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Existing Home Sales Decline for the Eleventh Straight Month

Existing home sales from the National Association of Realtors via St. Louis Fed

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reports Existing-Home Sales Receded 1.5% in December

Key Highlights

  • Existing-home sales faded for the eleventh straight month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.02 million. Sales waned 1.5% from November and 34.0% from one year ago.
  • The median existing-home price for all housing types in December was $366,900, an increase of 2.3% from December 2021 ($358,800), as prices rose in all regions. This marks 130 consecutive months of year-over-year increases, the longest-running streak on record.
  • Existing-home sales totaled 5.03 million in 2022, down 17.8% from 2021, as last year’s rapidly escalating interest rate environment weighed on the residential real estate market.
  • Total housing inventory registered at the end of December was 970,000 units, which was down 13.4% from November but up 10.2% from one year ago (880,000). Unsold inventory sits at a 2.9-month supply at the current sales pace, down from 3.3 months in November but up from 1.7 months in December 2021.
  • First-time buyers were responsible for 31% of sales in December, up from 28% in November and 30% in December 2021. NAR’s 2022 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers – released in November 20224 – found that the annual share of first-time buyers was 26%, the lowest since NAR began tracking the data.

Existing Home Sales Supply

Supply fell because sellers could not get the price they wanted and pulled houses from the market.

Existing-Home Sales Month-Over-Month

Track Record

  • It’s been a perfect record since January, the last time to buy before mortgage rates soared.
  • After mild declines in August and September transactions resumed their crash in October and November.
  • Sales are down 34 percent from a year ago and 38 percent since January. 

Housing Starts and Permits Down Again 

Yesterday, I noted Housing Starts and Permits Down Again in December Closing Out a Dismal Year

On January 18, I noted December Was Another Retail Sales Disaster, Even Worse With Negative Revisions

Also note Signs Say Industrial Production Has Peaked and so a Recession is Imminent

The economy is fine but housing, industrial production, and retail sales are struggling.

OK believe what you want.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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14 Comments
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Oldest Most Voted
Avery
Avery
3 years ago
Vaudeville made a comeback this week with a triple-feature:
Staged Greta arrest
Al Gore rant
Staged SBF house incident
vanderlyn
vanderlyn
3 years ago
Reply to  Avery
my smartest pal in summer of 2015 after we attended a live trump performance 2 weeks after he announced, remarked, “trump will win. he’s revived vaudeville. and amerikans too dumb to realize why it was so popular a century ago. it was fast, crude and rude, with nake girls and abusing fat folks. but fast fast fast. so you don’t get bored. boy was he correct. Trump revived vaudeville. pure genius, mein fuhrer is.
xbizo
xbizo
3 years ago
Forget where, but I saw that mortgage applications have jumped up significantly with rates around 6%. That big sucking sound for the pull-ahead of house buying at 3% rates maybe easing.
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
3 years ago
Reply to  xbizo
The latest week over week was up big, but compared to week of the 1st (January 2nd bank holiday).
Year over year down 35%.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
3 years ago
Mortgage lenders going bankrupt. Bank failures are next.
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
3 years ago
Banks are holding an increasing number of delinquent auto loans. Banks and investors are unwilling to trade auto loans. Liquidity has dried up, and vehicle depreciation is occurring faster than loan repayment. Banks are hoping enough loans are repaid to avoid severe losses.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
3 years ago
Have you got any specific references or just speculating?
FlyNavy1
FlyNavy1
3 years ago
Been investing in real estate for a while now. important to remember in looking at these data that all real estate markets, like politics, are local.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  FlyNavy1
It’s different there?
shamrock
shamrock
3 years ago
Final GDPNowcast for 4th quarter is 3.5%.
Hammer Otongo
Hammer Otongo
3 years ago
Reply to  shamrock
Yeah we aren’t in recession yet. There was a slow patch for 3 quarters starting in late ’21, but the last two quarters have been strong. Q1 should also be decent. Recession will begin in May
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
3 years ago
“The median existing-home price for all housing types in December was $366,900, an increase of 2.3% from December 2021 ($358,800), as prices rose in all regions.”
I read the report. Noticed something missing. Which, of course, told me the answer before digging up November report.
Median price month over month down. November $370,700.
Uh, must have slipped Yun’s mind …
Christoball
Christoball
3 years ago
Existing homes sales were contracting even before the measly 25 Basis Point increase at the March 15-16, 2022 Fed meeting.
vanderlyn
vanderlyn
3 years ago
Reply to  Christoball
that is a fact. i was selling all my properties starting 2nd half of 2021 and it got real slow in 2022 compared. sold the last one of many 2 families in july. in my market it plunged since then a good 15percent on price.

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