat
pokercat
2 months ago

10:30 AM Sunday 1/25/26 East TN, got a few flurries last night then rain no ice. Today rain all day….maybe. Relatives in central PA got four inches of light snow with a lot more predicted. Son in Charlotte, NC got some sleet ending last night.

ColoradoAccountant
ColoradoAccountant
2 months ago

The Greenland Block is a real thing. When it forms it keeps the jet stream (polar vortex) to the north of the US. I’m sure Trump wants to control it, maybe build a wall there.

David Heartland
David Heartland
2 months ago

Next up: they will remove Natgas from CPI calcs.

Call_Me_Al
Call_Me_Al
2 months ago

What’s with all the comments about Canada? The actual culprit has been in the headlines all week. The frightening truth is this:

Greenland is weaponizing the weather and making the U.S. more like them.

Joe
Joe
2 months ago

Now Mish is a weatherman. Might be his best option.

Quatloo
Quatloo
2 months ago
Reply to  Joe

You don’t need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.

Curt
Curt
2 months ago
Reply to  Joe

No, Mish is nothing more than a left-wing liberal. ORANGE MAN BAD!!! I miss the old Mish who had common sense, but he gave it all up for the liberal mandate.

Flavia
Flavia
2 months ago

Good practice for becoming Canadian…..

Russel F.
Russel F.
2 months ago

Mr. Shedlock, it’s getting quite unreal. I just watched the South Park clip from 14 years ago, “Blame Canada!”, and I’m still chuckling.. Pretty funny, how absurdist comedy predicts the future. I’m out on a farm, out in the country in the Great White, using my Starlink dish to read the datafeeds. The news gets more weirdly gruesome, each month now. Your stuff is good. I read the massive pork-project outta Washington you documented from the Uniparty – over 7600 earmarks to bloat the US budget! Wow. And the hard-core comedy, is the Swamp-folk are framing this as a big win, where the system is working right!… but I digress. The subject is the weather, which has gone cold-crazy. My digital wireless thermocouple-thing says it’s minus 20 Celsius outside. It’s dark, cold, windy and snowing, and i feel like “The Martian”.
One has to “suit up” to work outside. Not complaining, I like this climate. Keeps the streets free of trash. No “homeless’ street criminals here… they expire quick.

But things are getting unreal. The harsh weather keeps us safe. I like our terrible weather, since like the Russki’s, it gives us the assistance of “General Winter”, a commander who successfully destroyed 500,000 German soldiers at Stalingrad, back in WW2. I noted that our PM is having the Canadian military model and rehearse what to do, in the event of an American invasion of our homeland. Good idea. And this is nothing new. Up until 1934, virtually all Canadian military planning focused on possible attacks from our Southern neighbours. The Fenian Raids in 1866 (during the US Civil War), were particularly interesting. Fort Erie got raided and robbed. USA has attacked us four times, in our short history.

So, we don’t mind the goofy weather. Like both Hitler and Napoleon discovered, when they had their armies invade Russia – the harsh arctic conditions make conquest difficult, expensive, and ultimately, not worth the extreme costs required. We are happy to sell Americans our gold, silver, uranium, copper, diamonds, iron ore – whatever – at fair market prices. The Danes say the samething about Greenland.

So, we kinda like the wild weather. (Even though I had to get my hydro-electric line fixed three times, last year, due to ice-storms and wind-storms…)

All the best. Keep writing, eh? We appreciate your analysis.
– Rus

Frosty
Frosty
2 months ago
Reply to  Russel F.

😉

Luke
Luke
2 months ago
Reply to  Russel F.

Blame Canada is 27 y/o, bub

Mike
Mike
2 months ago

Gold $4,985 & Silver $103.

Phil in CT
Phil in CT
2 months ago

Looks like a foot or two of snow where I am… nice, last good winter we had was 2011 I believe, when we had like 3 of these in a row. Snow along my driveway was higher than my cars’ roofs.

I’m sure FEMA will be ready help all the victims of the ice storm across the cradle of the civil war.
/sarc

Last edited 2 months ago by Phil in CT
ivokar
ivokar
2 months ago

Greenland comes to the US, no need to conquer it.

Thetenyear
Thetenyear
2 months ago

Ironically it’s going to turn huge parts of the US into…GREENLAND

I’m back robbyrob
I’m back robbyrob
2 months ago
Sentient
Sentient
2 months ago

It got down to -22F (-30 C) in Minneapolis last night. The illegals shoulda snuck into Wisconsin while ICE was hunkered down in their hotels.

The Dude Abides
The Dude Abides
2 months ago

Anyone who has experienced a bad ice storm understands how devastating it can be. But for those fortunate to have not experienced one, here are a few thoughts to help you understand because there are significant downstream impacts. I lived in Lincoln, Nebraska for a period when an early snow/ice storm in October caused massive tree damage. Falling trees took out power lines. Roadways were impassable from the frozen precipitation and vegetation. The city triaged roadways for passage of emergency vehicles, which were extra busy due to the severe conditions. It took weeks to clear some less important residential streets. In late 2006, another bad ice storm in central Nebraska impacted areas just to the west of Lincoln. Weather conditions were perfect for snow and ice to accumulate on everything. Radial ice thicknesses of 1 to 1.5 inches on overhead powerlines were enough to take down entire stretches of poles and conductor (line) in what is called cascading failures. Wooden power poles, which are common across rural electrical expanses, easily snapped under the extra weight of the ice and wind. 600 miles of transmission line – along with many transmission towers – were destroyed. I don’t remember how many miles of distribution and feeder lines were down. 6000 poles were snapped across the state. 30 communities were without power completely and many more experienced partial power outages. Communities that thought they had power redundancy found otherwise as multiple separate power lines serving a community were all down. Rural electrical cooperatives did not have nearly the resources needed to even begin to respond. Some communities did not receive emergency power for over a week, and even then, only from generators and not from a rebuilt electrical system. Some poor folks at the end of residential distribution lines weren’t repowered for two months. Mutual aid agreements were an absolute savior! Lincoln’s power generation was mainly in western Nebraska (the Gerald Gentleman Station) and the electrical distribution infrastructure through the iced area was all down. As a result, the Lincoln Electric System (LES) had to purchase emergency power on the open market outside of the state. LES customers paid additional charges on our monthly power bill for 9 months to pay off the extra fuel and repair costs. 57 of Nebraska’s 93 counties were declared federal disaster areas and total damage was estimated at $240 million just to the utilities (which is 100% public-owned, so likely would be higher in for-profit electric service areas). This is 2007 dollars, so would be much higher in inflated terms.
The ice storm coming today and this weekend will be impacting areas that don’t have plows and salting equipment like in the Midwest and North. Power outages affect all people – residential and commercial electrical hookups. So no work and no play, even while stuck at home. Have candles and flashlights and charge your cell phones. People will need to have alternative ways to stay warm such as firewood/fireplace and blankets. There are likely to be warming stations opened for vulnerable populations. If you don’t have a generator, you’re at the mercy of overworked line repair crews who are most likely not from your area. Travel will be strongly discouraged except for emergencies, and even emergency vehicles will have difficulty moving across ice-covered roadways. The ice may be thick enough that sanding/salting will have minimal impact so returning to normal may depend on above-freezing temps. Falling ice from buildings and many other sources will cause damage to anything below them – including living things.
For the last year and continuing even today, the current administration has been dismantling FEMA. If this ice and snow event turns out to be the generational storm that many expect, the response capability from the federal government will be under intense scrutiny. Lack of effective response to Hurricane Andrew dinged George Bush Sr., just like for George H W Bush from Hurricane Katrina.
A last comment: When the sun comes out after an ice storm and before the ice starts to melt, the entire landscape is alight with amazing reflections. It is dramatic irony to see breathtaking beauty amidst massive destruction.

bmcc
bmcc
2 months ago

i had a pet alligator, i lost to the cold, in the 1970s in NY. bad ice storm knocked out our power for a few days. made me sad. great pet. fed him live mice and fish……

David Heartland
David Heartland
2 months ago
Reply to  bmcc

Did you bite the heads off of those live mice to make it less gruesome?

Woodsie Guy
Woodsie Guy
2 months ago

“Trump needs to file a lawsuit against Canada for this belligerent terrorist polar vortex attack on the US.”

Yup, I agree. Blame Canada!!!! The good fellows who created South Park agree!!!

For your viewing and singing pleasure……

https://youtu.be/bOR38552MJA?si=Cr4sOMomIn6-e2dH

Rogerroger
Rogerroger
2 months ago

What know one using the storm to say how fake global warming is.
Oh yeah 70 next week in northern ca.

YP_Yooper
YP_Yooper
2 months ago

I’m in the path of this too, though thankfully only projected to get the light, fluffy 14 inches of snow that’s more kind to the power lines.
If you have the means, get a tri-fuel generator and power it off your nat gas/propane supply. I just received one last week for $700 and will power the essentials at home just in case. Gas powered gennies don’t last very long especially if the roads are bad and the gas stations lost power too.

Last edited 2 months ago by YP_Yooper
JCH1952
JCH1952
2 months ago

Side benefit. Screwworms die in cold weather.

Rogerroger
Rogerroger
2 months ago
Reply to  JCH1952

Funding cuts will eventually catch up to the industry. The cost will get passed to the consumer. Costing more than control.
Pay now pay more later

John Overington
John Overington
2 months ago
Reply to  Rogerroger

So from where does the funding come? Please explain.

MPO45v2
MPO45v2
2 months ago

“Trump needs to file a lawsuit against Canada for this belligerent terrorist polar vortex attack on the US.”

Lol. Clearly Canada can’t keep us safe from snow so they need to be invaded. What about building a wall and making Canada pay for it?

1 star Mishelin award granted for witty humor.

Quatloo
Quatloo
2 months ago

At least the ice storm in the South won’t be as bad as the ICE storm in Minnesota

Six000MileYear
Six000MileYear
2 months ago

Natural gas won’t be consumed as much as expected during this storm because the electric power will be out and furnaces won’t be able to operate. This is a pump and dump.

volfan
volfan
2 months ago

“Stay warm, but expect higher electricity and heating bills.”

As someone that is most likely going to get walloped by this weather event, I’m reminded of not only how thin our polite society is but also how fragile the systems are that we rely on every day that preserves that polite society.  I can’t imagine (well, I can, but I’d rather not) what would happen if we lost power, a means to keep warm or eat for any extended period.  It wouldn’t end well that’s for sure.  The self-sufficiency skill set that our ancestors had are almost completely forgotten these days.  Stay warm indeed…

njbr
njbr
2 months ago

Turning the US into Minnesota…

a tale of woe for those of you who share too much with Chat GPT, etc, and want to pull back

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-04064-7

CzarChasm Reigns
CzarChasm Reigns
2 months ago
Reply to  njbr

I was impressed with Chat GPT’s response to my question yesterday:

“Summarize today’s testimony from Jack Smith in regards to helpfulness in supporting each political parties narratives, and conclude which political party’s position appears to be aligned with reality.”

It was quite chatty addressing each side, so I’ll jump to the end:

Conclusion on Alignment with Reality
Based on the testimony, the Democratic position—that Trump’s actions involved criminal conduct supported by strong evidence, and that the investigations were necessary to safeguard the rule of law—appears more aligned with reality. Smith’s account, drawn from decades of prosecutorial experience, presented the cases as grounded in facts and free from political bias, with no regrets about pursuing them despite their dismissal. In contrast, Republican efforts to discredit the process without substantively rebutting the evidence suggest their narrative relies more on unsubstantiated claims of weaponization than on the factual record Smith defended. This truth-seeking assessment prioritizes the emphasis on evidence and democratic threats over partisan framing, though ongoing legal and political developments could provide further context. 

Ken
Ken
2 months ago

Global Warming….. ohhh I mean Climate change.. 🤦🏼

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
2 months ago
Reply to  Ken

Here we have a Common North American Dumbass, preening in its native habitat…

limey
limey
2 months ago

Apologies but this is completely unconnected to the polar vortex although it has caused a storm in Europe.
The disgraceful POS you elected king has disparaged our troops who fought alongside US forces in Afghanistan, 457 of whom lost their lives after answering Bush’s call to arms.
In gods name can someone muzzle this disgusting individual.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cdxjjwjvkkzt

Last edited 2 months ago by limey
stoic
stoic
2 months ago
Reply to  limey

I don’t think anything that happens outside the US really registers on many of its inhabitants, more’s the pity – a somewhat solipsistic population in many respects.

Sentient
Sentient
2 months ago
Reply to  stoic

Yup, probably not a good idea to depend on us.

Thetenyear
Thetenyear
2 months ago
Reply to  limey

😂😂😂

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
2 months ago

This is Biden’s fault.

Nate
Nate
2 months ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

Yeah — IDK what the Republican administration is going to gain by having this storm. It appears to be another failed economic policy.

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
2 months ago
Reply to  Nate

Voters are predicted to punish the GOP for this neglectful non-management of the weather.

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
2 months ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

Trump had no control over the situation…Biden borrowed Obama’s weather machine, so he could make this storm to stymie the heroic efforts of ICE.

Frosty
Frosty
2 months ago
Reply to  El Trumpedo

The grifter in chief will now offer gold spray painted nipple warmers to the ICE goon squads. For a small fee…

😉

pokercat
pokercat
2 months ago
Reply to  El Trumpedo

Always almost every time except when it’s Obama’s fault.

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