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The key Missing Ingredient in Biden’s $6 Trillion Budget is Honesty

That seemingly simple question is the subject of a scathing attack on Biden by the Washington Post.

WaPo Columnist Marc A. Thiessen says Biden’s Budget is a Lie.

Q: How big a lie? 
A: Another $5.8 trillion.

Thiessen calculates that by adding up all of Biden’s campaign promises and items in the budget that are not reasonable estimates. 

 Missing in Action 

  • Biden’s plan to create a “public option” for health care and lower the age at which Americans can receive Medicare, is nowhere to be.  According to Manhattan Institute budget expert Brian Riedl, Biden’s missing health proposals will cost $1.45 trillion. 
  • Biden’s plan to expand Social Security and Supplemental Security Income (SSI), as well as much of the K-12 spending and higher education spending that he promised are also missing.
  • Biden’s budget assumes the child tax credit expansion in his American Family Plan and long-term care for seniors — will expire before his 10-year budget window closes. Yeah right.

What About Tax Pledges?

The budget assumes that the Trump tax cuts for low- and middle-income Americans will expire as scheduled in 2025.  That’s a hike according to Thiessen 

My take is that if it’s not in the budget then it’s not in the budget.

However, lies are still lies. I will let others debate how much is in the budget unaccounted for vs. lies that never made it to the budget. 

Secular Stagnation

The Wall Street Journal also has an interesting take on Biden’s budget.

Please consider A Future of Secular Stagnation.

One critique of President Biden’s historic spending blowout is that it steals economic growth from the future in return for a temporary surge in the next two years. Imagine our surprise to see the White House confirm this criticism in its own budget proposal.

The White House predicts a two-year growth boom of 5.2% in 2021 and 4.3% in 2022, as the country returns to normal after the pandemic and record amounts of government spending flood the economy to goose consumer demand.

But the White House says growth will sink to 2.2% in 2023, and then average below 1.9% for the next eight years. 

The White House economic analysis boils down to an assertion that slow growth is inevitable. Some on the left are even praising the Biden White House for the “honesty” of its slow-growth forecasts. 

To put it bluntly, this is a budget that is anticipating America’s economic and political decline. The question is whether the American people will settle for it.

White House Projections

That’s nine years without a recession. Anyone believe that?

And don’t forget the Lie of the Day From Biden: My Budget Will Pay for Itself

Yellen’s and Biden’s assumptions are the same as every politicians’, this debt will pay for itself.

In practice, it never does and Biden’s budget won’t pay for itself either.

From top to bottom it’s all a pack of lies, same as always. Presidents come and go and the lies persist. 

Nothing has changed except Biden’s budget lies are so big that even WaPo feels obliged to point them out.

Thiessen concluded: “From spending to taxes, Biden’s budget is a lie. He plans to tax you more and spend far more of your money than even his record-breaking budget plan admits.”

Mish 

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20 Comments
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ThaomasH
ThaomasH
5 years ago
How odd of Marc to criticize Biden for not spending enough. 🙂

As for the no recession assumption, that’s exactly what we should expect if the Fed holds to it’s average inflation target.

RonJ
RonJ
5 years ago
“From top to bottom it’s all a pack of lies, same as always. Presidents come and go and the lies persist.”
It’s Bill Murray in Groundhog Day, over and over again.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
5 years ago
When was a government budget about honesty or accuracy? It’s more comparable to advertisement, and everybody takes it as such.
In terms of accuracy, a 10-year weather forecast beats it easily.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
5 years ago
Turns out that GDP forecast looks realistic and maybe even optimistic.  The WSJ is still having wet dreams about Trump. 

Here’s a look at average GDP growth rates under the last six U.S. presidents:

  • Jimmy Carter (D): 3.25%

  • Ronald Reagan (R): 3.48%

  • George H.W. Bush (R): 2.25%

  • Bill Clinton (D): 3.88%

  • George W. Bush (R): 2.2%

  • Barack Obama (D): 1.62%

  • Donald Trump (R): 0.95%

FromBrussels2
FromBrussels2
5 years ago
Utterly anachronistic, or stupid rather, comparisons these are !….It’s all a consequence of increasingly relentless outsourcing, EXACTLY what ‘stupid’ Trump wanted to reverse….Btw, as you seem to like numbers and statistics, have a look at the european ones ….THE SAME ! …..without Trump!….Fckn easy and silly blaming one a$$hole for a global situation, ain t it ?
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
5 years ago
Very impressive, and that tells us what?
How much debt was created?
What was the method of GDP, and inflation calculation then and now?
How much of the manufacturing base has been off-shored?
What were the real interest rates?
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
5 years ago
I’m just going by the WSJ’s logic of using GDP. I understand your points but its dumb when Mish references a snipped of an article and a snippet of a GDP forecast. So using that same logic, I can show you snippets in longer periods of time and act like no other factors were at play.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
5 years ago
As if Biden wrote every word of that budget or any other piece of legislation.  And if not for pandemic, this would be year 11 without a recession. It turns out slow/low growth actually makes recessions less likely over a longer period of time. Stability is the enemy of the boom/bust cycle which capitalists think is so great. 
RonJ
RonJ
5 years ago
I believe the recession began in February 2020, which was before the government lockdowns began. It wasn’t the pandemic that caused the collapse in GDP in March, it was the government lockdowns. Sweden chose not to shutdown their economy and were bashed for not playing along, but lockdowns didn’t prevent a surge in cases the next winter.
Stability is an illusion. The economy has a cycle. A Soviet citizen named Kondratieff figured that out.
KidHorn
KidHorn
5 years ago
I’m not surprised Biden lied or continues to lie. All politicians do. I’m surprised the WaPo had an article that didn’t praise Biden.
Zardoz
Zardoz
5 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
That’s the funny thing about the evil liberal media:  They go after corrupt liberals too.
Fox never has a bad thing to say about any GOP member.
ajc1970
ajc1970
5 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
That’s what shocked me.

WAPO has spent 5 years trying to establish themselves over the NYT as the premier Trump haters and when even-year Octobers roll around, you can bet they’ll be printing allegations about GOP candidates and waiting until December to talk about more substantiated allegations against Dems.

To see them undermine all the progress they’ve made is shocking.

Eddie_T
Eddie_T
5 years ago
Well, that’s a rare bit of truth-telling from the WaPo. Raising taxes was always the end game…..right up until the whole house of cards comes apart at the seams. 
What to do about it?  That is the question.
I don’t remember much about my Trump tax cut, other than the $14K/Yr in lost deductions from the SALT repeal that was taken from me and given to the corporations. More corporate welfare subsidized by the upper middle class is what I call it.
Zardoz
Zardoz
5 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
My trump tax cut ended with me sending $4700 extra dollars to the IRS.  
Siliconguy
Siliconguy
5 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
The Trump tax cut saved me $180 a month. SALT limits made no difference since I don’t itemize. It’s more the case that the SALT limit took money from the wealthy coastal elite and gave it flyover country, where incomes and property taxes are lower. 
And that is what is causing some optics problems on the left. Removing the SALT limits is a tax cut for the rich, which doesn’t sit well with Progressives. 
Zardoz
Zardoz
5 years ago
Reply to  Siliconguy
It doesn’t sit well with people that aren’t rich, if they have any sense.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
5 years ago
Reply to  Siliconguy
What is rich on the coasts is upper class in the midwest. The problem is optics of the people that live in the middle of the country that don’t realize higher real estate costs mean you aren’t as rich as you think on the coasts. Now that problem is going to move to the other parts of the country where real estate prices are skyrocketing. I predict people in the south will soon be asking for the SALT cap to be removed. 
njbr
njbr
5 years ago
Sun rises in the east….
Dire warnings belong to those who are out of power.
Zardoz
Zardoz
5 years ago
Reply to  njbr
It would just be nice to have some elected official that told the truth.  I guess the truth doesn’t win votes.
Call_Me
Call_Me
5 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
It doesn’t win votes, nor does it make for good headlines in journalistic circles.

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