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Guaranteed Income Idiocy Easily Scales to Infinity, Actual Free Money Doesn’t

Free Money Chicago Style

Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot reports 90,000 Chicagoans Apply for Chicago’s Guaranteed Basic Income Program in 24 Hours

More than 90,000 Chicagoans applied to be part of the city’s study that will test whether a universal basic income could reduce poverty in the city in the first 24 hours after applications opened, Mayor Lori Lightfoot said Wednesday.

The $31.5 million program has enough funding to send just 5,000 Chicago families $500 per month for 12 months, officials said. Applications opened Monday.

Lightfoot said that makes it clear that the demand for help in Chicago will far exceed the city’s capacity. “People in this city are hurting badly,” Lightfoot said. “This is an emergency.”

To be eligible for the cash assistance program, participants must live in Chicago, be older than 18, have experienced “hardship to due to COVID-19” and live in a household that earns no more than 250% of the federal poverty level, or $69,375 for a family of four, officials announced.

Rigged Test 

The test will see if free money makes people’s lives better.

Of course it will. 

Take 5,000 of the neediest people and give them $500 in free money every month for a year, and of course their lives will be better. 

Three Problems

  • The money isn’t free. It comes from taxpayers.
  • The programs do not scale and never will. 
  • Government Idiocy is infinite, taxpayer money isn’t. 

Chicagoans in Poverty 

The Census Department says 17.3% of Chicago lives in poverty. 

The Lightfoot proposal extends to 250% of the poverty level. I will take a stab that’s about half the city. 

Nonetheless, let’s go with 17.3%

Crunching the Numbers

The 2020 census estimate is 2,746,388 persons.  17.3% of that is 466,886 persons. Let’s assume the average household size is three. 

That would be about 155,629 households. 

155,629 * 12 months * $500 per Month = $933,774,000

Who is going to pay for that? 

Meanwhile, Lightfoot brilliantly allocated $31.5 million for her trial program. And that trial will no doubt be labeled a success because idiocy easily scales.

In reality, government Idiocy has no bounds, but allegedly “free” taxpayer money does.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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47 Comments
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Oldest Most Voted
Billy
Billy
4 years ago
I’m wondering what percentage of these 90,000 Chicagoans voted several times in the past elections.
Rene_FPV
Rene_FPV
4 years ago
In the article “Genuine Free Money, Fed Style goes Straight to the Banks” Mish calculates $54.6 billion of free money goes to the banks.
This makes it seem like sending less than 1 billion dollars to help out 155k households is cheap in comparison.
Philosophically I think the national budget and spiraling programs can be put into better control by a couple of changes. First have congress set a hard-stop dollar amount before any budget is proposed or considered. This would limit any budget creep during the process. Second define any spending programs as a percentage of the overall budget, not a dollar amount. Also where it makes sense define the beneficiaries as a percentage of the population. So in this example have a UBI limited to the lowest earning 1% of households.
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Wouldn’t it make more sense to determine why so many are living in poverty and try to address that?
Who am I kidding? It’s obvious why. It’s because of racism and not enough equity.
Lightfoot might be the worst mayor ever. De Blasio and her are neck and neck.
Billy
Billy
4 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Wow! I was wrong. I guessed the obvious reasons were social inclusion and climate change.
Call_Me
Call_Me
4 years ago
“More than 90,000 Chicagoans applied to be part of the city’s study that
will test whether a universal basic income could reduce poverty in the
city in the first 24 hours after applications opened…Lightfoot said that makes it clear that the demand for help in Chicago will far exceed the city’s capacity.”
The mayor just needs to increase property taxes a little bit and there should be enough to go around! Hooray!
Call_Me_Al
Kick'n
Kick'n
4 years ago
HOUSING! It’s all about housing. It’s by far the biggest expense. Fix that and then maybe you’ll have a shot at improving the rest… I’m surprised companies haven’t tried to bring back the company town yet.
shamrock
shamrock
4 years ago
If you add up all 300 federal programs that give stuff away, tax credits that give money away, and state benefits it probably is $1T/year. That’s enough to give 100 million households 10k/year. And that’s not counting medicaid and obamacare. The money is there you just have to replace all that other stuff with one monthly unencumbered check.
TechLover1
TechLover1
4 years ago
Reply to  shamrock
I actually believe that people will get more money if all the benefit programs were scrapped and a single check was issued to each household. However, what will happen in reality is that there will be immediate demand to reinstate some (then essentially all) of the benefits because in some cases the basic income check will be less than what the recipient was getting before and there will be so many stories in the media about poor children (mostly single mothers with several small children) that there will be the basic income plus reinstatement of the credits and subsidies.
BTW, what are your thoughts on doing the same on corporate side? Take away all the credits and just reduce the tax rate so that corporate tax collection dollars remain constant?
Felix_Mish
Felix_Mish
4 years ago
Isn’t the Earned Income Tax Credit (and other such programs) a form of UBI?
UBI doesn’t address the central issue of welfare programs: Helping those who cannot help themselves. Or, put another way, if you can manage your UBI, why can’t you manage to do something for others that they will find it worthwhile to pay you directly?
TechLover1
TechLover1
4 years ago
Reply to  Felix_Mish
I agree that this is a fundamental problem/issue. There are (and will always be) people who can’t manage their life and finances and will make poor decisions and get to a place in life where they will need to be taken care of by society. I can’t see any scenario where this will change. The question is, how do we manage this situation?
In the past, it was family and kin that took care of such people, in addition to religious charities. When the family is responsible, the number of such people is at a minimum because they are the ones who make amends and course correct these people (to the extent possible) as they have a stake in the outcome. With family having no responsibility, the number of such people who need care and management of their life just explodes (as we are seeing now).
I don’t have a good solution as to how to manage this situation in the postmodern world but the current situation is not tenable and it is trending in the wrong direction.
Felix_Mish
Felix_Mish
4 years ago
Reply to  TechLover1
Yep. For a loooong time I’ve thought the most dangerous long-term issue for the US Government is Governmental enforced charity. I believe we humans are built to care for other humans in need. But when that instinctive behavior is out-sourced, depersonalized, and even corrupted, I worry that the instinct will atrophy, at best. And the people living in that world will be damaged. In the end, they simply won’t care about others.
Consider a danger the Soviet Union had. That is, what happens when you have 2, 3, or 4 generations of people who have had to say to themselves and others that honest trading and what we call private property are evil? That sort of enforced insanity irreparably damaged a whole lot of people.
End of rant. 🙂
Anyway, I’m probably projecting and certainly don’t know a good alternative. But, it’s sure not a UBI “the world owes you a living wage”.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
UBI will become the norm at some point. We’ve already entered the age of machinery replacing humans. Governments will have to come up with a better economic system sooner than later. UBI is just a band aid.
Felix_Mish
Felix_Mish
4 years ago
Norm? Could be. But, machinery replaced humans in the US 100+ years ago. Sell UBI to American great, great, great grandparents.
Machinery replacing humans: Bulk of the world just this last generation. But I don’t see China rushing to implement a UBI. Nor Latin America. Nor Eastern Europe. Middle east? Maybe. India? Nope.
That said, the long term problem with charity done through taxes is “I gave at the office.” Takes charity off the table. If you’re rich and don’t want to spend energy being charitable, not to worry. You chipped in through taxes so the issue is off your desk. Whew. UBI makes this very explicit and simple. I worry that our instinct (yes, biological instinct) to be charitable will atrophy or turn rancid being tied to taxes.
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
In the 1800s half the jobs were in agriculture. Now only 2% of the population works in agriculture. What happened to all the secretaries? A lot of stuff that’s manufactured are done in such small numbers, it doesn’t make economic sense to automate it.
Naphtali
Naphtali
4 years ago
Forty acres and a mule.
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
Wanna know something, dear lovely americans here on the blog ? At this very moment, I am moved to tears , merely thinking about what a great exceptional nation you are, I mean… giving a ubi to your people in Chicagee, and then, on top of that, a impressive 40 billion $ for Ukraine…. actually to PROTECT us , idiotic Europe, from russian agression , how mindbogglingly generous of you, no kidding, I AM crying, flabbergastedly so ….gonna get them off tonight again, thinking about you…. if gowd exists , I am sure he was born in the USA……thank you from the bottom of my vesicle…..
Kick'n
Kick'n
4 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels
Just saw a figure for Russia’s annual defense budget, $66B! Let’s just pay the bully’s to get out of Ukraine! They’re reasonable mob men, right?
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  Kick’n
That would never happen. Not because it wouldn’t work. Rather, because it probably would. Our elected officials like wars.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
4 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Wars put civilians to work at well paying jobs. And the civilians vote.
ZZR600
ZZR600
4 years ago
Covid furlough schemes were a form of UBI- they did not work out well!
Mish
Mish
4 years ago
Total lunar eclipse, Today between 9:29-10:53 p.m. MDT with a peak totality at 10:11 p.m.
It should look red then

Watch the progression starting at 9:29 PM MDT

Find a place with no obstructions to the SE

FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
….and I think to myself…..what a wonderful wooooorld….
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Eventually UBI is going to have to be a reality as more jobs are lost to automation/robots.
PapaDave
PapaDave
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
I will disagree with your assumption. People have been predicting that all manner of machinery, innovation, automation, computerization, robotics etc would replace all jobs given enough time. Well, its been going on for a thousand years now and we have more jobs world wide every single year. I see no reason to expect job creation to slow down. In the US there are 1.9 Unfilled jobs for each unemployed worker. The problem right now is that we have too many jobs that we can’t even fill.
Irondoor
Irondoor
4 years ago
Printing and directly distributing dollars via keystroke to citizens bank accounts has no cost. Except for inflation, which has already been evident. One way to cure all these problems is to have the National Mint produce enough $1 Trillion platinum coins to retire all the government debt. Basically a do-over.
TheWindowCleaner
TheWindowCleaner
4 years ago
Reply to  Irondoor
You forgot that the 50% discount at retail actually integrates beneficial price and asset DEFLATION into profit making economic systems. That is a paradigm change in a single policy.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
Reply to  Irondoor
How much platinum would that require ?
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
Russia s got plenty ….Might be yourn soon ….with some luck….
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  Irondoor
You have to buy the debt from the holders. So how is the $1 Trillion dollar coin going to be split up among all the holders?
The only way the debt can be retired is for the FED to buy it and then just erase it from their books.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
4 years ago
5,000 should just about cover all the community organizers and minority-owned 501(C)(3) helpful organizations.
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
White people need not apply.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
You forgot to add that to get into the program you have to have a close relative who is an employee of the city. This is Chicago after all.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
As the mayor said: “Get out and vote! And vote often!”
Freebees2me
Freebees2me
4 years ago
Can use the $500 for gas so I can drive around shoplifting?
TheWindowCleaner
TheWindowCleaner
4 years ago
“Who is going to pay for that?”
The monetary authority, that is the FED or another authority created to distribute the money as a gift, NOT AS DEBT. That’s who…if we recognize the MONOPOLY paradigm we’ve foolishly granted to the private banks to create our money. And no there won’t be inflation if we simultaneously implement a 50% discount/rebate policy at retail sale that would make a $1000/mo. universal dividend purchase $2000/mo. of goods and services. Also, as $2000/mo. is more than most unemployed people get from welfare switching to this system would enable us to eliminate the payroll taxes every working person and enterprise pays for welfare and unemployment insurance. Tax breaks and doubling of demand with price and asset DEFLATION. It’s a win-win for every economic agent…if you’re not an old orthodox fogie that can’t think a new thought.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
4 years ago
If we could just break a lot more windows we would have lots of work and everyone would become rich.
TheWindowCleaner
TheWindowCleaner
4 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
Uh, again you should work on your cynicism…for your own good.
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
Love ye, Lisa…
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
Is shoplifting still forbidden then in Chicagee ? How that even possible?!
SleemoG
SleemoG
4 years ago
The Full Employment for Drug Dealers Act of 2022.
Bam_Man
Bam_Man
4 years ago
In Soviet times, the old joke was “We pretend to work and they pretend to pay us”.
The resulting effect on the general work ethic was a major contributor to the eventual socio-economic collapse of the USSR.
In Chicago, you don’t even have to pretend to work.
TheWindowCleaner
TheWindowCleaner
4 years ago
Reply to  Bam_Man
A 50% discount/rebate policy at retaill sale immediately gives a person making $10/hr $20/hr of purchasing power. I can’t think of a greater incentive to work than getting a 100% raise your first day on the job.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
4 years ago
So every retail purchase will be verified with your wages. I can see the problem clearly…
TheWindowCleaner
TheWindowCleaner
4 years ago
No it’s verified by your bank account just like it does presently. That’s where the $1000/mo. dividend goes that with the 50% discount/rebate policy at retail sale doubles it to $2000/mo. of purchasing power.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
4 years ago
Even better is retailers just giving walk-ins whatever they want for free.
Much better than your puny little 100% pay raise.
Folks will have a lot of free cash for the black markets.
TheWindowCleaner
TheWindowCleaner
4 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
Uh, you know cynicism never solved any problem. It may be a good purgative, but its a very poor lifestyle.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
4 years ago
Keeps me out of trouble and quite often prevents the kind of stupid mistakes our political brethren insist on repeating over and over and over again.

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