Kalshi is at 55 percent for Talarico, the first cross of that level. 
Kalshi Competitive Senate Races
What Senate Control Comes Down To
Assuming North Carolina and Maine are in the bag, Democrats need to pick win three of five of Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas to take the Senate.
That is quite doable and has been my bet much of the year.
There is a reasonable shot they win all five. Right now, Kalshi has Democrats winning four of four tossups defined as 46 to 54 percent.
I think Iowa is closer to tossup than 59 percent Republican.
Since Michigan is already in the Democrat column, a clean sweep would be a net pickup of 6.
There is a small outside chance in a total shellacking for Democrats to pick up Nebraska.
Winning!!!
Text messages from a sailor aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln reveal no milk in three months and ROTTEN food arriving at sea…
He reportedly wrote that almost nothing fresh makes it out except meat, because only frozen goods survive the supply run, and called it the worst deployment he has been on, with sailors who have far more behind them agreeing it could still get worse.
Add that to the list of grievances, and they become almost too numerous to enumerate…
No hot water for long stretches, laundry down for weeks, hour-long lines at the ship’s store, one sailor eating half a cup of rice and two tortillas.
Multiple sailors have reportedly attempted to jump overboard, and one wife said her husband sits on medical hold now, terrified a 13-year career ends in a dishonorable discharge because he burned out.
The costs that don’t make the gas sign are the ones Americans are actually paying: a thousand dollars a year gone from the average household, eighteen service members killed, and interceptor stockpiles run down to nothing.
All of it rides on the bet that Iran breaks first, which raises a question nobody in Washington wants to answer about who breaks first back home.
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2087717978473112031
Yeah, you may want to take a look at Francesca Hong’s (Wisconsin) “betting odds” and how that worked out
The president of the senate presiding over a democratic senate. Now that would send a message.
and you were worried about oil? pulling on a different set of strings now…
Crude oil inventories in the United States saw a massive increase of 17.4 million barrels during the week ending August 7, according to new data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released on Wednesday. The increase brings commercial stockpiles to 424.4 million barrels, according to government data, which are now just 2% below the five-year average for this time of year.
The EIA’s data release follows API’s figures that were released a day earlier, which reported that crude oil inventories had risen by a hefty 9.072 million barrels in the period.
Crude futures sagged in early morning trade after two days of steady gains. At 9:51 a.m. in New York, Brent futures were trading at $88.52 per barrel—down $0.39 (-0.44%) on the day but up roughly $9 per barrel from this same time last week. WTI was also trading slightly down on the day, by $0.44 per barrel (-0.53%) on Wednesday morning at $82.76, up $7.50 per barrel since this time last week.
In this particular race, this would be a true blessing as paxton is as bad as taco; close to a clone when it comes to morals, ethics and character. However, in the current state of the world, with the lack of these once important traits, I will have to see it to believe it.
Most rural Texans are Christian fascist pedophiles. Paxton is one of their own – they love the guy!
Paxton all the way baby!
senate my go to a Democratic majority But will that substantially help getting us out of this quicksand we are in?
No, the only thing that will get you out is a good exit strategy.
Nope
what was hongs winning percentage prior to her loss?
do not know – It would be fitting if Democrats took the senate but lost michigan
Exactly…Hong was a sure thing, until she wasn’t
Mish, if the Dems manage to take over both the Senate and the House, do you expected impeachment and conviction for Trump?
Let us hope so.
I’ll be happy with complete gridlock and an end to the asinine and evil war. Impeachment would be the cherry on top. Although JD is nothing but a name-shifting Peter Thiel plant, so that’s not going to be good either
Vance will do as his Deep State and Zionist demand. Thiel is a douchbag like Musk.
The house will impeach regardless of the senate. Senate getting 67 votes? Hmm… that’s a stretch. Especially for those whom Taco endorsed. You stand a better chance of removing a cabinet member.