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Elon Musk Wants Out, But Twitter Says it Will Force Him to Close the Sale

Elon Musk image from Tweet below.

Twitter Saga Goes On

Elon Musk agreed to buy Twitter for $44 billion. 

On Friday, Musk sent a letter to Twitter’s board Friday saying he is terminating the acquisition.

CNN reports Twitter tells Musk it will Force Him to Close the Sale.

Elon Musk moved Friday afternoon to terminate his $44 billion deal to buy Twitter — the latest twist in a whirlwind process in which the billionaire Tesla CEO became the company’s biggest shareholder, turned down a board seat, agreed to buy the social media platform and then started raising doubts about going through with the deal. The next chapter in the saga is almost certain to be a court battle.

A lawyer representing Musk claimed in a letter to Twitter’s top lawyer that he is ending the deal because Twitter (TWTR) is “in material breach of multiple provisions” of the original agreement, which was signed in April, according to a regulatory filing Friday evening.

“The Twitter Board is committed to closing the transaction on the price and terms agreed upon with Mr. Musk and plans to pursue legal action to enforce the merger agreement,” Twitter board chair Bret Taylor said in a tweet Friday, echoing earlier statements by the company that it planned to follow through with the deal. “We are confident we will prevail in the Delaware Court of Chancery.”

Musk in May said the deal was “on hold” as he evaluated the number of spam and fake accounts on the platform — a reversal from his previous statements that he wanted to acquire Twitter to eradicate bots on the platform. Last month, he directly threatened to walk away from the deal, accusing Twitter of breaching the merger agreement by not providing the data he says he needs to evaluate the number of spam and fake accounts on the platform. In response, Twitter agreed to hand over its “firehose” stream of tweets.

What’s This Really About?

Musk says it’s about spam bots and fake accounts. 

However, I believe that is an excuse to get out of a deal that never made any sense. Musk’s offer was too high and he wants out.

For sure there are spam bots and they go after me every day. Here is an example.

Other spam bots imitate people. I have dozens of people Tweeting to me under false pretenses pretending to be someone else.

In that kind of phishing scheme, the person or bot takes the Twitter handle of a well known account then changes a character or adds a character. Pretending to be someone else, the bot invites you with a cryptic message to do something, typically join his private group on the Telegram messaging service.  

It is alleged half the people following Trump are spam bots. When you look up some of these accounts they have 20 Tweets or so. They are not real. 

Material Breach of Contract

On June 6, in a Six-Paragraph Letter to Twitter, Musk’s lawyers demanded more data.

As noted, under various terms of the merger agreement, Twitter is required to provide data and information that Mr. Musk requests in connection with the consummation of the transaction. Twitter’s obligations to provide Mr. Musk with information is not, as the company’s June 1 letter suggests, limited to a “very specific purpose: facilitating the closing of the transaction.” To the contrary, Mr. Musk is entitled to seek, and Twitter is obligated to provide, information and data for, inter alia, “any reasonable business purpose related to the consummation of the transaction” (Section 6.4). Twitter must also provide reasonable cooperation in connection with Mr. Musk’s efforts to secure the debt financing necessary to consummate the transaction, including by providing information “reasonably requested” by Mr. Musk (Section 6.11). Mr. Musk’s requests for user data not only satisfies both criteria, but also meets even Twitter’s narrowed interpretation of the merger agreement, as this information is necessary to facilitate the closing of the transaction.

Musk said Twitter refused to disclose the number of fake accounts on its platform. 

Q&A on a Forced Sale

Q: Can Twitter Prevail?
A: They certainly can, and I believe they will. 

One cannot force a deal if the buyer does not have the means to pay, but Musk has plenty of assets in which to raise the cash for his offer. 

The reason I expect Twitter to prevail is Elon Musk waived due diligence in his offer. Then Musk immediately started asking Twitter for things not in the agreement.  

Due Diligence 

Change the Terms?

Q: Can the Twitter board just change the terms? 
A: No, that would bring shareholder lawsuits, besides, the board would not want to do that anyway. 

In light of waving due diligence, for there to be a “material breach” of the deal Musk would have to prove that Twitter purposely made false material false statements.

There is a $1 billion breakup fee. But the courts may easily force the deal through.

CNBC reports the merger agreement includes a “specific performance clause” that says Twitter has the right to sue Musk to force him to go through with the deal, as long as he still has the debt financing in place.

Musk was more than a bit sloppy. One wonders what Musk and his lawyers were thinking.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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57 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
JackWebb
JackWebb
4 years ago
What happens when it goes to court and Twitter has to admit that half of their accounts are fake? They won’t be popping the champagne corks in San Francisco. LOL
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Musk can likely drag this out for over a decade with appeals and motions. By that time, the cost will be substantially lower in real terms. Or maybe the stock price will be above his offering price and twitter will agree to cancel.
Crenvy
Crenvy
4 years ago
Twitter board will not sue, because then the number of fake accounts, the true number, will have to be revealed (and verified) in discovery. Then their fraud will be revealed, which will be of great interest to Twitter’s advertisers.
That is, unless you actually believe the number is 5%.
JackWebb
JackWebb
4 years ago
Reply to  Crenvy
BINGO! I foresee a much lower ask from Twitter.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
This is a well done article! If Twitter goes out of business, who or what will fill the gap?
——-
Twitter Just Lost Its Last Chance To Remain Relevant
Saturday, Jul 09, 2022 – 10:00 PM
After months of drama, it would appear the fate of social media giant Twitter has been decided, and the result is an inevitable path to the internet graveyard.
Many people will question the notion that Twitter could ever actually bite the dust, but they are probably unfamiliar with the company’s dismal performance as of late. The reality is, Elon Musk’s potential buyout was their last chance to stay afloat; now that Musk has exited the deal, they face a continued and steady decline into irrelevance like many other Big Tech companies before them.
While it’s possible that Musk’s decision is merely a play for a reduced sale price, it’s probably safe to assume there is not going to be a purchase anytime soon. This sets a chain of events in motion that bode very poor for Twitter given their track record the past couple of years, but first let’s consider the current situation.
….
Webej
Webej
4 years ago
waving due diligence
Well, Elon does bob & weave, and waves quite a bit too, but here I think he is waiving
effendi
effendi
4 years ago
So if it goes to court and Musk can show that the board lied in statements it gave the SEC and shareholder before his offer would that be enough to get the offer cancelled as it was based on false statements?
And if the statements were shown to be false does that open the board up to being sued by any shareholder as well as to criminal prosecution?
But yes, it was possibly foolish not to include the fake account issue as a break clause. (unless it was a clever move to lull the board to not realise that the intent was to get them for lying in statements).
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  effendi
Yes, yes and maybe.
JackWebb
JackWebb
4 years ago
Reply to  effendi
I think Zero Hedge is a very mixed bag, but this was an intriguing story from them. Given that the standard media have become almost completely unreliable, this is as believable to me as anything.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/twitter-just-lost-its-last-chance-remain-relevant

SpeedyGeezer
SpeedyGeezer
4 years ago
Near as I can tell, the “Parent” and “Acquisition Sub” in the transaction are shell companies. Musk is on the hook for a limited guaranty (mainly the break fee). Must be nice to be able to blow $1bn f-ing around, but I do not think the “Parent” has the dough to perform. Maybe there are other things that Twitter can sue Musk for, but specific performance is gonna be a long putt.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
Musk and his obsessions are a larger sign of what’s wrong with the world. We will likely get overwhelmed by the next pandemic as global temperatures allow viruses to percolate longer and become stronger. We can no longer even fight simple diseases.
JackWebb
JackWebb
4 years ago
Monkeypox is even harder to transmit than HIV. Phony scare, as usual.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
4 years ago
Not a problem. But…
Beware the Giant Meteor, it brings the end.
Nmcoyote1
Nmcoyote1
4 years ago
I agree, His offer for Twitter makes about as much sense as the current value of Tesla. Tesla and his offer are at least 50% over the true value. I have no idea what on earth he was thinking when he made the offer with no easy out.
JackWebb
JackWebb
4 years ago
Reply to  Nmcoyote1
Either totally impulsive or a troll move, maybe both.
Felix_Mish
Felix_Mish
4 years ago
Gosh, is Twitter a real buying opportunity right now for either or both of 1) Musk, 2) Twitter? 🙂 Can either buy Twitter stock right now?
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
4 years ago
He may have to forfeit is Twitter shares.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
What Twitter should do rightnow is cancel Musk’s account! [lol]
Zardoz
Zardoz
4 years ago
He got a lot of their hands to quit… maybe enough to fatally wound the company, so some good may yet come from this.
He should roll on over to truth social and get a face full of the freedom he craves.
JackWebb
JackWebb
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
I think TWTR should cut the ask to the 20s. If it happens and Musk goes through with the deal, he should move the HQ to Huntsville, Alabama, which is chock full of telecom engineers. The innards will run just fine, and probably better. The entitled white San Francisco playtime anarcho communist employee problem will go away when Musk tells them where they’ll have to move. LOL
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  JackWebb
Huntsville is a good place for a tech company. Fits in with SpaceX.
Zardoz
Zardoz
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78

Alabama isn’t going to attract anybody that can work anyplace else. No reason for the engineers to be any place in particular anyhow. The code lives in a repo at some unspecified place in the cloud.

Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
Huntsville has been one of the major centers for rocketry and anything to do with space since the 1950’s. It’s also one of the fastest growing tech hubs for R&D in engineering; biotech and defence R&D and manufacturing. If your life revolves around the coasts then you don’t see anything between. The companies in Huntsville have no problem finding quality engineers. Of course there is a self-selection like those who go to Texas. If you go to Cape Kennedy you will find a world that escapes many people in the Valley.
Zardoz
Zardoz
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Rocket engineers are a totally different thing than software engineers…. and Alabama isn’t the draw, it’s the rockets.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
They have both of course. The draw to Huntsville is the science and engineering that is there evidently. On the other hand you have very low crime, affordable housing, good weather generally, nice people and a stimulating work environment. However if you want the California lifestyle then it is not for you but many people no longer want to live in California so don’t knock choice.
radar
radar
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
You’re wrong there. I’ve worked in Huntsville the last 30 years and there are a ton of good software folks here. The Army has a big presence here as well as NASA. Many high fidelity Army simulations that have been and continue to be developed for Army weapons systems. Tons of radar/sensor engineers, which I am one.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
You won’t necessarily have to move to Alabama (or California) to work for Twitter.
Software work can increasingly be done remotely and its hard to know how many pure software engineers they even need these days (vs moderators and IT/cloud people etc).
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Huntsville. Fried catfish. Hushpuppies.
radar
radar
4 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
BBQ!
dtj
dtj
4 years ago
The Art of the Deal: 1) Offer to pay 38% over the current share price, 2) Make the offer at the peak of the market just before the crash, 3) Agree to a $1 billion termination fee, 4) waive due diligence.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
Does he in fact have the money? If I recall, he was asking his rich friends for help (cash) for the purchase.
While we all see his wealth at 100+ billion, a lot of it is likely in all kinds of limited corporations (beyond personal lawsuits) so that his actual personal wealth is likely to be WAY smaller than the purchase price.
I bet he gets to skip out with the 1 billion fee.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
When he launched the bid he said that it was being made with other investors to take the stake. He mentioned that when taken private he was expecting that the number of investors would reach 2000 which is the limit the SEC puts on private company shareholders. He owns outright $200 billion of Tesla stock plus 50% of SpaceX which his part is worth $50 billion. Last year he exercised Tesla stock options and got so much cash that he paid Uncle Sam $11 billion in taxes from the sale so he has lots of cash too. Yes he has the money. Doesn’t mean that he wants to use it all to buy Twitter.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Again though, is all that stock for those companies in his personal trading account? Any that is in an LLC that he owns is not available for the Twitter purchase since it’s not his personal cash.
Very rich people tend to layer all their assets in all kinds of of companies in order to protect them. Even my dad who was a small business owner back in the day had multiple numbered companies to layer his assets in so that they were protected.
The devil will be in the details (to be sorted out in court to be sure) but my guess is he won’t have the personal assets to purchase and thus will get to walk away with the 1 billion fine or will reach an agreement to buy for far less money.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
You may be right but since I am not his accountant I can only speculate.
JackWebb
JackWebb
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
The secret to becoming a billionaire and staying that way is to use other people’s money.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  JackWebb
It also helps to make something that people want to buy.
Zardoz
Zardoz
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
He had that, but has pissed off most of his potential customers with his edgy freedom boy shenanigans.
I think he just jumped the shark.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
Tesla, SpaceX and Starlink’s sales figures says you are wrong.
JackWebb
JackWebb
4 years ago
Very probably a waste of time to ask what Musk was thinking. The man is erratic to say the least, so the standard forms of reasoning (inductive, deductive) make speculation an exercise in throwing darts. I was an early electric car enthusiast. I was on the list for their first car, the converted Lotus that Tesla called its Roadster. Tesla delivered it late and jacked up the price by 25%+ over what was first promised, so I cancelled.

I have always laughed at the “progressives” who idolized Musk, Tesla, and EVs as an environmental savior. (My enthusiasm was pure car-nuttery and curiosity, and nothing else.) When he launched the bid for Twitter, I laughed just as hard at the wingnuts who idolized Musk as the savior of free speech.

I agree that he was an idiot to waive due diligence. Past that, I hand the analysis to the lawyers. I won’t believe anything from the media, which first loved him and now hates him. The “reporting” on Musk and Tesla has never been factual or objective, and my educated guess is that it never will be.

SAKMAN1
SAKMAN1
4 years ago
Musk doesnt think, he just acts, and builds a narrative around whatever he choses to do. . . Save the world from depopulation, bah. All of our “heroes” are like this. Those that deliver magnificent result are heralded like Alexander the Great. This is particularly true if they consolidate (Cyrus), ir die young. Those that don’t deliver or push for too long are made out to be the villians and fools of history.
All they do is take action with the tools at their disposal. They do not make the tools. They are all overconfident actors believing as Alexander did that he had the greatest army in the world. He did, because of his father. Then he simply used it aggressively. These people dont think. They act, and they are undeniably right (early Napoleon), or wrong (late) to the average person. The only thing we can no foe sure is that they will continue to aggessively take action, most of the times they simply cant stop themselves, and die cursing reality for stepping in. Musk got lucky, got some good tools and good friends, he will use them aggressively until he cant.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  SAKMAN1
This is why he has 10 kids.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
He adroitly avoided Amber Heard.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Quite possibly his best decision ever (over even the founding of Tesla).
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
Definitely.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
So he can field a baseball team.
Anyone know if he’s going for an American football team?
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
If Musk wanted to expose Twitter as the fraud it is then he did a very good job of it. By questioning the number of real accounts vs bot accounts and forcing Twitter provide data that ended up being incomplete Twitter now is open to lawsuits and to angry advertisers who for a moment now felt that Twitter has been ripping them off by massaging their readership figures. It also leads to problems with the SEC because if Twitter has been providing fake data to investors then Twitter moves in the category of Enron-like behavior and I can’t say where that will lead. Giving up due diligence does not mean anything goes. If fraud can be proved then Musk will not have to pay. I would not like to be in Twitter’s management shoes right now.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Yup. While everyone knows/knew that Elon flings superlatives about and in quantity, they kind of expected Twitter would be completely legitimate.
kiers
kiers
4 years ago
I don’t think Musk was sloppy. Anyone check the options activity on Twitter? Were there a lot of puts outstanding before his announcement? Prior to The announcement was the put call premium skew ratio very high? I read between the lines.
JackWebb
JackWebb
4 years ago
Reply to  kiers
I wonder whether or not Musk can legally trade TWTR options. It’s been 30+ years since I blew away that business school class in corporate law, and the law of insider trading.
tedr01
tedr01
4 years ago
Hey Mish. I have an off topic question for you. So mortgage rates declined a bit the past week. Do you think this is the start of rates going down or is it a blip along the way and mortgage rates will continue to increase. Curious about your opinion.
jhrodd
jhrodd
4 years ago
Reply to  tedr01
Mortgage rates were actually higher last week according to MND.
JackWebb
JackWebb
4 years ago
Reply to  jhrodd
One thing is baked in the cake: The media are lazy and almost purposely stupid.
Past that, the media’s writers, editors, and producers are 12:1 left-wing Democrat, and they’re alarmed by all the polls showing Biden and the Democrats falling out of bed. They’ll do everything they can to paint a picture that’s better than it is during a Democratic administration, and worse than it is during a Republican administration. This includes the financial channels, especially Bloomberg and CNBC, but even FoxB.
If the Fed actually follows through on QT, the result will be to put the bond market back in the driver’s seat. If that happens, 5.75%-6% mortgages will be a fond memory.
shamrock
shamrock
4 years ago
Reply to  tedr01
Rates dropped 40 basis points following a drop of 10 points the week before, that’s more than a “bit”. If mortgage rates return to the historical spread to the 10 year treasury we are looking at another 50 point drop.
JackWebb
JackWebb
4 years ago
Reply to  shamrock
The spread varies from 2%-3%, or that’s what I recall from when I did a very deep dive on Countrywide Credit in the early 1990s. Learned a whole lot about the mortgage finance business. It’s all about the 10-year Treasury, whose duration (average maturity of the coupons) is the same as the average holding period for a house.

It’s clear that QE was pretty much all about supporting residential real estate by interfering in long bond pricing. It was always ugly, but I could make a defensible argument that the first round of QE was a necessary evil to keep the whole thing from collapsing. But the second round of QE, plus the covid-driven fiscal skulduggery wound up turbocharging another bubble.

If the market were to set bond prices as it did prior to the Panic of 2008, I have a hard time thinking that the 10-year would be less than 6%, and mortgages in the 8%-10% range. But I am no bond expert at all, so watch me be wrong.

Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
4 years ago
Reply to  JackWebb
When you have been “healing” in a wheelchair for years and years, it’s very hard to just get up and walk about on your own two feet.
JackWebb
JackWebb
4 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
With apologies to great-great grandpa Karl, free money is the opiate of the masses. Becomes an addiction.
jhrodd
jhrodd
4 years ago
Reply to  tedr01
From Mortgage News Daily, July 8, 2022 :
“Without a shadow of a doubt, the average lender’s mortgage rates are noticeably higher this week versus last week, with Friday being the worst of the bunch. Despite that fact, there were multiple news stories this week regarding a massive DROP in rates. What’s up with that?”

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