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Existing Home Sales Rise 0.8% in October But Fall 5.8% From Year Ago

Home Sales Inch Up

The National Association of Realtors reports Existing-Home Sales Inch Up 0.8% in October

Key Points 

  • Total existing-home sales, completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 0.8% from September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.34 million in October. 
  • Sales fell 5.8% from a year ago (6.73 million in October 2020).
  • Total housing inventory at the end of October amounted to 1.25 million units, down 0.8% from September and down 12.0% from one year ago (1.42 million).
  • Unsold inventory sits at a 2.4-month supply at the current sales pace, equal to September’s supply, and down from 2.5 months in October 2020.
  • The median existing-home price for all housing types in October was $353,900, up 13.1% from October 2020 ($313,000), as prices climbed in each region. 
  • This marks 116 straight months of year-over-year increases, the longest-running streak on record.

Regional Breakdown

  • Northeast: Existing-home sales in the Northeast fell 2.6% in October, registering an annual rate of 750,000, a 13.8% decline from October 2020. The median price in the Northeast was $379,100, up 6.4% from one year ago.
  • Midwest: Existing-home sales in the Midwest rose 4.2% to an annual rate of 1,500,000 in October, a 6.3% decrease from a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $259,800, a 7.8% jump from October 2020.
  • South: Existing-home sales in the South increased 0.4% in October, posting an annual rate of 2,780,000, a 3.5% drop from one year ago. The median price in the South was $315,500, a 16.1% climb from one year prior.
  • West: Existing-home sales in the West neither rose nor fell from the prior month’s level, registering an annual rate of 1,310,000 in October, down 5.1% from one year ago. The median price in the West was $507,200, up 7.7% from October 2020.

Existing Home Sales Since 1970

First Time Buyers, Investors, and All Cash Sales 

  • In October, first-time buyers were responsible for 29% of sales, up from 28% in September and down from 32% in October 2020. 
  • Individual investors or second-home buyers, who make up many cash sales, purchased 17% of homes in October, up from both 13% in September and from 14% in October 2020. 
  • All-cash sales accounted for 24% of transactions in October, up from both 23% in September and from 19% in October 2020.

Why Buying a Second or Even Third Home Is Becoming More Popular Than Ever

Bloomberg reports Why Buying a Second or Even Third Home Is Becoming More Popular Than Ever

One thing is pretty clear: Speculation and yield seeking are rampant as evidenced by second home buying. 

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12 Comments
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Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
OT…just a good article on Biden’s BBB plans to tax oil and gas.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
I continue to think midstream pipeline companies are undervalued in relation to other oil and gas stocks, and under BBB they stand to be a very good alternative for US  high earned income individuals….because of their tax structure.
Dean_70
Dean_70
4 years ago
Best housing channel I’ve found: https://www.youtube.com/c/ReventureConsulting
Data based analysis every few days.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
It’s all about perspective.
thimk
thimk
4 years ago
There is a lot of uncompleted new home inventory  hampered by supply chain issues that keep will keep exisiting home sales robust.  Look at used cars as a parallel  example.  In these times a bird in the hand is worth 2 in the bush . (that’s not my saying  ): )    
anoop
anoop
4 years ago
any rise is a good rise.
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
4 years ago
Calendar Effect.
Any month with 5 Fridays likely a good month.  Many folks like to close on a Friday.  Mortgage payments are pro rated from time of signing.  Why sign on a Wednesday when you could wait till a Friday (if you can’t move until a weekend)?  The savings could easily be in the $hundreds.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
There is seasonality too….and last year was anything but normal.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Flippers pay cash. Hedge funds pay cash. Cash flow investors….not so much.  One reason I’m not a buyer of another house….it’s too hard to flow cash at the current prices. Some markets in the midwest aren’t too overpriced, from what I hear…but I’m strictly local.
It’s worth keeping an eye on inventories…and they are low nationally, and especially low in the hotter markets. So there is some demand. Y.o.y numbers aren’t something I place much faith in right now. 
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
You are right about the Big Boyz … and it places their offer at the top of the heap.  BUT, many of those funds have raised funds via the debt market to allow those cash offers.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
Correct, of course.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
The big boys are still cash flow investors….but, the critical difference, is that they have a different pro forma….. Instead of 30 year money they might typically get 10 year money….for even lower rates than the distorted ordinary mortgage market…..so it makes for EARLY cash flow that front end loads the investment. Hard for us working-stiff-opportunists to compete with that.

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