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Democrats Flip Alaska Governorship, Now Control 30 Statehouses

In the Alaska Senate race, Peltola widens lead. Ranked voting still highly likely.

Thirty Governorships

Democratic Governorship Flips (6 States)

  • Georgia
  • Iowa
  • Nevada
  • Ohio
  • Texas
  • Projected Sixth Flip Alaska

Trump and Miller will get no cooperation on their racist deportation plans from 30 states, including Texas.

Trump can work out a good compromise, or do more damage to himself and the nation.

Expect the latter.

Alaska Senate Race

There are conflicting reports of Democrat Mary Peltola’s lead over Dan Sullivan widening and shrinking, minutes apart on X today.

Obviously, both cannot be true, and both sets are from very partisan reports.

The State Posted Totals are from 7:00 PM yesterday, so either could be true. However, I see the lead widening from my last report.

Alaska Senate Synopsis

According to the unofficial results from the above official source, Peltola now has a 2.2 percentage point lead.

That’s an improvement and it will be nearly impossible to make up. But nearly impossible is not impossible.

NBC commented “88.2% expected votes in (Est. remaining 35,000)”. If accurate, Peltola has a ~6,000 vote lead with ~35,000 votes remaining.

It’s not impossible for Sullivan to make that up, but it is very unlikely given more of the remaining votes are are in Democrat-friendly districts (my estimate yesterday).

The race still appears headed for overtime (ranked voting) as Peltola is unlikely to get to 50 percent.

Eyes on November 18

According to the Alaska Division of Elections and reporting from Alaska Public Media, ranked-choice vote tabulation for Alaska’s U.S. Senate race will begin on Wednesday, November 18, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the first-choice votes.

Why Tabulation Waits Until November 18

  • Ballot Return Deadlines. Alaska state law gives domestic mail-in ballots 10 days after Election Day to arrive, while overseas absentee ballots have up to 15 days to arrive.
  • Complete First-Round Count. Under the Alaska Division of Elections rules, officials must collect and count all polling place, early, absentee, and provisional (“questioned”) ballots before running the instant-runoff rounds.

For my take yesterday, please see Alaska Senate Math. Are the Betting Markets Too Confident of Peltola?

My answer is Yes. Yet I expect Peltola to win.

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8 Comments
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Oldest Most Voted
Avery2
Avery2
1 hour ago

I/s that enough to impeach Trump?

Last edited 1 hour ago by Avery2
Augustine
Augustine
1 hour ago
Reply to  Avery2

That’s all that matters.

Feral Finster
Feral Finster
2 hours ago

Trump remains weak,.stupid and easily manipulated.

Harrold
Harrold
1 hour ago
Reply to  Feral Finster

I look forward to TrumpCare ™ for all.

SleemoG
SleemoG
2 hours ago

The more important takeaway in the Alaska governorship is that the Governor-elect is the youngest in state history. May this be a trend that continues until every last Silent and Boomer is put out to pasture. Bravo young people!

Raj Kumar
Raj Kumar
2 hours ago

Well MAGA has turned into MDGA…

Not sure about the scale tilting so much in favour of one political party

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
2 hours ago
Reply to  Raj Kumar

Trump can stop the bleeding, but he can’t.

todde
todde
7 minutes ago
Reply to  Raj Kumar

it is all part of the feedback process. a good and proper beat down to match the epic fuck-up the Republicans have become.

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