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Russia Recognizes the Independence of Two Breakaway Regions in the Ukraine

Putin will recognize Donetsk and Luhansk as independent states.
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Breakaway Regions Donetsk and Luhansk via WSJ

Breakaway Regions Donetsk and Luhansk via WSJ

The Wall Street Journal reports Putin Says Russia to Recognize Independence of Breakaway Regions in Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin said he would recognize the independence of two Russian-led breakaway regions of Ukraine, a move that threatened to scuttle negotiations with the West over the future security of Eastern Europe and that could be used to justify an incursion into the territories.

“The situation in Donbas is becoming critical,” Mr. Putin said in a live televised address before launching into a lengthy examination of the relationship between the two countries and the Donbas region, where the two breakaway regions are located. “Ukraine is not just a neighbor. It is an inherent part of our own history, culture and spiritual space,” he said.

Mr. Putin said the Russian government will draft and sign the documents recognizing the independence of the two breakaway states in the near future, and said Russia would sign mutual assistance treaties with them.

Graham Wants US to Destroy the Ruble and Crush the Russian Oil and Gas Sector

"His decision should immediately be met with forceful sanctions to destroy the ruble and crush the Russian oil and gas sector." says Graham

Graham need to think what destroying the Russian oil and gas sector would do to European countries dependent on Russian oil and gas. 

Minsk Agreement 

Wikipedia has a lengthy discussion on the Minsk Agreement. Minsk I and Minsk II. 

Let's skip to the conclusion

  • In December 2021, Chief of General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces Valery Gerasimov said that "Kiev is not fulfilling the Minsk Agreements. The Ukrainian armed forces are touting that they have started to employ US-supplied Javelin anti-tank missile systems in Donbass and are also using Turkish reconnaissance/strike drones. As a result, the already tense situation in the east of that country is further deteriorating."
  • In January 2022, Oleksiy Danilov, the secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council, said that "The fulfillment of the Minsk agreement means the country’s destruction. When they were signed under the Russian gun barrel — and the German and the French watched — it was already clear for all rational people that it’s impossible to implement those documents."
  • In February 2022, Finnish President Sauli Niinistö said "the most possible solution (to the current situation) could be the Minsk agreement to be fulfilled or that there would be significant progress in its implementation."

Bullet point 2 supports Putin's claim Ukraine did not honor the agreement. 

Graham claims Putin's moves are in violation of Minsk. 

Both claims appear to be true, but who started it? 

Ukraine did not want to give autonomy to Donetsk and Luhansk as per Minsk II. 

Special Status for Donetsk and Luhansk

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  • Freedom from punishment, harassment, and discrimination of persons connected with the events that took place in particular districts of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts
  • Right of language self-determination
  • Participation of local self-government in the appointment of the heads of prosecutors' offices and courts in the particular districts of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts
  • The possibility for central executive bodies to conclude agreements with relevant local authorities on economic, social, and cultural development of particular districts of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts
  • The state will provide support for the socio-economic development of particular districts of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts
  • Assistance from central executive bodies for cross-border cooperation by particular districts of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts with regions of the Russian Federation
  • The freedom to create people's militia units by decision of local councils to maintain public order in particular districts of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts
  • The powers of local council deputies and officials, elected in early elections, appointed by the Verkhovna Rada according to this law, cannot be prematurely terminated

Minsk Signatories 

  • Separatist's leaders Alexander Zakharchenko and Igor Plotnitsky
  • Swiss diplomat and OSCE representative Heidi Tagliavini
  • Former president of Ukraine and Ukrainian representative Leonid Kuchma
  • Russian Ambassador to Ukraine and Russian representative Mikhail Zurabov

Point Counterpoint

  • On 27 December 2018, Ukrainian news agency UNIAN reported that not a single provision of the Minsk deal had been fully implemented.
  • In October 2021, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that "if the Americans are genuinely prepared to support the implementation of the Minsk Agreements, this issue can be settled very quickly."
  • In January 2022, Oleksiy Danilov, the secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council, said that "The fulfillment of the Minsk agreement means the country’s destruction. When they were signed under the Russian gun barrel — and the German and the French watched — it was already clear for all rational people that it’s impossible to implement those documents."

Russia was all in favor of Minsk II. 

Challenge

If Germany Won't Stand Up, Why Should We?

One Way to Settle This

How about an honest vote? 

If the people living in Donetsk and Luhansk do not want to be part of Ukraine, then why should they be part of Ukraine?

In Brexit, the UK essentially seceded from the EU. 

This post originated on MishTalk.Com.

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