SEIU Announcement
Please note State Employees’ Association, SEIU Local 1984 Not to Endorse Biden at This Time
After careful consideration and in stark contrast to the State Employees’ Association affiliate, Service Employees International Union (SEIU), we want to make it clear that we are not endorsing Joe Biden for re-election in the upcoming presidential race at this time. Following a robust analysis of the current political landscape, we have come to the conclusion that our members and New Hampshire voters deserve a competitive Democratic Primary.
While we respect President Biden’s decades of experience in public service and his commitment to public policy, we believe that his record and actions during his first term as president do not merit an automatic re-endorsement. We eagerly await his return to the Granite State to continue the conversation about his labor priorities, and our door is always open to President Biden.
That looks like a cop-out. There has not been a president this labor friendly for decades.
Biden’s policies are far Left of Obama.
Has Biden Already Lost Iowa and New Hampshire?
The Wall Street Journal asks Has Biden Already Lost Iowa and New Hampshire?
The Democratic establishment figured it could get away with demoting Iowa and New Hampshire from their traditional spots at the start of the presidential nominating contests calendar. The theory was that by promising sanctions against any candidates unwilling to accept a new Biden-friendly calendar, Democrats could ensure the elevation of states like South Carolina, home of key Biden ally Rep. James Clyburn. But what if Mr. Biden’s rivals don’t care about the Democratic establishment and aren’t afraid of punishments from party bosses?
Alex Seitz-Wald reports today for NBC News that the president is “already on track to sacrifice New Hampshire’s famed primary to a fringe rival like Marianne Williamson or Robert Kennedy Jr.” and adds.
What makes all of this especially awkward for the White House is that, roughly eight months before primary voters start going to the polls, the “fringe rivals” are already getting some traction.
It’s Joe Biden’s weakness that is inviting Democratic voters to consider such alternatives and this weakness is likely to invite other candidates to enter the race. What’s also unsettling for the White House is that if Mr. Biden is unable to execute on his strategy of ducking debates and somehow ends up on a stage with the fringe rivals, he could easily come off as the strangest of the three.
Biden Can’t Recall Recent Ireland Visit
The New York Post reports Biden can’t recall recent Ireland visit, seems to forget Hunter’s love child during Q&A with kids
“The last country I’ve traveled, I’m trying to think of the last one I was in,” Biden mused to the children of administration staffers and members of the media.
“I’ve been to, met with 89 heads of state so far. So, uh, trying to think where was the last place I was; it’s hard to keep track.”
“Ireland,” a child shouted out, jogging the president’s memory.
“Yeah, you’re right, Ireland. That’s where it was,” he said good-naturedly. “How’d you know that?”
Trump Rematch May Be Biden’s Best Bet, Polls Show
Bloomberg reports Trump Rematch May Be Biden’s Best Bet, Polls Show
Biden, 80, trailed Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, 44, in nine of the dozen most recent polls with hypothetical match-ups in the RealClearPolitics average of surveys. A Wall Street Journal poll conducted April 11-17 showed DeSantis beating Biden 48% to 45% — but it also showed Biden defeating Trump, 76, by the same margin.
Democrats say Trump’s ongoing legal challenges, his chaotic leadership style and his unpopularity with independent voters, suburban women and even many Republicans will give them the boost they need in November 2024. It’s a match-up they’d prefer compared to DeSantis.
Voters Do Not Want Either Candidate
Polls show a majority of Americans don’t want to see a 2020 rematch. An NBC poll released on Sunday showed voters said by a 70% to 26% margin that they didn’t want Biden to seek reelection — with almost half who don’t want him to run citing his age as a major reason — while 60% said Trump shouldn’t run compared with 35% who said he should.
Two years into office, Biden lacks widespread appeal among men and independent voters, according to recent data from pollster, Bill McInturff, whose work shows a generic GOP candidate beating Biden 47% to 41%.
While Trump remains popular with Republicans, he repels suburban and swing voters — especially independent women — on key issues. The Biden team believes that will happen again and help them hold onto key voting blocs they need including Black voters and women.
Biden Beats Trump Big, Loses to DeSantis
The New York Post reports Biden Beats Trump Big, Loses to DeSantis
According to WPA intelligence, which examined seven national popular vote polls since mid-February, the 76-year-old Trump would lose to Biden by an average of 3.1%, while DeSantis, 44, would win the popular vote over the incumbent by an average of 1.2%
The survey also showed DeSantis leading Biden in five of six likely 2024 battleground states — Arizona (48%-42%), Michigan (45%-43%), Nevada (44%-41%), North Carolina (44%-41%) and Pennsylvania (45%-42%).
“Based on current polling, if the election were held today and Trump was the Republican nominee, Trump would lose to Joe Biden, 319 Electoral College votes to 219 Electoral College votes,” WPAi founder and CEO Chris Wilson wrote in a memo accompanying the survey.
In the most recent poll surveyed by WPAi, Trump-aligned pollster Fabrizio Lee revealed DeSantis up three percentage points and Trump down three percentage points in head-to-head popular vote matchups against Biden.
“Not only would a Trump nomination hand Biden the White House (again), it would also have catastrophic down ballot effects on GOP candidates at all levels,” the polling firm concluded, highlighting previous down-ballot losses for Republicans where Trump played a pivotal role in the races.
I Don’t Know (No One Else Does Either)
Q: Might Trump beat Biden?
A: Yes.
Sure why not? But one reason he might not is that Biden might not last the next two years. Who would the Democrat nominee even be?
That said, it’s very clear DeSantis is a stronger candidate against Biden. But the revenge motive is strong.
Understanding the Fears
It is much too early to think anything is settled.
It’s possible, for many reasons, that neither Biden nor Trump is the nominee.
But ponder this: Only 26% want Biden to seek reelection and only 35% want Trump to run.
The logical conclusion is Democrats fear Trump might win while Republicans fear Biden might win vs Trump.
Both fears are very reasonable. Nonetheless, here we are, possibly with a choice the vast majority of the nation doesn’t want.
This post originated at MishTalk.Com.
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