There is only one way to stop Brexit and it requires three things.
- Parliament has to make a proposal
- Theresa May has to agree to go along with it
- The EU has to agree to go along with it
Voting down a no-deal Brexit is completely meaningless. The default legal position is that the UK will no longer be in the EU as of April 12 unless all three of those happen, or if May's deal is approved.
Vote Are In - MPs Reject All Options
Please note MPs Reject All Alternative Brexit Options
Oliver Letwin, the veteran Conservative MP who led the process which allowed backbenchers to seize control of the order paper to hold a series of indicative votes, said the results were “disappointing” but he hoped a new round of votes would be held on Monday.
The Speaker, John Bercow, said he would allow this to take place, prompting shouts of protests from many MPs.
The Brexit secretary, Stephen Barclay, said the results strengthened the government’s view that Theresa May’s Brexit deal was the best and only way forward.
Groundhog Day Continues
Today, Commons Speaker John Bercow allowed votes on numerous unicorns that May will not allow nor will the EU accept.
- B - John Baron’s - No deal - Backed by Conservative MPs John Baron, David Amess, Martin Vickers and Stephen Metcalfe, the motion proposes leaving the European Union without a deal on April 12: Lost 400-160
- D - Nick Boles’s - common market 2.0: Lost 283-188
- H - George Eustice’s - Efta and EEA: Lost 377-65
- J - Ken Clarke’s - Customs union: Lost 272-264
- K - Labour’s - Customs union and alignment with single market: Lost 307-237
- L - Joanna Cherry’s - Revocation to avoid no deal: Lost 293-184
- M - Dame Margaret Beckett’s - Confirmatory public vote: Lost 295-268
- O - Marcus Fysh’s - Contingent preferential arrangements - A group of Conservative MPs, including Marcus Fysh, Steve Baker and Priti Patel, have signed a motion that calls for the government to seek to agree preferential trade arrangements with the EU, in case the UK is unable to implement a withdrawal agreement with the bloc: Lost 442-139
Irony and Humor
The irony in this madness is that the longer Remainer fools cling to absurd ideas about stopping Brexit, the more likely a no-deal Brexit happens.
Humorously, option O is guaranteed to happen in the event of no deal, yet MP could not even support that.
DUP said today it will not back May's deal.
If enough Tories hold firm, Remainers might be forced into accepting May's deal or having a no-Deal Brexit.
One side or another is highly likely to cave in. If not, no-deal is likely.
Remainers hoping for a referendum or an outright revocation are delusional. Revocation was clobbered and so was the public vote.
No-deal lost 400-160.
That is the default position unless points 1-3 above all apply.
The choice remains: No-Deal or May's Deal. If delusional Remainers, Tories, and DUP all stick to their positions, then no-deal wins by default.
I repeat: Voting down a no-deal Brexit is completely meaningless. The default legal position is that the UK will no longer be in the EU as of April 12 unless all three of those happen, or if May's deal is approved.
I expect the latter, with a hard-line Brexiter in charge of subsequent negotiations.
Since DUP did not blink, Labour MPs are highly likely to.
Labour MPs will not do so in a losing cause, but if it gets close and they are sure the deal will pass, the MPs from Leave constituencies will vote for May's deal rather than accept no-deal.
Those who do will have served their constituencies well. Labour will splinter. Corbyn will take the blame.
Mike "Mish" Shedlock