Age Group 16-19 Returned to Work, But 20-24 Didn’t, Why?

School Impact But What Else?

Age groups 16-19 and 20-24 were initially the hardest hit in the Covid-19 pandemic. 

This makes sense. 

Those age groups were the least skilled, most likely to be in school, and most likely to be in restaurant and other hard hit service jobs.

As noted in Hooray! Employment in Age Group 16-19 is Fully Recovered, Who Else is Winning? the employment population ratio of those aged 16-19 is the only age group that has fully recovered.

Recovery Difference

Employment recovery has outright stalled in many age groups as the lead chart shows.

This makes some sense in older age groups because the stock market recovery has been nothing short of amazing. 

Many people in age groups 59 and over might reasonably choose to retire.

What About Age Group 20-24?

Age group 20-24 is largely still in school, and there are plenty of openings in the types of jobs available to that demographic. 

Free Money Shotgun

There have been three rounds of stimulus and unemployment aids, and all of them paid more to unemployed low skill workers than they made being employed. 

Biden says the latest jobs report is proof we need more aid. 

Others, including me, say the shotgun approach of free handouts provides a huge incentive to speculate in the stock market rather than work.

For discussion, please see Biden Comments on the Jobs Report and Gets the Key Message Wrong

Mish

Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

This post originated on MishTalk.Com

Thanks for Tuning In!

Mish

Subscribe
Notify of
guest

8 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
whirlaway
whirlaway
2 years ago
Seems to be much ado about nothing.   So, 100 16-19 year-olds were working in Feb 2020 and now there are 101.   Versus 100 20-25 year-olds were working in Feb 2020 and now there are nearly 95.   Which means the ratio changed from 1.00 to 1.06.    So?  Big deal!
huntfrizz
huntfrizz
2 years ago
Ages 20-24 were most likely to buy Dogecoin. That was easy, any other brain busters. 
shamrock
shamrock
2 years ago
Not capping unemployment benefits at 75% of previous income a huge blunder in the covid response.  Moscow Mitch thought is was a typo when they put it in there without a cap, but Bernie said no sir, everyone gets lots of free money.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
2 years ago
ZeroHedge has an article about this as well showing that you are far better off taking free money than working. Hence 20-24 year olds are doing just that.
The sad part is that Biden and his advisors are using this as an excuse to throw even more stimmy / UI money at the problem because they believe it’s needed to get people back to work rather than realizing it’s why people aren’t working. Or else they are deliberately not reigning in UI benefits so they can cause high unemployment to justify ramming through all their stimmy money (which otherwise would never pass in a healthy economy).
whirlaway
whirlaway
2 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
“… the most important factor in whether people returned to work was the availability of jobs, according to Joseph G. Altonji, the Thomas DeWitt Cuyler Professor of Economics at Yale University, and Dana Scott, a graduate student and Ph.D. candidate at Yale’s economics department, who co-authored the report.”
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
Just a question. Are teachers who are still refusing to work counted as employed or unemployed in your figures. There are almost 3.9 million of them so they could have a big impact on your figures.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
2 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
I believe they are employed because like all gov’t employees they have remained employed (ie none were laid off or furloughed).
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
So many are counted employed but not working. Figures. 

Stay Informed

Subscribe to MishTalk

You will receive all messages from this feed and they will be delivered by email.