In the Alaska Senate race, Peltola widens lead. Ranked voting still highly likely. 
Thirty Governorships
Democratic Governorship Flips (6 States)
- Georgia
- Iowa
- Nevada
- Ohio
- Texas
- Projected Sixth Flip Alaska
Trump and Miller will get no cooperation on their racist deportation plans from 30 states, including Texas.
Trump can work out a good compromise, or do more damage to himself and the nation.
Expect the latter.
Alaska Senate Race
There are conflicting reports of Democrat Mary Peltola’s lead over Dan Sullivan widening and shrinking, minutes apart on X today.
Obviously, both cannot be true, and both sets are from very partisan reports.
The State Posted Totals are from 7:00 PM yesterday, so either could be true. However, I see the lead widening from my last report.
Alaska Senate Synopsis
According to the unofficial results from the above official source, Peltola now has a 2.2 percentage point lead.
That’s an improvement and it will be nearly impossible to make up. But nearly impossible is not impossible.
NBC commented “88.2% expected votes in (Est. remaining 35,000)”. If accurate, Peltola has a ~6,000 vote lead with ~35,000 votes remaining.
It’s not impossible for Sullivan to make that up, but it is very unlikely given more of the remaining votes are are in Democrat-friendly districts (my estimate yesterday).
The race still appears headed for overtime (ranked voting) as Peltola is unlikely to get to 50 percent.
Eyes on November 18
According to the Alaska Division of Elections and reporting from Alaska Public Media, ranked-choice vote tabulation for Alaska’s U.S. Senate race will begin on Wednesday, November 18, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the first-choice votes.
Why Tabulation Waits Until November 18
- Ballot Return Deadlines. Alaska state law gives domestic mail-in ballots 10 days after Election Day to arrive, while overseas absentee ballots have up to 15 days to arrive.
- Complete First-Round Count. Under the Alaska Division of Elections rules, officials must collect and count all polling place, early, absentee, and provisional (“questioned”) ballots before running the instant-runoff rounds.
For my take yesterday, please see Alaska Senate Math. Are the Betting Markets Too Confident of Peltola?
My answer is Yes. Yet I expect Peltola to win.
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That’s all that matters.
Trump remains weak,.stupid and easily manipulated.
I look forward to TrumpCare ™ for all.
The more important takeaway in the Alaska governorship is that the Governor-elect is the youngest in state history. May this be a trend that continues until every last Silent and Boomer is put out to pasture. Bravo young people!
Well MAGA has turned into MDGA…
Not sure about the scale tilting so much in favour of one political party
Trump can stop the bleeding, but he can’t.