Existing Home Sales Dive Another 5.4 Percent in June, Down Fifth Month

Existing home sales courtesy of Trading Economics

Existing Home Sales Synopsis

  • Down Five Consecutive Months
  • Down 5.4 percent in June
  • Down 14.2 percent from a year ago
  • Down 21.1 percent since January 2022

Existing Home Sales Last 25 Years

Existing home sales courtesy of Trading Economics

Existing home sales are at level seen in 1999.

The National Association of Realtors® reports Existing-Home Sales Slid 5.4% in June

Report Highlights

  • Existing-home sales declined for the fifth straight month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.12 million. 
  • Sales were down 5.4% from May and 14.2% from one year ago.
  • The median existing-home sales price climbed 13.4% from one year ago to $416,000, a new record high.
  • Total housing inventory registered at the end of June was 1,260,000 units, an increase of 9.6% from May and a 2.4% rise from the previous year (1.23 million).
  • Unsold inventory sits at a 3.0-month supply at the current sales pace, up from 2.6 months in May and 2.5 months in June 2021.
  • The median existing-home price for all housing types in June was $416,000, up 13.4% from June 2021 ($366,900), as prices increased in all regions. 
  • Properties typically remained on the market for 14 days in June, down from 16 days in May and 17 days in June 2021. The 14 days on market are the fewest since NAR began tracking it in May 2011. Eighty-eight percent of homes sold in June 2022 were on the market for less than a month.
  • All-cash sales accounted for 25% of transactions in June, the same share as in May and up from 23% in June 2021.
  • Individual investors or second-home buyers, who make up many cash sales, purchased 16% of homes in June, unchanged from May and a slight increase from 14% in June 2021.

Housing Bust Just Starting 

A look at individual points above, especially median price, time on market, and inventory that’s just starting to rise all suggest this is the early innings of a housing bust.

Single-Family Housing Starts and Permits Dive Eight Percent in June

Also note Single-Family Housing Starts and Permits Dive Eight Percent in June

Single-family has weakened from 1,220,000 starts in November 2021 to 982,000 in July 2022. 

That’s a 19.5 percent decline.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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12 Comments
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Salmo Trutta
Salmo Trutta
3 years ago
“Blackstone Prepares A Record $50 Billion To Snap Up Real Estate During The Coming Crash”
vanderlyn
vanderlyn
3 years ago
great analysis. thanks. hat tip.
8dots
8dots
3 years ago
SPX might drop to Jan/Feb 2018 testing covid low, before rising to 4600/4700 area, a lower low, followed by a LT plunge well below 2016 low.
JackWebb
JackWebb
3 years ago
Reply to  8dots
Okay, I am far too wordy. I really am. You are way too far in the other direction. My lizard brain tells me that you know your sh*t, but man oh man I wish you’d explain more of your thinking.
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
3 years ago
The pre-COVID trend projects to the 5500 level, so existing home sales have already overshot the reversion to the mean. The present sales volume is still 66% above the lows of the 2008 house bust, which means the housing market has a way to go until it bottoms. There is no doubt the housing has topped and is now in a bear market. I would say 80-90% of the housing bear market remains given how much the financial media is in denial despite builders acknowledging a major slowdown, a general layoff cycle has begun, interest rates increased monthly payments by more than 20%, property taxes are going to be up by 20-30%, general price inflation, and many budgets are already stretched to their limits.
I would look to buy after volume falls below the 3000 level, and then the price has 6 consecutive months of year over year gains.
hmk
hmk
3 years ago
The one odd statistic is the 14 day sales period in June. The quickest ever? Maybe the sales decline is due to a shortage of existing homes being listed. All I know is around here, metro Detroit, prices are still stupid/ ridiculous.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
3 years ago
Reply to  hmk
And yet Detroit is one of the cheapest Metros to live in house price wise so imagine what it’s like everywhere else.
hmk
hmk
3 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
Detroit yes, you would have to pay me to live in that shole. The northern suburbs can be a bit pricey, not as bad as NYC or CA, but still overpriced by any historical metric.
MPO45
MPO45
3 years ago
“The median existing-home sales price climbed 13.4% from one year ago to $416,000, a new record high.”
Yes, I see that first hand, STILL trying to find rental properties to buy but prices keep going up making my returns unfavorable. The real question is if this is a ‘jobful’ recession doesn’t that mean people have money to spend? If so, then it’ll be a mild recession and mild housing correction but I hope not because I need to deploy capital on these crazy inflationary rates.
Canada reported inflation today: 8.1%
UK reported inflation today: 9.4%
Mexico inflation: 7.49%
Mexico and Canada are the US largest trading partners, if inflation out of control there it will be out of control here.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Unless inflation abates enough for the fed to start printing again, housing will keep getting worse.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
As as a prospective buyer, I say bring on the worse! No more competing with Joe Howmuchamonth’s pile of borrowed money.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Since you didn’t hear them remotely admitting that their financial shenanigans have caused the inflation, then yes: they are free do printing again as they please.

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