Yield Curve Debate

A longer-term picture will put the steepening in perspective.

10-Year Minus 2-Year Treasury Yield

Image placeholder title

The yield curve has not inverted this time. But what if it doesn't. There is no universal law that says the yield curve will invert before a recession. Look at Japan for proof.

With so many eyes on the yield curve flattening, perhaps it doesn't.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Yield Curve Steepening and Flattening: It Depends on Where One Looks

Some claim the yield curve is flattening, others say steepening. The steepening side has more merit starting January 2.

In Search of the Allegedly Steepening Yield Curve

There has been a lot of commentaries recently about the steepening yield curve. Let's investigate with pictures.

Yield Curve Steepens Dramatically: What's Going On?

US treasuries are seeing action we have not seen for a while: Strong sharp steepening of the yield curve.

Yield Curve Bear Steepener?

Minyanville Prof. Bennet Sedacca is writing about the Bear Steepener.

Debate over the Yield Curve: Is it Steepening or Flattening?

A recent Wall Street Journal story stated that “A flattening of the Treasury yield curve in 2017 is a worrying sign for investors banking on resurgent U.S. inflation and growth.”

Yield Curve Steepened Since January 3 but Portions Remain Inverted

On Jan 3, portions of the yield curve inverted with the Fed Funds rate. That's gone, but other inversions remain.

What Spot in the Yield Curve is Likely to Invert First?

The yield curve has flattened considerably over the last year. Will it invert? Where? The following chart explains.

Treasury Yields Surge, Curve Steepens, 30-Yr Yield Highest Since 2012: 6 Reasons

Treasury yields blasted higher today and the curve steepened as well. Let's investigate why.

Yield Curve Inverts in 28 Places: Recession Warning Resumes

After a brief respite, the yield curve is again flashing a bright recession signal. The curve is inverted in 28 places.