by Mish

The April deficit was greater than any Econoday economist’s prediction.

In addition, the Census Department revised the March deficit from $43.7 billion from $45.3 billion.

The bad news is accelerating for the second quarter. The trade deficit widened in April to $47.6 billion from a revised $45.3 billion in March. This opens the quarter on yet another defensive front.
Exports fell 0.3 percent in April to $191.0 billion as a fractional rise in service exports to $64.0 billion could not outmatch a 0.4 percent decline in goods exports to $126.9 billion.
Imports meanwhile jumped 0.8 percent to $238.6 billion with increasing pressure centered in goods but also including services.
The best positive in the details is a rise in aircraft exports and the worst negative is yet another jump in consumer goods imports, up $2.0 billion in the month to $51.0 billion. Country data show a sharp widening with China, to a $27.6 billion total gap in the month, with the EU gap also up sharply to $14.6 billion.
The conclusion? U.S. demand for foreign products is strong and foreign demand for U.S. products is not."

Trade in Goods and Services Moving Average


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Trump Will Howl

  • In September 2016 exports were $188.123 billion.
  • In April 2017 exports were $190.975 billion.
  • In September 2016, imports were $226.588 billion
  • In April 2016, imports were $238.592 billion.
  • Imports increased  $12.034 billion.
  • Exports increased $2.852 billion.

With imports up significantly and exports barely budging for seven months, expect another round of Trump howls over the trade deficit.

This report will also take a couple of ticks off second-quarter GDP estimates.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock

Trade Deficit Widens, Exports Weak: Economists Miss the Mark

The Census Bureau reports the International Trade Deficit in Goods widened by $2.5 billion (3.8 percent), with exports down and imports up.

Trade Deficit Unexpectedly Widens (And It Will Get Worse)

The trade deficit widened to $-74.4 billion from $-72.3 billion. Economists expected the deficit to shrink slightly.

Trade Deficit Widens, Exports Flat, Imports Rise: Trump Will Howl

For October, exports were down less than $0.1 billion while imports rose $3.8 billion.

Trade Deficit Widens Again: Expect More Trump Howls

Trump is sure to howl over this month's trade report. The trade deficit rose again.

Trade Deficit Steepens Led by China: Top Six Offenders

The International trade deficit widened to $48.5 billion matching the Econoday consensus.

Trade Deficit Widens as Imports Rise More Than Exports

The international trade deficit was $69.7 billion in November, up $1.6 billion from $68.1 billion in October.

Balance of Trade Deficit Near Expectations: Analyzing the Impact on Second Quarter GDP

Today the BEA reported the US trade deficit was $-46.5 billion. The Econoday economists’ consensus estimate of $-46.2 billion for international trade was nearly on the mark, but the advance reading on goods pointed the way.

Trade Deficit Widens Despite Tariffs: Record Deficits With China, Mexico

Today's trade report will set off hows from trump. Imports up, exports down. Record deficits with China and Mexico.

Trade Deficit Widens by 1.7% With China Leading the Way

Exports fell 0.1% and imports rose 0.2%. The result was a widening of the trade deficit to $55.5 billion.