Swiss Central Bank Hikes Interest Rate to Negative 0.25 Percent to Contain Inflation

Swiss National Bank interest rate courtesy of Trading Economics

Reuters Poll

On June 14, Reuters reported the Swiss National Bank to leave rates steady in June, raise 25 bps in Sept: Reuters Poll 

Surprise Hike to Negative 0.25 Percent 

In a Surprise Move on June 16, SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan said rising Swiss inflation – which hit its highest level in nearly 14 years in May – meant the central bank may have to act again.

“Without today’s SNB policy rate increase, the inflation forecast would be significantly higher,” Jordan told a news conference.

“We are not in the business of very precise forward guidance, but … at the end of our forecast horizon inflation will again go over 2% so we have to see what measures are necessary,” Jordan said.

No Leaks!

Unlike the US where the WSJ reported a leak in a blackout period just two days before the Wednesday announcement, the Swiss National Bank does not engage in forward guidance or last second leaks to existing guidance. 

Fed “Wordsmithing” and a 0.75 Percentage Point Hike, Largest Increase Since 1994

In the US, please consider Fed “Wordsmithing” and a 0.75 Percentage Point Hike, Largest Increase Since 1994.

Also consider Recession Watch Update, Where Do Things Stand After the Huge Fed Hike?

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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david halte
david halte
1 year ago
According to SNB, negative rates requires the purchase of U.S. publicly traded stocks to manage the foreign exchange market. CNBC noted the SNB owns $177B in U.S. stocks. Top holdings include: Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, NVIDIA. Up 88 percent from $94B in 2020. The only firms with larger investments in those stocks are big asset managers like Blackrock and Vanguard. The SNB may have indicated they could be selling U.S. stocks to keep the Swiss Franc stronger as it raises rates. There is speculation this was the cause of weakness in FAANG names last week.
Taunton
Taunton
1 year ago
This headline is hilarious at face value
Jojo
Jojo
1 year ago
Why isn’t anyone talking about the benefits of interest rate increases to savers, who will finally start enjoying higher interest earnings on their money?
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  Jojo
Shame on you.
Think of the adverse effects on stock brokers, bond salesmen, portfolio managers, and hucksters of every sort, et. al.
KidHorn
KidHorn
1 year ago
Reply to  Jojo
I have yet to see interest rates going up on deposit accounts.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Reply to  KidHorn
One of my Morgan Stanley ultra-ultra-safe accounts went from 0.01% to 0.03%.
I guess if you have a few hundred million it makes a difference, but not to me.
killben
killben
1 year ago
“Unlike the US where the WSJ reported a leak in a blackout period just two days before the Wednesday announcement”
I think that is intentional as an unexpected rate hike by the Fed has ramifications across the world while a rate hike by a pygmy central bank like SNB will just draw a yawn.
RonJ
RonJ
1 year ago
“Surprise Hike to Negative 0.25 Percent”
A heavy dose of- whatever it takes.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
Inflation and interest rates are a chicken-egg thing, IMHO.
The headline: “Swiss Central Bank Hikes Interest Rate to Negative 0.25 Percent to Contain Inflation”
should read: “Grossly incompetent Swiss Central Bank Hikes Interest Rate to address raging inflation, and contain rapid decreases in bond value as Swiss economy sinks into recession caused by years of negative interest rates.”
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
1 year ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Another headline might read, “Swiss Central Bank decides to confiscate less of depositors funds”
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
1 year ago
Well well well, the worm in the process of turning.
For years the Swiss worried about the strength of franc. Routinely sold franc … and bought (in part) equities.
Now facing possibility of having to sell stocks to bolster franc. Current holdings:
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
The worm is the Dune sandworm: link to youtube.com
Scooot
Scooot
1 year ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
Yeah but didn’t they print the Franc to do it, in which case they have plenty of ammo?
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
1 year ago
Reply to  Scooot
Yes. When concern was WEAKENING the franc, they print out of thin air to their hearts content (expand balance sheet).
But, when concern is STRENGTHENING the franc, need to put it in reverse (shrink the balance sheet … ie: sell stocks to repatriate francs)
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
1 year ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
Ironic. Switzerland is the money laundering center of the world. Maybe they will wise up again.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
1 year ago
Perhaps the laundry business is slowing so they’re running a sale.
Bam_Man
Bam_Man
1 year ago
Yup, that tiny increase to NEGATIVE 0.25% is a bold move and sure to stop inflation in its tracks.
Anyone who cannot see that these KlownWorld Central Banks are completely trapped and now have ZERO ability to credibly fight inflation is willfully blind.
Everyone in the West should be preparing to live indefinitely in an “Argentina-like” socio-economic environment (or worse) for the forseeable future.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
1 year ago
Reply to  Bam_Man
Because nobody could possibly see it coming. /sarc
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
Reply to  Bam_Man
If correct, Mish’s call to hold gold is brilliant.
Bam_Man
Bam_Man
1 year ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
The “can” can no longer be kicked.
Euro sovereign debt/currency crisis will be the next BIG shoe to drop – unless the Yen goes “super nova” first.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
Reply to  Bam_Man
Yen is already failing. It can only get worse. Next is Euro, (to be blamed on Russia), or maybe the pound. If it wasn’t so predictable, I’d be laughing. It is rumored the Fed is now ‘negative equity’–we would normally call that bankrupt.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
1 year ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
As I said, ‘rumored’. As of yesterday, the consolidated balance sheets of the Fed Reserve show:

Total liabilities of $8,890,747 million, and paid-in and surplus capital of $41,672 million. Note, however, that some securities are carried at FACE value and some are at CASH value.

Jackula
Jackula
1 year ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Yup, I suspect faith in central banks is gonna evaporate, very bullish for gold. Mish’s mantra.
JackWebb
JackWebb
1 year ago
Is this a harbinger of the European Central Bank raising rates? Today’s move in the euro v dollar seems to imply that, but my view is very superficial.
CzarChasm Reigns
CzarChasm Reigns
1 year ago
To quote The Fixx from the year 1983: “Maybe someday, saved by zero.”
Wow, 39 years. So I guess that makes “Saved By Zero” a classic song, now.
Zardoz
Zardoz
1 year ago
Nope… it’s old timey music now.
TechLover1
TechLover1
1 year ago
The Swiss rate is still negative so highly stimulative.
Most central banks are between a rock and a hard place.

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