Changes in the voting methods due to Covid Should be stopped—Mail in Ballots are full of fraud due to who counts the vote–Demoncrats–they fill the ranks of vote processors—As Stalin said ” Let the people vote BUT I count the vote”—
90% counted now, Laxalt 9K ahead damn close, I personally wouldn’t bet either way
MarkraD
1 year ago
Nevada, Laxalt’s lead just dropped to 1.4%, 12.6K votes ahead now.
The rate of 2-D to 1-R in mail/drop-off votes doesn’t seem to be receding and it’s at 86% counted now.
Last night it was 2.7% with 80% counted.
This is getting interesting.
.
Esclaro
1 year ago
I have to laugh at all the old Repubs with the old canard about the young shifting Republican as they age. Dream on! My kids were Democrats when they were young and they are Democrats now that they are in their 40s. So are all their friends. The difference is EDUCATION. Only poorly educated idiots vote Republican.
I mean, I have advanced degrees and an undergrad degree from MIT, 52 yo… I didn’t fully transition to the GOP until my oldest’s teachers told my 6yo that he could change genders on a daily basis (without informing me, let alone asking for permission) and my wife & I observed him trying to teach it to our 4yo. My 6yo is now 7, progressing with his homeschooled math & science beyond what I ever could have done, our mini-Rain Man (yes, he’s autistic, so am I, and as a matter of trivia, I’ve met the real Rain Man)
I guess what I’m saying is that your kids aren’t a lost cause yet, they could still come around. I was a partisan Dem well into my 40s. But keep thinking Republicans are uneducated idiots if it makes you feel good.
Absurd BS. Over 80% of blacks are democrats. Roughly 2/3rds of Hispanics. Blacks and Hispanics, on average, have a far lower level of education than Whites and Asians.
Welfare recipients vote Democrat—Great Society—made money baby production a business as 75% of minorities don’t marry–now almost 50% majority don’t marry to get the Administrative State’s monthly cash—Problem is the money printing is making everyone poorer—But these money babies grow up at 18 the money STops and money babies turn to crime and money baby production as well–again we all suffer except for the lawyers (Democrat) who benefit ( USA has more lawyers than any other country)
prumbly
1 year ago
“Republicans cannot change election laws”
Why not? Democrats change election laws all the time – always in ways that favor themselves.
For example, mail-in voting laws. Democrats have made it easy for people to vote by mail, and thus far easier for Democrats to commit voter fraud.
Another example, voting without the need to show any ID. Again, encouraging Democrat voter fraud.
whirlaway
1 year ago
“He’s a lefty with a record of wanting Medicare for All and a ban on fracking … “
Neither of which has any chance of coming true under any DONORcrat administration anywhere (heck, HR Clinton practically vowed that single-payer health insurance will “never ever come to pass”). Nothing progressive will ever come to fruition with the DONORcrats. There *is* a road for progressives inside the DONORcrat Party, but it leads to a graveyard.
8dots
1 year ago
They are middle class, upper middle class and billionaires.
8dots
1 year ago
It’s a win/ win for republicans : the got rid of Al Sharpton, Nancy and Trump. The D will knock off R policies to neuter the other side. They will surf on the R wave, or tumble and sink under the falling NDX. DeSantis FL is a function of Biden. // The south is 40% black. The D old policies of trash a place and get white people RE for 75% discount is not working anymore. The south is US industrial hub. It’s booming. Black and the Latinos became middle and upper middle class. They don’t need Tawana garbage can regime change in their lives. DeSantis, Rubio, Yougkin…Saint Pence is a traitor.
All bankruptcies accomplished with other people’s money.
Sheer shrewdness & angry insistence with zero substance is a failure for a business model regardless how “con”fident the promoter appears, it’s both tragic and hilarious at the same time that so many Americans are gullible enough to think it is.
Trump has taken his long history of bankruptcies and transferred that “success” to an entire political party, he seeks to do it for the entire country.
Here’s the rest of that list of failures –
1. Trump Steaks, 2. GoTrump, 3. Trump Airlines, 4. Trump Vodka, 5. Trump Mortgage, 6. Trump: The Game, 7. Trump Magazine, 8. Trump University, 9. Trump Ice, 10. The New Jersey Generals, 11. Tour de Trump, 12. Trump Network, 13. Trumped!
Why are there so many people that don’t see this pattern?
1. california – votes democrat – GDP $3.4 Trillion
2. google – vote/leans democrat – Market cap $1.2 Trillion
3. apple – run by a gay guy – Market cap $2.3 Trillion
4. microsoft – vote/leans democrat – Market cap $1.8 Trillion
I could go on but you get the point. I never sat down and did the gdp/market cap for “Trump country” but I doubt it would be 20% of what I listed above for ALL of it.
The only thing I need is money. Whether dems or repubs are in office is largely irrelevant, I adjust my investment strategy to compensate for the noise of the political party in office. Guess which party has more money?
It seems like there are some states that have a harder time counting the votes. But, those states aren’t the only ones with a lot of VBM ballots.
Casual_Observer2020
1 year ago
I think the overturning of long held cases by the Supreme Court is going to help elect Democrats going forward. Conservatives got what they wanted. At some point, enough states will pass an amendment to the constitution making the supreme court an elected office with term limits like any other office. A lifetime appointment to anything isn’t what democracies are made of.
“A lifetime appointment to anything isn’t what democracies are made of.”
The Constitution is not a popularity contest. The U.S. is not a democracy. It is a constitutional republic. By the way, i don’t see the democrats moving to eliminate the numerous un-elected bureaucracies in the federal government. Fauci had a lifetime appointment.
Democrats would have had a fit if Trump had fired him.
Keep the outside sentences and remove the middle sentences, then you’re spot on
MPO45
1 year ago
As usual, anyone interested in what is happening with politics or economics only needs to really look at demographics. Gen Z voted 68% in favor of democrats. So why are races in Georgia and Arizona so tight? Just look at the demographics, I copied some data from Census.gov for Georgia and Arizona. Both of these states have young populations. Florida went deep red…why? Because it has the most boomers and aging population.
This election cycle is a turning point, it is the point at which boomers become less relevant and millennials and younger start taking control of governments. Republicans should be terrified because most young people don’t like their politics, don’t take my word for it, look at the election results. Boomers had a great run, but there time is coming to an end, figuratively and literally.
“Republicans should be terrified because most young people don’t like their politics”
You could have said the same thing 20, 40 or 60 years ago. There’s a natural political progression for people as they hit different stages in life. One day the Gen Zs will be Republicans wondering why their grandkids vote for Democrats.
40 or 60 years ago the demographics were fairly homogeneous, not so today which leads to an interesting question about what happens with the Republican party. Who do republicans court when they have alienated Women, LGBT, Blacks, Hispanics, etc. What is the Republican platform in 2024? 2028?
Whatever repubs were pushing in 2022 didn’t motivate many to vote for them. Scare tactics of crime, inflation, biden dementia, etc scored poorly. Repubs barely scrapped a few more seats in congress, wait till 2024 rolls around and see it falter even more especially after more boomers die off over the next two years and more Gen Z and Millenials vote.
I am going to bookmark this post and we can check back in two years.
What nonsense. Republicans haven’t alienated any of the groups you mentioned. Far from it. There are vast numbers of Republican women, blacks, etc. Hispanics are hard-working and conservative, and natural Republican material. Republicans are GAINING support among blacks and hispanics:
They’re gaining with Hispanics (keep calling them LatinX if you’re a Dem, see how that works out), losing with blacks, mixed with women (gaining with mothers, losing with non-reproducing women)
Let’s see what happens in 2024. Like I said, I booked-marked this link, we’ll check back in in ’24, ’26, and ’28 and watch the repubs disintegrate or start acting more like Dems. Many are called RINOs now anyway….
I’d say check back in 10-20 years, and then again in 40 and 60 years.
At each point, you’ll find the voters roughly split between the same 2 parties. It won’t be a coincidence, each Party selects issues intentionally to split the electorate and the voters provide a feedback loop for them to adjust after each election. It’s worked to keep them in power for decades, and it’ll work until it doesn’t. If Trump didn’t destroy either Party, what will?
“This election cycle is a turning point, it is the point at which boomers become less relevant and millennials and younger start taking control of governments”
Yes, but I see another disturbing trend, debt:
Republicans paying off the donor class with lowered taxes in exchange for campaign contributions.
Democrats, and now Republicans too, buying votes in exchange for stimulus and social entitlements.
We have a $31 trillion hole, go figure, it’s a mystery.
You might recall back in 2012, on Fox news when Karl Rove was shocked, horrified on live TV that Obama beat Romney after Rove had spent a collective $300 million to “buy” Romney’s presidency via his SuperPAC’s, and got nothing.
This, I suspect, is when it started to become obvious that public opinion was becoming less gullible, money is losing is ability to sway elections, which is why Trump so readily signed off on stimulus in 2020 and the GOP didn’t bat an eye as they did with Obama in 2009.
If it’s a turning point then what we should see going forward are younger candidates for congress/senate/president.
That’s really the big issue for both parties. They are still running silent generation people (Biden, Pelosi, Trump) for the highest offices. We’ve got to get rid of those before we can get rid of the boomers! No one older than Gen-X should be newly running now (ie the boomers and older who are in should finish current terms and retire).
Avery
1 year ago
Hi Mish.
Maybe you can discuss with Gonzalo at his next Roundtable Open House –
link to m.youtube.com id=”squire-selection-start” type=”hidden”><input id=”squire-selection-end” type=”hidden”>
GruesomeHarvest
1 year ago
Mish,
Actually the Republican tide that didn’t appear is a good thing. The country is headed towards a depression and it’s good that the Democratics will be seen as mostly responsible. Of course both parties are, at their root, the same. There is little difference on foreign wars, exporting jobs (mission accomplished!), bailing out the banksters, and open boarders, … In short, we have the best government money can buy!
xbizo
1 year ago
How do we get two-factor authentication? We do it to comment and follow Mish!
Philc56
1 year ago
Hey Mish, how about returning to your real purpose in the “Global Economic Trend Analysis” rather than concentrating on opinions about how the vote may or may not turn out? There is so much happening now – the S&P500 rocketed up 5.5% today (Thursday Nov-11) and gold is moving rapidly up. These trends are much more important than guessing election results that will reveal themselves in due course. Thanks. Phil
But the problem is, the economy is highly dependent on the government. It shouldn’t be. But when you have the level of graft, corruption, and steering of resources by the government that is currently occurring, the vote of jackasses for jackals is highly relevant! (Credit to Mencken)
Mish is doing both. He is multi-talented. He even does photography and posts it here.
Matt3
1 year ago
I suggest that elections be done with paper ballots that are traceable. I believe that France does this and counts in a day.
Delayed results create the opportunity for fraud. There is no reason to not be able to count in a day. Ballots mailed, need to be received by election day. It’s not that hard!!
As to fraud, I can’t prove that it happens but it sure is coincidental. Like the 300 ballots found in car trunk that made Al Franken a senator. For other examples, you can go back to LBJ and his first victory, JFK (Chicago votes) and many others. Strangely, all of the “found ballots” are always just enough to pull out a win for a democrat. Still waiting for this to happen the other way.
Also, strangely the dead seem to always vote democrat.
To make elections trusted, count everything in the open (cameras are not expensive), have clean voter roles, require voter ID, all votes received and counted on election day.
Those 300 ballots found in a car trunk were probably found BECAUSE of the traceability rules in place at the time. And as far as mailing ballots, when you have guys in charge of the USPS that intentionally slow the mail as happened recently, that is a problem. During that time it took 2 MONTHS for mail to get to France, usually 7-10 days, twice as long for bill payments to reach the offices (10-14 days cross country), but it is now back to that shorter, reasonable time frame. According to a nice piece from the WashPost April 8, 2022, “DeJoy was hired as postmaster general in June 2020 by the Postal Service’s Trump-appointed governing board. He quickly made operational changes that significantly delayed mail service in the run-up to the 2020 presidential election.” It seems that DeJoy has now seen the light and to keep his job is thinking more clearly. Congress also assisted restructuring USPS finances. States make illogical rules, such as allowing mailin ballots, but not allowing them to be opened and counted before election day, knowing that signatures have to be compared and verified, a quick way to get 110,000+ ballots behind in the counting (NV). It’s been documented again and again that Ds tend to vote by mail more than Rs, so mailin ballots ‘found’ for whatever reason are likely to lean D. As mentioned in the story, Trump/Rs urge people NOT to vote by mail. “Trump told people to vote in person whereas Democrats said vote early. It’s clear which is the winning strategy.” And I won’t even get into the issue of l o n g lines in GA, or TX (Houston?) removing most drop boxes, a smart (but not cheap) way to cut out mailing problems. Some of the red state stories concerning making it difficult to vote are ridiculous, mind-boggling. But I agree that voting without an ID is wrong, and unnecessary because the huge majority of people have driver’s licenses, and other IDs could be used to register or vote–it’s not like Election Day, or going to the polls, is unexpected. Election Day registration also seems to be a less than ideal, even bad, idea, although there is probably nothing wrong with letting the DMV handle the process.
Rbm
1 year ago
Maybe give up on rallying around the same ole things. God guns immigration abortion. Move a step or two to the center and come up with plans to solve problems. Not just un funded tax cuts which leave us in more debt and really only benefit the wealthy. Rep are supposed to be the party of business owners. Maybe put policies inplace that build the middle class.
Now on a different note. Seeing how the rep are falling on trump and his cronies necks. Wonder how far down the line it will go with say graham cruz etc.
I’m in favor of anything that prevents voter fraud. Having fair elections is more important than having as many vote as possible. The idea that proving who you are to vote is somehow racists is absurd. There are lots of things you can’t do without proper ID. Like renting a house, getting a job, buying a car, getting a drivers license. IMO if someone is unable to do any of the aforementioned, they probably shouldn’t be allowed to vote.
And mail in voting is fine, but they need to not allow votes after election day. Tell voters they need to send out their ballot at least a week before election day to be counted. It’s easy to tamper with a postmark and it’s easy for a pollster to ignore the postmark date.
The democrats do a lot to fuel speculation that they’re cheating. Whether or not they’re actually cheating is a different matter.
Well the main stream media is certainly putting their thumb on the scale. As is the entire pop culture being spewed out on the boobtube and social media.
MPO45
1 year ago
It was gen Z that has changed the political dynamics. Surprised to see this on Breitbart.
‘If you’re young and you don’t vote democrat, you don’t have a heart’
‘if you’re old and you don’t vote republican, you don’t have a brain’
PreCambrian
1 year ago
Voting in person is a real economic hardship for most people who work. Also it is very easy to make long lines in areas that you don’t want turnout. Republicans should want free and fair elections. It should be relatively easy to guarantee that only eligible citizens vote and that they only vote once in the entire country. Any voter ID would need to be free.
A hardship to vote? I consider it a privilege. Almost everywhere, you can vote easily. Vote early, mail in, drop off. In GA we have weeks to do this. ID is free!
If you don’t have an ID it’s just about impossible to do much of anything.
Republicans do want free and fair elections. Which group demonized voter ID and GA election law?
I consider it meanless which is why I didn’t bother. In case you haven’t figured it out, it’s a rigged game meant to add legitimacy to oligachical rule. Just look at the parade of clowns we’ve had for President. Are you telling me these were the wisest most qualified people to run our country? They’re not even close.
MPO45
1 year ago
There was a republican politician (don’t recall name) that said it was time to get off the “Trump Titanic” and I thought it was very telling.
Yeah well they got on the titanic anyway. knowing full well it was gonna hit an iceberg. Watching to see who gets stuck without a life boat.
Says a lot about those politicians dont you think. B
TexasTim65
1 year ago
The other problem with Trumps candidates (Walker, Oz) is that they are imports into the States they are running in. Neither is someone who is a long time resident of the State and knows the people and shares their values.
If I was a voter there, I wouldn’t vote for someone who wasn’t committed to living there full time and had done so for years or decades. How could you possibly imagine they would properly represent you?
At least Dr. Oz wasn’t brain damaged from a stroke. It really says a lot about our “sacred Democracy”, when a mentally incapacitated person is voted into office. Perhaps we should call it a Rubeocracy.
“The Democrats could run a donkey and it would still get elected”
has now been proven to be 100% true.
It makes me wonder in the future why Democrats would ever want another Manchin or Sienna as a Senator. Better to just run mentally incapacitated people for the Senate and then have them controlled like puppets by the ‘party’ and vote exactly how the party wants.
randocalrissian
1 year ago
“Stop the Steal” is part of the anti-intellectuals’ campaign to dumb down Americans and strip them down to their tribal cores. Pick your pill, that’s their assignment for people.
Anyone who thinks it through and realizes zero lawyers have submitted a shred of valid evidence in court in support of systemic voting fraud claims (as opposed to fraud by one individual person) knows full well the STS campaign is all lies and hot air.
The supporters of STS say “you cannot disprove my claims” as if their lack of evidence with confident bluster means anything real.
There’s been evidence submitted. I’m not sure what you mean by valid evidence. Whether or not evidence is convincing is up to a judge and/or jury to decide.
Sure there are some crappy teachers out there. Education starts at home. There are some crappy parents out there. Also the are parents working two jobs etc and are doing the best they can.
Republicans want to shoot down public pre k a while back. Then complain about not having skilled labor force/ higher crime rate / and parents not being able to work because daycare cost more than they would make.
Check how public pre K (head start) has done. Did it improve anything? I’m pretty sure that it hasn’t made a material difference in educational outcomes. Rather than good intentions, let’s focus on results. I would be for trying different approaches and then measuring success. Just adding more school and more money doesn’t mean improved results.
I see high school and college grads that are not able to do 4th grade math. Also that are barely literate. Years and cost of education didn’t do much.
damn close, I personally wouldn’t bet either way
That’s where the educated people live.
Neither of which has any chance of coming true under any DONORcrat administration anywhere (heck, HR Clinton practically vowed that single-payer health insurance will “never ever come to pass”). Nothing progressive will ever come to fruition with the DONORcrats. There *is* a road for progressives inside the DONORcrat Party, but it leads to a graveyard.
Sokath, his eyes open!
I see a trend:
2. Trump’s Castle
3. Trump Plaza Casinos
4. Trump Plaza Hotel
5. Trump Hotels and Casinos Resorts
6. Trump Entertainment Resorts