I created the above map from the Real Clear Politics interactive map after checking the latest polls.
The Real Clear Politics base maps looks a bit different.
Real Clear Politics Map
I modified the RCP map based on recent polls.
Senate Polls
- Michigan: Peters is way ahead in numerous poll. I listed two of them. It is a mystery why RCP labels Michigan a tossup.
- North Carolina: One poll has the Republican up by 2 the other has the Democrat up by 2. I see this as a tossup.
- Kansas: Three polls in Kansas are +1 for someone. The Democrat is ahead in 2 of them. Call it a tossup. RCP has it in the Republican column.
- Iowa: Democrat Greenfield has a three point lead. RCP has Iowa in the Republican column. I call it a tossup.
- Kentucky: I am not sure what to make of this one, but Amy McGrath is ahead of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. RCP has this in the Republican column. To me it looks questionable.
Unfortunately it is very possible.
I expect Trump to lose and I am fearful he destroys the party so much that Republicans lose the Senate.
The Senate map is not very pretty for the Republicans.
I expect democrat pickups and a takeover is possible. https://t.co/W3yFuqJds8
— Mike “Mish” Shedlock (@MishGEA) June 11, 2020
What Would a Flip Take?
Assuming my map is correct, Democrats have 47 seats which is their current total.
I have 8 states as tossups, but many of them simply because there are no polls.
To flip the Senate, democrats would have to flip 3 states if Trump loses.
If Trump wins Democrats would have to flip 4 states.
Three is very doable, and arguably likely.
Colorado
The Colorado Polls are very stale (April and Early May) but Democrat John Hickenlooper was ahead of incumbent Republican Cory Gardner by a whopping 18 points in the most recent poll.
First, Hickenlooper has to beat Andrew Romanoff in a runoff primary. But all signs point to that.
If I overestimate Democrat chances in Kentucky, I do the opposite in Colorado.
Predictit
At the beginning of June, something snapped, and everyone should know the cause.
Trump made a complete fool out of himself with a bible photo-op in the wake of the George Floyd murder.
Trump’s Bubble Just Shattered
Trump is Losing His Grip in More Battleground States@Predictit betting odds show Trump is a 13 percentage point underdog to Biden in the 2020 election.
Trump started sliding after his photo-op bible stunt and it accelerated since.https://t.co/I1lUh6Wyg5
— Mike “Mish” Shedlock (@MishGEA) June 11, 2020
I commented on it in on June 3 in Trump’s Bubble Just Shattered.
Since then 4 Republican Senators criticized Trump and a huge array of former ranking military leaders did the same.
Yesterday, the current chair of the Joint Chief of Staff, Army Gen. Mark Milley, apologized for being at that photo op with Trump.
“I should not have been there,” Gen. Milley said in a pre-recorded speech at National Defense University in Washington, D.C. “My presence in that moment and in that environment created a perception of the military involved in domestic politics. As a commissioned uniformed officer, it was a mistake that I have learned from. And I sincerely hope we all can learn from it.”
On June 9, In a Ridiculous Tweet, Trump Defends Police Who Crack a 75-Year Old Man’s Head.
Also on June 9, I noted Trump Defends Immunity Laws that Protect Bad Cops.
Still 5 Months Away
The election is still 5 months away. Things can change. But Trump is Trump so there is no reason to expect things to change.
At the current speed, Trump is going to cost the Republicans not only the presidency, but the Senate.
Mish
UPDATE KENTUCKY:
So, for months the KY race between McGrath and Moscow Mitch was within the margin of error and on a couple occasions McGrath actually led McConnell. Then, as if by magic in the immediate aftermath of rioting and looting McConnell is suddenly up in the polls by 20 point against McGrath.
What has happened is that KY still has not had its primary, and suddenly in the wake of civil unrest and police abuses Charles Booker (African American) has come out of nowhere, trying to defeat Amy McGrath, the poll has him 14 points down on McConnell and her down by 20.
Elizabeth Warren has now endorsed Booker.
What this poll shows is that 1) the voters in KY who a few weeks ago were so open to a democrat replacing McConnell that she led him but in a statistical tie, are now so totally turned off by the looting and rioting that one in five will not now be open to a democrat if there is even a hint he will be an African American. Also, 2) there is an element of the KY population that would refuse to vote for any white candidate and it amounts to about 6% of the voters, because Booker now trails McConnell by 14 while the white democrat trails by 20. That means when it was just a white female democrat (McGrath) against the incumbent McConnell she had an excellent chance of unseating him, slightly better than even in fact.
But, when a black man steps up his attempt to replace her as the challenger interest in any democrat challenge of McConnell evaporates like water droplets on a red hot skillet. He does lose the general election against McConnell by 6 points less than she does, but that is because 10% of the voters are black and most are telling us they will not vote unless it is for a black candidate, while the GOP and white voters are saying they are open to a democrat and even a female as long as she is white.
That is some serious racial divide there. If Booker was out of the race she would have a chance to win, but neither has a chance to win if it is to be a black male, and if the black male loses the primary and McGrath is the challenger the black vote will stay home and give democrats the stiff middle finger allowing McConnell to win. This is such a gorgeously crafted division in the democrats ranks that even someone like me who detests the GOP is impressed and rather awed by it.
Of course it helps that Booker is going around the state with BLM fist raised high in a black power salute. That his face is ALWAYS contorted in what appears to be extreme racial anger as if the 10% of voters in the state who are black could elect him. If only he hates on whites enough that 10% can win right?
In fact their refusal to vote with whites who seek to dump Trump’s party of corrupt sheeple only means 4 more years of GOP filth. I hope nobody takes this the wrong way, but perhaps if they do not want to vote with the white people of their state trying to effect real change they should simply form their own party. They certainly are doing the GOP’s work for them by refusing to vote for anyone who is white, by doing so they only guarantee they have no representation at all. I hope they ENJOY having Moscow Mitch or some other racist fuck for the rest of their lives, because that is what they are going to get by trying to force bitter anger and extreme racial change in a state where that simply cannot happen, it was a CONFEDERATE STATE, but unlike other confederate states where blacks make up a sizable minority of voters KY has only 10% of the voters being black. At best they can assist white democrats to make change happen. Only, they have figured out they can play the GOP game by blackmailing whites – sink democrats every election if they don’t get what they want, by just not voting. So be it. They are either AFRICAN first, or AMERICAN first and they have just enough of the population nationwide at 13.3% to make sure the democrats are never in power again just by not voting, and this THIS is the ONLY hope that floats the GOP prospects, keep the left and nation divided.
And the televised spectacle of black males looting and burning and rioting 20 weeks before the general election was enough to turn the tide against democrats and their policy of appeasing black voters. Just look at the STUNNING turnaround in the polls for McConnell. From 1-4 points behind last month to 20 points ahead this month. So visions of angry black males looting and burning cities is simply not a working strategy for black or democrats. Who would have guessed?
I even hear quiet words of race war being talked about by frustrated blacks and far right militia types. Oh, that would be a tragic and historic error that would rank right up in the human history of genocidal racial holocaust by Hitler. It would be a replay of the Civil War but this time on a 50 state basis. One we can’t win no matter who gets wiped out in the process. It would end the US. Maybe that would be best for the majority after all, but it would kill me and other disabled vets as no US Treasury means no income, and it is sort of hard for disabled folks to start over in their 60’s in a war torn failed nation.
The hand goes on it @ court, to tell the truth! It’s a clue, a sign. Church goer’s can’t be hypocrites if, they believe. Thou, will , shall not,! 10 commandments! Do as your Bible says, nothing wrong with him reminding you.
Forget Michigan. Why would anyone label Colorado a tossup? That’s the most obvious flip to Democrats in the Senate.
Lindsey Graham and others like him – good riddance to bad rubbish. What were he and that other crook, McCain, doing in Ukraine in 2016?
The Republican rank and file are on the path to self destruction if they continue to throw their hats in the ring with Trump. Slowly but surely, senior Republican party members are beginning to realize the damage that Trump is doing to their party by pandering to the extreme right. Continuing down this path could see a landslide victory for the Democrats in November. Not something I necessarily see as a good thing but it may be just what is needed to save the country from our current dangerous path. There is no doubt that Trump’s character and demeanor are despicable and an anathema to a large portion Of the American population. There will always be Republican extremists who believe Trump has done no wrong and can do no wrong but they are in the minority and will not be enough to save Trump in November.
I hate to break it to you but Trump will be reelected by people who would never admit to voting for him.
Me and the missus tried a 96 once … no fun at all.
Maybe not for YOU!
Agent 96, how appropriate for a russian intelligence agent with the troll farm.
How did Trump mishandle Covid-19? You probably think he was not strict enough in shutting down the economy. If he loses, which I don’t see how with death-warmed-over Joe running, it will be because he listened to the Covid hoax perpetrators.
If you care about the truth, and more importantly want to work/protest for the right solutions. I urge you to read Denniger’s piece today – link to market-ticker.org.
Kentucky: I am not sure what to make of this one, but Amy McGrath is ahead of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. RCP has this in the Republican column. To me it looks questionable.
Mish, the poll I saw yesterday has McGrath up by just over 3 points, it is within the margin of error but a lead is a lead. And Moscow Mitch has 5 months left to piss off KY voters. Since they are about 85% in favor of another direct stimulus and McConnell is blocking that, or at least delaying it till late summer at the earliest, I think we can safely say he is costing himself votes. Remember KY has one of the highest poverty rates in the country.
The again a lot is up to how well African Americans turn out, if they are as pissed as they say they are that would be the deciding factor in a state like KY where the black population is near 10%. It is state ranked #3 for percentage of blacks who are registered to vote, but #27 for blacks that actually did go vote in 2016. That means a lot of blacks in KY mean well when it comes to voting but then don’t follow through, this year could be different and if it is then they will dump McConnell. I know he is just one of the senators that needs to be removed, but as senate majority leader his removal would have effects far beyond just another lost seat.
Here is the thing Mish, 5 months is really NOT that long a time, and people are both scared (economically) and pissed off (politically). The sheer size of the tasks required to turn this around just are not going to allow the GOP get the population happy before they vote. Fear and anger are a powerful combination, a huge motivator.
If biden were “smart” he would pick Harris for his VP, that would certainly add to the black turn out. But, it would come at a cost to his centrist democrat following s people like me will either vote Trump or not go to the polls. I will not vot for any candidate that either supports slave reparations or a UBI that is not “U”niversal.
Trump was sent by God as punishment for the Republican Party. It will not exist in any recognizable form by mid-November.
Republicans went all-in on a false idol and destroyed any claim to legitimacy and worthwhile platform they may have had. That’s the price of a failed cult.
I look forward to a time when moral and logical conservatives regroup and rejoin legitimate political discourse and work toward a better future for America instead of bunkering down in their Alamo of white supremacy.
Moral and Logical conservatives? where are they? Or more to the point where have they been for the last 30 years? ‘Legitimate political discourse’ is nothing but guarded speech, and empty platitudes – all theatre for the audience. Unfortunately that theatrical production has ended up costing us lives and wealth in neverending wars. If Trump is punishment for the party then it is because they lost their principles long ago and people were hoping for someone outside the corruption to make some effective change.
They are out there. One might reasonably consider the Lincoln Project as an example. Or NeverTrumpers in general. Perhaps the libertarian right.
These groups must coalesce and destroy the Trump Cult. Not easy work by any means.
As for “legitimate political discourse,” I set a low bar — no white supremacist dogma. Too much to ask?
There is nobody in the GOP that is OUTSIDE the corruption. They just hate the democrats (read blacks, immigrants, the lower 75% in net worth, disabled, and everyone that ever had any social safety net assistance in their lives ever) but realize they cannot be just the party of the top 10% and still manage to win elections. At least not national elections. In order todo that as the minority party they must trick millions of voters into casting their votes for republicans. They have two basic tricks up their sleeve, one is voter suppression of democrats and they bag of tricks they have for that is giant indeed, and got a lot bigger when they added russian gifts to the party and russian interference in our voting. The other is fear, and the lies they tell to invoke fear, they have a number of those as well.
But the really BIG project they are working on knowing they will not have the demographic numbers for future elections even with cheating is that they are seeding the judiciary with far right idealogues and fundamentally incompetent partisans.
They are the minority party with the far right base at about 30-35 million, and a not very dependable 25-30 million that can be cowed into voting for them as well, as opposed to the democrats who are well over 70 million if you can get them to the polls on election day. So disqualifying them and keeping them away from the ballot box is crucial.
The current crop is the most corrupt of them all and the stakes have never been higher on both sides. We have come to the breaking point where the masses of people simply are not going to take it anymore. The angrier and more motivated the masses and the poor and victims of the GOP policy of division and fear the more truculent and belligerent the far right gets. The more willing they are to just kill off population, hence the coronavirus which appears to be blowing up in their faces at the moment. People cannot take months of imprisonment or forced to drastically alter the way they live. If the masses think social distancing and isolation for a few months are bad just wait till they see what living under full blown fascism is like because that is all that is left to the far right and the GOP.
Well, you know what this means? The D’s will have to sink to new lows in order to avoid controlling the pres, senate, and house all at once. It is vitally important to the D-R duopoly that they be able to excuse broken public promises by pointing at their alleged political opponents. “Gridlock” is the excuse for failing public promises while honoring private ones to the D.C.-NYC-London junta.
“Trump is going to cost the Republicans not only the presidency, but the Senate”. The truth is that the republican senators themselves are costing them the Senate. they a bunch of cowards.
So is Trump in reality.
The GOP needs to realize Donald Trump isn’t worth saving. The Senate it. Saving the Senate means they have more control in SCOTUS picks, legislation, and of course holding the president responsible. Trump recklessly spent political capital and has nothing left. He is a lame duck long before his first term is up.
It would be best to throw resources at saving the Senate and go back to the drawing board in 2024 and actually elect a real conservative who has the leadership qualities to push the agenda through rather than plan on Twitter all day.
The reality is –
The polls were not that far off in 2016 A couple of percentages points in a few key states.
Trump run against one of the most despised candidates in history and barely won
A last second ply by Comey likely swung the election
This is not 2016
That’s reality
…Can anyone really claim that Trump even had a fair chance at being President when he was accused of treasonous impeachable acts from day one?….
Sorry, what I remember from day one is his all-out push for America to believe his “largest-ever” inauguration crowd. Don’t believe your eyes, believe what I tell you.
Dang, I accidentally hit the like button. Now I cant dislike this comment.
Is this the new way of the “conservative” voter? You know steal Jesse Jackson’s victim card and use it constantly as a defense?
Trump had plenty of fair chances to be a leader and show us he can lead. He didn’t. He played the victim card like you are doing.
Look at his COVID19 response. He went from calling for a tax holiday–the small government approach–to following the Obama crisis handbook even better than Obama. Bigger bailouts, bigger stimulus, more QE, and hell, after months of attacking Bernie Sanders over free stuff, Trump even called for stimulus checks for some Americans with his signature on them.
Stop playing the victim card.
What victim card? Stop over dramatizing an attempt to be fair to the context of the situation. Trump is not and never was a politician nor a lawyer. Does anyone think that upon assuming the mantle of president one automatically understands the minutiae of the implications of what is and is not constitutional? That is a failing either intentional or not of his expert advisors and cabinet. At worst he is simply poor at taking advice if he is contradicted. Trump is not a humble man – that is a character flaw to some and not others. That hardly makes him a would-be tyrant. The same people that say Trump is a demagogue that acts against the constitution and will not cede the presidency are the same people that call him an imbecile. Which is it? is he as dumb as a pile of bricks or a world class manipulator and incipient Il Duce? Taking the socio-political and media envrionment into account with respect to Trump does not equate to being a Trump cultist. I certainly wish he’d been more effective on illegal immigration, cutting the size of government and cutting defense spending among other things. let’s see how the Democrats deal with those issues…
Lets put the original post to the test: If Biden is elected lets invetsigate him and everyone close to him ad nauseum. Indict them and then refuse to comply with discovery. Have the FBI set perjury traps for Biden’s associates.
And have the MSM tell us 24/7 how horrible Biden is.
Then we’ll see how effective a potus can be under those conditions.
Perhaps if Trump had actually led the country, conducted an inclusive agenda and not lied 10 times a day he might have been given more positive media coverage. Instead he has lied at the drop of a hat, insulted women and minority reporters and curried favor with white supremacists. And to top it all of he has alienated the leaders of our allies while cozying up to Kim, Putin and a despicable Saudi regime. Let’s call it what it is. There is no victim card to be played here. He has reaped exactly what he has sown.
IHME? Isn’t that the other Gates funded tent.
The one which had provably false initialization values on the very day that their forecasts went out?
Trump’s main ability seems to be to bring out the crazy in people that consider themselves rational intellectuals. Can anyone really claim that Trump even had a fair chance at being President when he was accused of treasonous impeachable acts from day one? Mish, you seem to be living in a world where you think life can be ruled by rationality…that is a wonderful dream but it isn’t run that way. Ideas over parties and candidates? Are people even capable of choosing between ideas when the vast majority of the schools skew left in a range that extends from starchy nose- in-the-air cocktail liberals to radical Marxists? Ask a former Eastern European what they think of America…most are appalled to see the same shit developing that sunk their own countries for most of the 20th century and from which they are still recovering. Does anyone really seriously think Trump is ‘a threat to the Constitution’? How exactly? Do we really want Biden to beat Trump? Why? Because he has a tendency to spout of at the mouth and doesn’t have a likeable personality?
“Does anyone really seriously think Trump is ‘a threat to the Constitution’? “
In order to be that stupid, one would first have to be stupid enough to believe that there, after over a century of free falling descent into financialized progressivism, is still some sort of “constitution” left to be a threat to.
And man, does that ever take some serious stupidity.
“Does anyone really seriously think Trump is ‘a threat to the Constitution’? “
Yes. Show me in Article II where the president has magical national emergency powers to overturn legislative losses and take over the power of the purse and other legislative powers. I can’t find it.
Trump didn’t work for his wall for two years, a fact Rush Limbaugh and Ann Coulter have reminded him many times. Then he played this “national emergency card” to rob the Pentagon of funds.
You don’t see the threat in that?
You will when Democrats play that card for a global warming emergency, a healthcare emergency, a mass shooting emergency…
The point is that the constitution has already been shredded over years of corrupt power grabs by the two major parties aided and abetted by the courts and their corrupt ‘interpretations’ of the law. Commerce clause overreach anyone? How about civil asset forfeiture? I could even go 2nd amendment but why bother? How is Trump all of a sudden ‘the big bad unprecedented constitutional threat’? has anyone been awake for the last 70 years? give me a break.
The Bible op will be completely forgotten by November.
There are 3 themes that will determine the elections:
– Economic Devastation
– Covid Response Blame
– Inner City Demolition Blame
These themes will only grow: They will completely eclipse all memory of the Russia interference hoax, China, impeachment farce, etc.
I would add- the DNCs ability to convince the voting public that Biden is not completely senile.
There will be other Trump moments like the Bible op though that will continue to produce Trump fatigue.
It seems to me trump has not destroyed the repub party. They have done it to themselves. Look at all the complaints on this site about wall street etc. would you need obama care if health was affordable, While trumps just the nail in the coffin. Maybe mitch and the gang need to get the boot and break the cycle were in. Get a rb party that actually represents the people they need to get them elected.
Trump’s role is his complete lack of empathy, and the Republican Party’s failing is standing behind him, accepting full responsibility for his actions. In times of crisis, the President’s popularity normally skyrockets. That happened in countries and states around the world. Most world leaders gained 20+ percentage points. Not Trump. His rose a few points initially, then quickly started going South. Instead of showing empathy, in both recent crises (Covid19, Floyd), he started on the right foot, then immediately pivoted to the wrong side.
With Covid19, he started by banning flights to China, then stopped taking it seriously, saying idiotic things like “poof, it will vanish on it’s own”, and talked of drinking disinfectant. He never bothered to express empathy for those affected by it. With Floyd, he started by expressing outrage at his killing, but then pivoted to defying people to loot, and threatening an escalation of violence if they did, which of course had the expected result, and violence escalated.
What should he have done? He should have left Covid19 discussion to people who knew what they were talking about, and limited his comments to expressing empathy to those affected by it. He should have called for unity in times of crisis, and expressed optimism that the US, as a great country, would survive and thrive.
As for Floyd, it’s the same thing. He should have expressed empathy with those who were outraged, and called for unity is addressing this. He should have said that he heard and understood the message from the protests, and appointed a multi-racial, multi-party task force to research the issues of excessive violence by police, and to propose radical solutions, and then vowed to stand behind their recommendations. With their message heard, the protests would have died out, and without all the protesters, the radicals who wanted violence would have stood alone, with no crowd to hide among. Not only that, his popularity would have skyrocketed.
Sadly, though, Trump doesn’t want a “big tent”. He prefers to divide, and play to his base. His opinion is that his base is big enough to win. I think he’s wrong.
I agree.
How many ppl involved in the mortgage crisis did Obama prosecute?
Another can of worms. Not saying the dems are great. I was trying to say. as the gop policies go to enrich the top. Their base gets poorer. You get either the hunkered down far rt or create a Democrat. While the poorer dems slide ever farther to the left. .
It’s been government by filibuster and cloture for twenty years now. Even a Democrat sweep will fall far short of the filibuster-proof 60 votes needed to change that. I don’t trust the polls for the same reason I don’t trust the “news” anymore: Why listen to any of them if you already know what they’re going to say?
Some poll legitimately. Others take the form of: Do you intend to vote for the last possible hope of man or his scum-sucking opponent in the coming election?
Colorado is a political microcosm of America: I watched the population tilt to blue over the 35 years I lived in Boulder. The front range, from Colorado Springs to Ft. Collins has imported enough Californians to now win state elections, but not win traditional Colorado, which feels neglected and marginalized…and is, thus Trump.
That’s how The Fed perpetuates financialization:
People who have to work for a living, are being robbed by debasement. The money is then handed to Free Shit Army idiots who “make money off their house,” since that is the process by which The Fed hands out welfare checks. The newly welfare rich then take the stolen wealth they were being handed in return for nothing, and buy up, drive out and marginalize those who were robbed to fund their “asset appreciation.” Hence becoming the new upper class in exactly the communities which were robbed barren in order to hand them the loot they now live high off.
While the indoctrination apparatus works full time to sucker even those who were robbed to sustain the theft racket, into believing these theft beneficiary welfare recipients are somehow “job creators”, “creative”, “pillars of the community”, “risk takers” and what have you. Instead of the welfare recipients of stolen wealth which is all they really are. And sadly, it seems like most robbery victims are even falling for the indoctrination. In an almost Stockholm Syndrome like fashion.
People were writing epitaphs for the Dems. The virus and Trump turned that around so quick now it’s the other way around. Forrest Gump had it right: “life’s like a box of chocolates”.
It’s not like it really matters which corrupt party controls the Senate. They are both equally destructive just in different ways.
The choices are Goat 1 or Goat 2.
True. However, full party control of the legislative and executive branches are not good. I hope Trump loses so we can rid ourselves of this vile man who has no ability to lead and Republicans keep the Senate to keep some things in check.
I totally agree, but am not optimistic.
If Smiling Cory (he is smiling because he wants to gut your Medicare) wins in Colorado, then Fat Donnie™ will win 400 electoral votes.
I believe Cory Gardner is the most hated man in Colorado.
Trump has completely destroyed the Republican Party. It will be at least a decade before it recovers. I predicted back in March that the election would be a grisly landslide, and that Democrats would end up with a majority in both the house and Senate for at least a decade. I don’t consider this a good thing at all, but it seems inevitable. I expect the Venezuelazation of the US.
What did you predict in 2018? The same MAGA cult was saying it was going to be a huge red tidal wave. I was warning in summer of 2017, Trump better get to work noting he was wasting a lot of time not working and playing golf and on Twitter because he would not have another chance to work with Republican majorities. Everyone told me to be patient–you know the 4D chess game.
Republicans got their butts handed to them 2018. I don’t see the momentum shifting this year either.
I didn’t predict 2018. I just expected a close election, and I had no preference between the two. Republicans controlled Congress, so a Democrat in the White House was fine with me, even Hillary. A split government, with one party in the White House, and the other controlling Congress is my preference.
Over the last 50 years, the best results have generally come with a Democrat in the White House and Republicans controlling Congress, and the worst results have come with Republicans controlling both. Five Presidents have seen huge increases in Debt/GDP: Reagan, Bush, Bush, Obama, and Trump. The most recent list of Presidents who did not see huge increases in Debt/GDP are Nixon, Ford, Carter, and Clinton.
I voted for Trump and cry no tears for the Republican party. They did it to themselves by being the party of big business, big government, and against individual rights all while paying lip service to the opposite. If you want to blame the downfall of the party on a recent republican administration, try George W. Bush and his neo-con intelligentsia. Trump is the result of that and the intentional mistreatment and marginalization of Ron Paul – a real conservative – by his own party which resulted in a long festering and underlying resentment against them.
Republicon party (RIP) are now “officially”the Wall Street party,Trump and that crew in DC is Wall Streets bitch.$16 trillion in bailouts in the last 6 months,99% goin to banks and WS (again).So now the banks will need another mult trillion dollar bailout and WS is in permanent bail out mode,trillions pumped into the “market”daily to keep it from crashing……..While Main Street continues it’s slow steady rot!
“Republicon party (RIP) are now “officially”the Wall Street party,”
Any party not singularly focused on ending the Fed is. There is no substantive difference at all. As in, really none at all. And there won’t be, until 1)one of the parties grow enough of a brain to realize Ron Paul was right, and that noone else has been in any way at all, since 1910. Or 2)The Jihadis come rescue us. Either way will work. I prefer the Ron Paul way. But there are no other workable ways.
The IHME model is now being projected out to October, and unsurprisingly, they’re predicting a second wave this fall. Daily deaths are projected to go below 500 per day for about 2 months starting in July, and then start spiking back up in September to where we’ll be back over 1,000 deaths per day again in October. The death total is now projected to be just under 170,000 by October 1st, and if the trajectory of that curve is at all accurate, we’ll almost certainly clear 200,000 deaths before the year is over. In other words, this pandemic is pretty much going to blow away any previous pandemic we’ve experienced in this country since the 1918-19 pandemic. Quite a bit more serious than H1N1, or really anything else any of us have ever seen.
Trump is turning Republican strongholds into tossup states. The shenanigans Georgia witnessed are what we will see in November. And Putin has the GRU ready to hack election machines as well. Trump isnt going to leave without being forcibly removed. The military official who stood next to Trump at the church said it was a mistake. The GOP would be better off nominating anyone else if they want to remain a party.
Have you seen any evidence whatsoever that the GRU or Putin have ever done anything whatsoever to election machines or public influence. Show me any documentation…
The US would do well do copy Venezuela where every vote has a verifiable paper and electronic audit trail.