Senate Majority Leader McConnell

This mob was fed lies. They were provoked by the President and other powerful people. And they tried to use fear and violence to stop a specific proceeding of the first branch of the federal government which they did not like.

Powerful Signal

McConnell's statement is a powerful signal that he will vote to convict Trump and that he has at least 17 other Republican senators who are willing to do the same.

Which Senators Are Likely to Convict Trump?

On January 14, I asked Which Senators Are Likely to Convict Trump?

I came up with 15 Republicans who would consider conviction. That's 2 short assuming all 50 Democrats vote to convict.

I explain my rationale in the above link. Since then, I added James Lankford (OK), Mike Rounds (SD), and Richard Shelby (AL).

My List Then

My list, in alphabetic order, includes Richard Burr (NC), Sue Collins (ME), Mike Crapo (ID), Shelly Moore Capito (WV), Chuck Grassley (IA), Mike Lee (UT), Mitch McConnell (KY), Lisa Murkowski (AK), Rob Portman (OH), Mitt Romney (UT), Ben Sasse (NE), Dan Sullivan (AK), John Thune (SD), Thom Tillis (NC), and Pat Toomey (PA). 

The names in bold (6) are highly likely to convict. The rest may need some arm twisting from McConnell and today he signaled he will do just that.

I explain my rationale in the above link. Since then, I added James Lankford (OK), Mike Rounds (SD), and Richard Shelby (AL) making 18.

Born to Run the Numbers

Born to Run the Numbers (BTR) has a different list of The Seventeen GOP Senators Who Could Convict Trump.

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It came up with its list on January 17, I posted mine on the 14th. Here are the possible names it comes up with that I did not have or add: John Cornyn (TX), Jim Inhofe (OK), Deb Fisher (NE)

They also had Tom Cotton but he is a non-starter. Cotton will not vote to convict and has stated so. Cotton explains there is no legitimate process after the 20th but most constitutional lawyers disagree.

Deb Fisher 

BTR says "Fischer is the quieter of the Nebraska Senators relative to Ben Sasse, but she issued a strong statement in support of the Biden certification, has been silent on the impeachment and thus appears to be open to the Senate process."

I like that thought process and agree she is very likely. 

My List Now 

I am willing to add the other three Born to Run names to my list making it 21. 

My list, in alphabetic order, includes Richard Burr (NC), Sue Collins (ME), John Cornyn (TX), Mike Crapo (ID), Shelly Moore Capito (WV), Deb Fisher (NE), Chuck Grassley (IA), Jim Inhofe (OK), James Lankford (OK), Mike Lee (UT), Mitch McConnell (KY), Lisa Murkowski (AK), Rob Portman (OH), Mitt Romney (UT), Mike Rounds (SD), Ben Sasse (NE), Richard Shelby (AL), Dan Sullivan (AK), John Thune (SD), Thom Tillis (NC), and Pat Toomey (PA). 

The rest of the Republican senators range from unlikely to never so McConnell needs 17 of those 21 or some other wildcard that I missed.

I suggest McConnell has 17 or expects to have 17 or he would not have made that announcement today,

Trump Will Go Quietly 

Why Wasn't the Georgia Phone Call in the Charges?

It's not that failure to convict would constitute double jeopardy. Rather, failure to convict could make conviction separately more difficult. Alternately, it could get Georgia to not pursue the case.

Mish 

Which Senators Are Likely to Convict Trump?

President Trump was impeached for the second time. The spotlight turns to a trial in the Senate. Where do the Senators stand?

Add Toomey to the List of Republicans Willing to Impeach Trump

Senator Pat Toomey (R) Pennsylvania says Trump committed impeachable offenses. That makes four Republican Senators.