I somehow feel obliged and honoured to place the 5th comment here; which is simply a question : INFLATION IS A GONNER ?
Captain Ahab
2 years ago
Skipping supply problems (not having a good, means no sale), is it possible that part of those ‘Real Final Sales’ represent pent-up demand from Covid, or are we already past that point? Expectations for inflation, which was heavily covered in the mass media, is likely another driver of current/recent sales. Am I wrong in thinking that an increase in ‘normal’ total demand (real sales) shouldn’t be more than population growth + any productivity gain/loss?
Meanwhile, inventory rebuilding is clearly continuing–and perhaps to excessive levels if the above factors are not being considered. Add in accelerator/multiplier effects, and the business cycle is up and running again.
and todays lesson: The history and politics of price controls and economic management in the United States link to phenomenalworld.org
QTPie
2 years ago
Between wild inflation effects, crazy seasonal adjustments to the December sales data and the beginning of Omicron effects it’s really hard to say where we stand with respect to measuring the true output of the economy at this point.
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Between wild inflation effects, crazy seasonal adjustments to the December sales data and the beginning of Omicron effects it’s really hard to say where we stand with respect to measuring the true output of the economy at this point.