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Trump Proclaims He Is Guardian of the World, Backs Off Escalation

Advisers worry the US is running out of missiles.

TACO Tuesday Arrive on Sunday

The New York Times reports Trump Holds Off on Major Escalation Against Iran as Advisers Raise Concerns

President Trump has set aside, at least for now, plans to sharply escalate the American military assault against Iran, with particular concern that intensifying the war could dangerously drain the Pentagon’s already diminished stockpile of Patriot antimissile interceptors and other air defense munitions in the Middle East.

The threat to interceptor stockpiles is one of many considerations that have made a return to major combat operations a hugely risky endeavor, administration officials say. Mr. Trump and his top aides are also uneasy about the prospect of a widening war in the Middle East, the alienation of key Gulf allies who are vulnerable to Iranian attack, a global economic crunch, and growing energy and refugee crises.

The latest turn in Mr. Trump’s handling of the conflict with Iran came after a meeting on Friday with top advisers and senior members of his cabinet, according to two people briefed on the discussion.

The private deliberations have focused on the Pentagon’s shrinking inventory of Patriot interceptors and other air defenses, the officials said, discussing operational matters on the condition of anonymity.

Gen. Dan Caine, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has cautioned privately that resuming major combat operations against Iran was doable but that it would dangerously deplete interceptors available to the military’s Central Command, which is responsible for operations in the Middle East, the officials said. A spokesman for General Caine declined to comment on advice the general gives the president.

Mr. Trump has been wrestling with how to proceed in his nearly five-month war against Iran and specifically with how to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, as gas prices climb again amid the resumption of hostilities over the past two weeks. Diplomacy has broken down, and the latest round of extensive U.S. attacks do not seem to have deterred Iran militarily.

Few if any in Mr. Trump’s inner circle believed the plan to escalate was wise, said the two people briefed. One senior U.S. official, who also spoke on the condition of anonymity, expressed doubts that resuming major combat operations would drive Iran back to the bargaining table.

The official said the strikes have the opposite effect of what is intended, keeping Iran cohesive and allowing Iranian leaders to focus attention on an external threat.

Going into Friday’s meeting, Mr. Trump had indicated that the military was ready to carry out heavier assaults if ordered to do so even while leaving open the door to a diplomatic solution.

“Look, we’re locked and loaded,” Mr. Trump told reporters on Friday afternoon. “We’re ready to go, but we’re talking to them, so maybe there will be, maybe there won’t be a tipping point.”

Mr. Trump previewed some of his discussions in an interview with Axios on Thursday, saying: “I am considering a massive attack. Bigger than ever before. I am close to making a decision. We are all set for it.”

But by late Friday, Mr. Trump appeared to temporarily put aside the bigger bombing plans, apparently persuaded, at least in part, by his military advisers’ assessment of dwindling supplies of munitions to defend American troops in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates, whose bases there have come under heavy Iranian fire in the past two weeks. A major attack would most likely have drawn a heavier Iranian retaliation, putting more pressure on U.S. air defenses.

Running Low on Missiles

Good News, We Are Out of Bombs

A Pause?

Then Again

Ukraine to Save the War?

How About the UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain?

Reflections on the Setup

The Limit of Effectiveness

Gee. If we have reached the limits of effectiveness, what does that say about our plan?

The War Must Go On

All it takes is one party to decide the war must go on.

But that’s OK.

Q: Why?
A: Trump is guardian of the world, silly.

Hello MAGA, how many of you voted for Trump to be guardian of the world?

By any chance did you also cheer when he promised no more wars?

Related Posts

July 25, 2026: Ukraine Fires on Iranian Ships. Russia and Ukraine Dragged Into the Iran War?

The odds of a major war-related policy error just surged.

July 25, 2026: Rubio’s New Biblical Theory Justifies a “Head for an Eye” Iran War Escalation

Recall that Trump’s only limit on his actions is his own morality

I am sure glad we are constrained by Trump’s morality, or who knows where we might be.

And we now have a guardian.

Addendum on Stockpiles and Leaks

Biden depleted our stockpiles.

It’s a lie that our stockpiles are depleted.

The people leaking this should be in jail.

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132 Comments
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Eric
Eric
19 days ago

Next step, back off the 20% fees/Arab investments … etc and pay fees to IRAN …

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/gulf-states-back-plan-let-iran-collect-voluntary-fees-use-hormuz-2026-07-28/

Last edited 19 days ago by Eric
Webej
Webej
19 days ago

Diplomacy has broken down

bargaining table

LOL
There is no diplomacy or any bargaining table, nor any negotiation.
US keeps killing the negotiators and proving they are unable to utter any meaningful statement.

The US is suffering more damage than it can inflict.
It has fewer and fewer bases, planes, and ordinance, and is basically without any shield to Iranian weapons.

In other words, the US lost the war.
Any reprisals will only result in more losing and losing more.

JCH1952
JCH1952
19 days ago

The credit goes to China. They could crash the global economy at a whim. They don’t want to.They’re the actual stable geniuses.

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
19 days ago
Reply to  JCH1952

It’s good to know that there are adults somewhere in the world.

Webej
Webej
19 days ago

This administration depleted our missile defenses

Worse. US has proved it has no effective shield against ballistic missiles.
The intercept record of the Patriots and David’s Boomerang and all are wretched.

radar
radar
19 days ago
Reply to  Webej

Source?

pokercat
pokercat
19 days ago
Reply to  Webej

A quick google search reveals the actual test and live fire results are classified and not publicly available. However, from the information that is available indicates that results across all platforms and against miscellaneous targets, 80% engagement seems to be the norm. If someone is shooting 100 missals at you I’m confidante that you’d like less than 20 to hit their target.

peelo
peelo
19 days ago

This Triump is funny! He needs to be in show biz.

Last edited 19 days ago by peelo
Dave Smith
Dave Smith
19 days ago

Guardian of the world? That is rich. He has slapped tariffs on smoke from Canada for supposedly not managing their forest properly while our national forests are burning and sending smoke across our country and Canada. He cannot manage our lands but has visions of being guardian of the world is a delirious fantasy.

CJW
CJW
20 days ago

Some guardian. Maybe start with making children feel safe at school again? (Both in the US and in Iran).

Frosty
Frosty
20 days ago

How many head fakes will the oil markets fall for?

PapaDave
PapaDave
20 days ago
Reply to  Frosty

There’s no limit. Better to embrace the volatility and take advantage of the opportunities provided.

Sentient
Sentient
20 days ago
Reply to  Frosty

They don’t have to believe it (although they probably do). They only have to think other traders will believe it.

Webej
Webej
19 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

Other AI algorithms scanning the headlines

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
19 days ago
Reply to  Frosty

More and more

radar
radar
19 days ago
Reply to  Frosty

Currently futures are down 6.25% yet CVX and XOM are only down about 1.25% if that says anything.

JCH1952
JCH1952
19 days ago
Reply to  Frosty

All of them. There are literally thousands of Wall Street insiders who would race to the White House to change his soiled diaper and pump his softie. The Deep State is on Wall Street.

Joe Penny
Joe Penny
20 days ago

TACO served after Shabaat and before the markets opened…as predicted by yours truly.

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
19 days ago
Reply to  Joe Penny

Congrats on your financial winnings!

KCBBQ
KCBBQ
20 days ago

So WTI is down 7 1/2% Sunday/overnight and not a peep from Mish or anyone else. Guess it’s only convenient when it goes up and then the bashers come out and rail against Trump. BTW, I don’t support the way Trump has waged war with Iran but find it amusing how when things like oil go up in price the vast majority on this site including Mish are ready to blame Trump for it going up but go silent when it comes crashing down.

Tom
Tom
20 days ago
Reply to  KCBBQ

No one believes this drop is anything not impulse

cambeiu
cambeiu
20 days ago
Reply to  KCBBQ

The drop comes from America’s inability to escalate the conflict due to lack of ordinance.

As of now, the Strait remains closed.

Last edited 20 days ago by cambeiu
SteamBoi
SteamBoi
20 days ago
Reply to  KCBBQ
PapaDave
PapaDave
20 days ago
Reply to  KCBBQ

Then you missed my earlier post.

KCBBQ
KCBBQ
19 days ago
Reply to  PapaDave

No, I read it. From a purely technical read of a price chart crude oil was due for a correction from the price rise from $67. It was overbought. Will be interesting to see if the 200 EMA level which is currently at $78.90 contains the correction. What I was trying to convey in my post is all the Trump haters came out in force on this sight when WTIC went to $119 and blamed him but said not a word when it fell from $119 to $67. This sight was full of Biden haters when he was in office. Now that Trump is president all but a couple posters are Trump haters. It’s the nature of social media.

Flavia
Flavia
19 days ago
Reply to  KCBBQ

He’s a hateable guy.

KCBBQ
KCBBQ
19 days ago
Reply to  Flavia

Feel bad for you that you harbor hate for any human being. Hate consumes a person and leads to irrational thoughts and actions.

Quatloo
Quatloo
19 days ago
Reply to  KCBBQ

You sound like an AI bot.

Hating Hitler could consume you. Have to stay rational or you miss the opportunity to make good money selling supplies to his concentration camps.

Love also can make one irrational. It’s not a bad thing, it’s a human thing.

KCBBQ
KCBBQ
19 days ago
Reply to  Quatloo

Nope. Have lurked for a number of years and only posted a few times in the past but have seen this site go downhill from one which focused on economic issues to one that has a strong lean towards politics and much hate towards one person.

As for your Hitler comment if you are equating Trump as being the same type of person I’d disagree.

pokercat
pokercat
19 days ago
Reply to  KCBBQ

lol, look at the results of the love his MAGA cult has produced.

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
19 days ago
Reply to  KCBBQ

Trump has brought the price down, and he made short bets on crude before he set this process in motion. He made immoral gains on crude trades. There, are you happy now?

KCBBQ
KCBBQ
19 days ago

Certainly possible he did that. Care to post his trades? And we know many many in Congress have traded on inside info since the beginning of time.

I’m back robbyrob
I’m back robbyrob
20 days ago

Why China Will Not Let the Islamic Republic Collapse. This Is Not About Ideology. It Is About Breaking Out of a Cage
https://ajsignalnotnoise.substack.com/p/why-china-will-not-let-the-islamic

Jojo
Jojo
20 days ago

Good contribution to the discussion as opposed to the usual name calling that passes for discourse here.

Unfortunately, this is another of those Substack posts that you have to claim to read the whole thing and I refuse to do that.

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
19 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

We can call you more names when you’re ready for it, or even before then.

Jojo
Jojo
19 days ago

Washes right over me. Give me more. Show how poor your IQ level is.

Jojo
Jojo
20 days ago

This video CLEARLY explains why the Iranian Regime needs to be replaced. Watch and learn or keep your head buried in your hidey-hole.

Levin: Trump will go down in history as one of the greatest presidents ever because of what he’s doing to deal with Iran

July 26, 2026

Fox News host Mark Levin explains the ideological underpinnings of the Iranian regime, tracing its origins to the revolution against the Shah and the rise of Ayatollah Khomeini on ‘Life, Liberty & Levin.’

Mark Levin outlines the dangerous ideological foundations of the Iranian regime, highlighting its revolutionary origins and the influence of figures like Ayatollah Khomeini. He details how the regime aims to eliminate the United States and Israel, leveraging a blend of political Islam and Marxist principles. Levin argues that the regime views the West as weak, criticizing domestic forces that undermine efforts to confront this existential threat.

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6402200779112

cambeiu
cambeiu
20 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

leveraging a blend of political Islam and Marxist principles

I would love to hear these hacks elaborate on what Marxist principles exactly Iran is “leveraging”.

They just throw words out there that their old, dying, ignorant, bitter audiences find scary, without any concern about meaning and context.

Last edited 20 days ago by cambeiu
El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
19 days ago
Reply to  cambeiu

If marxist loses it’s zing, there’s always the tried and true trans.

pokercat
pokercat
17 days ago
Reply to  cambeiu

Looking at the improvements in China over the last few decades if that was the result of communism I’m all in for that. But I believe it is actually the result of a relaxation of free enterprise regulations along with state owned industries and an economy guided by the state. That they have a single party govt doesn’t seem to hold them back. The evidence is 129 still active electric car manufacturers competing out of an original 500. Bankruptcy does exist in China so all startups are not state owned or heavily subsidized.

David
David
20 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

Israel have killed coming up to 100,000 civilians, including women and children, yet Iran are the bogeyman? Fuck off Levin and your ilk.

Tenacious D
Tenacious D
20 days ago
Reply to  David

Dude instead of feeding the troll, smash that hide button and ignore its comments.

Jojo
Jojo
19 days ago
Reply to  David

Stop talking STOOPID! Half of those killed in Gaza were Hamas terrorist fighters. The other half were supporters and/or in the wrong place at the wrong time. Woe is them. Buh-bye.

pokercat
pokercat
17 days ago
Reply to  David

The USA military has killed an estimated (the actual number is classified) 300,000 (min) since 1965 the start of Vietnam. Hundreds of thousands more indirect deaths caused by the collapse of infrastructure, disease, and displaced living conditions are not included in that estimate. I might add that every war since and including Vietnam American forces were withdrawn without “winning” or accomplishing main goals.

So who’s the bad guy now? America without a doubt is a rogue terrorist nation, by their own definition.

Remember one country’s terrorist is another country’s freedom fighter.

Last edited 17 days ago by pokercat
Neil
Neil
20 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

No one here argues against the desirability of replacing the Iran regime. However, man have made the point that Trump’s strategy to try to do that (remember, it started about regime change egged on by Israeli lies) was incredibly stupid. Air raids would not topple the regime and Iran would close the Strait after which America would have no good option left. That is exactly what happened.

So while we might want the regime in Iran replaced, there is no realistic way to get this done. Certainly not by simply attacking without a plan, well formulated goals and maybe something silly as informing your allies before you fly in recklessly.

You have argued before that Iran would budge quickly. It’s now almost 5 months and no end in sight. How many day more will it take Jojo?

Jojo
Jojo
20 days ago
Reply to  Neil

No one here argues against the desirability of replacing the Iran regime.”

That is blatantly untrue. When the vast majority here argue against the US and for support of “Iran”, they are arguing for support of the Iranian Regime.

You have argued before that Iran would budge quickly. It’s now almost 5 months and no end in sight. How many day more will it take Jojo?’

I have always qualified any such posts with the US stop pussyfooting around and get serious about winning.

We keep the economic scansions on and tighten as much as possible. As the following guest on Levin’s Sunday evening broadcast, Victor David Hanson opined, we haven’t done anywhere near as much as we could. For example, we could blow up the train tracks the feed Iranian oil to China. We could hit their poorts in the Caspian sea. As to 5 months, it’s not really 5 months because we stupidly participated in ceasefires. But even if this takes two more years, then that is the price that must be paid.

Watch what he says here:

Life Liberty Levin

July 26, 2026

US strategy against Iran is to ‘inflict a level of damage’ to prevent future attacks: Victor Davis Hanson

Hoover Institution senior fellow Victor Davis Hanson discusses the objectives of the U.S. campaign against Iran and efforts to secure the Strait of Hormuz on ‘Life, Liberty & Levin.’

Hoover Institution Senior Fellow Victor Davis Hanson calls the U.S.-Iran war a ‘test of wills’ and argues that the current regime is isolated. Hanson details President Donald Trump’s strategy to inflict damage and maintain regional stability against Iran’s pursuit of nuclear weapons.

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6402198594112

Neil
Neil
20 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

I don’t think that’s “blatantly untrue” at all, obviously quite the opposite. But I do not have the stats to back it up, so will have to leave it at a agree to disagree.

Speaking for myself: I would love the ayatollahs to go. But I think Trump is going about this in the most stupid way possible, handing them leverage and extra money with their new toll feature which he cannot stop.

KCBBQ
KCBBQ
19 days ago
Reply to  Neil

I agree with you Trump’s “strategy” with Iran has been insane. As for Iran, from a Biblical standpoint, it’s never going to cease to exist. To fulfill Biblical prophecy it’ll be there in the end when it with Russia, Turkey, Egypt, Libya and current day Sudan attack Israel (Ezekiel 38). So, Trump has been fighting a no-win war from the beginning. Same can be said for any country going against Israel.

pokercat
pokercat
19 days ago
Reply to  KCBBQ

Don’t forget that Santa and the Easter Bunny will rain fire and hell on everyone going against Israel.
Really that you pay any attention to writings of what today would be idiots by uneducated cult followers 2000 years ago might indicate that your thought processes may be flawed.

pokercat
pokercat
19 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

“Isolated” With the support of Russia and China and the growing hatred, disgust or disappointment the world has for the USA I’d not call Iran isolated. I might refer to them as a growing regional power assisted by the stupidity of American and Israel’s hubris. While its true they have had damage inflicted they have stood up to the current world’s largest and supposed best technologically advanced military ever. That proves to the countries of the middle east there will be a new sheriff in town.

Tom
Tom
20 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

It’s important to forget who installed the Shah and at what cost to Iran to support your narrative.

For at least a generation in the United States has thrown its superpower status around like they are the playground bully. Yes, you can easily argue that a lot of global peace was had because of this. It can also be argued that a lot of enemies have been made and we can’t realistically expect enemies to simply disappear.

The best thing we could have ever done was to give the Iranians no excuse to continue using America as a lightning rod. We had that before the ass clown thought he could do a better peace deal than actual peace.

There’s a lesson in negotiations here that Trump never learned. Winning does not always look like a crushing defeat of your enemies. Winning is often compromise and mutual agreement.

The USA has been at war with Canada and Mexico in the past. Since then we have managed to become very strong allies until 2024. The ass clown of negotiation has destroyed the alliances that we have built over hundreds of years without the need for war were crushing defeat. Now, that’s in jeopardy. Cuba and Greenland are next. Will it be worth it?

pokercat
pokercat
20 days ago
Reply to  Tom

“We had that before the ass clown thought he could do a better peace deal than actual peace.”

I think trump’s major motivation was his hatred for African-Americans especially Obama. He could not let stand that Obama or anyone especially Obama had made an international agreement that was working. The same with the USMCA trade agreement except he forgot that he was the POTUS that made the last one.

Also he will do anything to keep Epstein off the front page and out of the media. So attacking Iran without cause was a twofur.

First thing one must take into account when analyzing anything trump does is recognizing that he is one very sick puppy. Most of what he does or says will not be rational.

Last edited 20 days ago by pokercat
Feral Finster
Feral Finster
19 days ago
Reply to  Tom

Yes, but Israel demands otherwise, and Israel has The Files.

Sentient
Sentient
20 days ago

Thank goodness Lindsey Graham is no longer around to influence Trump. Unfortunately Kushner is still there.

Tenacious D
Tenacious D
20 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

I’m sure Linda is enjoying his time in what for him has to be even better than federal pound-me-in-the-ass prison. Yay! Eternity!

Rogerroger
Rogerroger
20 days ago

Well we have a military that used a 200000 dollar missile to shoot down a balloon when a few rounds from the auto canyon could have brought down just as well and more intact.
Until that mindset changes we will be short on ammo.
Maybe develop some radar guided 50 cal or old school aa guns. Is whats called for.

Joe Penny
Joe Penny
20 days ago
Reply to  Rogerroger

and use them on Israel…now that would be a plot twist, eh?

Rogerroger
Rogerroger
20 days ago

High tech and precision munitions are how politicians are able to sell their wars to the american people. Americans would not stand for all these wars if their sons and daughters are at risk.

I follow the barron first policy.

pokercat
pokercat
17 days ago
Reply to  Rogerroger

I wonder if trump ordered an extensive ground operation if the joint chiefs might initiate a coup declaring him and anyone is his administration unfit to lead. Declaring marshal law until new elections for all offices including the supreme court could be held?

cambeiu
cambeiu
20 days ago

Iran to Trump: “I am not the one trapped here with you. It is you who is trapped here with me”

Suzie Alcatrez
Suzie Alcatrez
20 days ago
Reply to  cambeiu

This situation reminds me of the Uncle Remus story of the Tar-Baby.

Quatloo
Quatloo
20 days ago

Just another Manic Market Manipulation Monday

Ginko Biloba
Ginko Biloba
20 days ago

Now what? Who do you call? Team America: World Police!

Life imitates art.

https://youtu.be/kMyJWuvW_9k?si=R7p1hEji9UBEA7iR

Mike R
Mike R
20 days ago
Reply to  Ginko Biloba

damn, now I’m going to have to rewatch that. incredible movie.

Last edited 20 days ago by Mike R
PapaDave
PapaDave
20 days ago

Looks like I will be buying back some of the oil stocks I sold last week. Keep buying the dips and selling the rips.

It will be interesting to see what comes out of this “pause” in the conflict. Vance wants to try to resurrect the MOU and stalled negotiations. Though I don’t know how successful he will be. At this point Iran has more leverage than before. They still control the strait. Ships are avoiding the US approved route and using the Iran route. (Though today, one ship wandered off course in the Iran route and struck a mine.)

Will the US lift the blockade again in order to entice Iran back to the table?

Quatloo
Quatloo
20 days ago
Reply to  PapaDave

I understand Reuters reported three Iranian-linked oil products tankers exited the Hormuz Strait on Sunday. Will they get through the US blockade?

Jojo
Jojo
20 days ago
Reply to  Quatloo

NO! If true, then they will be disabled, towed to a safe location, their oil offloaded and then the oil resold to India or China. 🤣

pokercat
pokercat
19 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

Leave it to the USA to take the world back to the mid to late 1600’s. But maybe to be traditional pirates we’d need to put sails on our naval ships.

America has become the robber baron of the world not the guardian.

Rogerroger
Rogerroger
20 days ago
Reply to  PapaDave

Maybe the us should mine irans waters. I doubt they have the means to effectively find them.
Maybe they already have.

PapaDave
PapaDave
20 days ago
Reply to  Rogerroger

Very unlikely and counter productive. The US wants the strait open.Any mines the US places are just another deterrent for all shipping through such a narrow strait.

In addition, US navy ships that close to Iran would be easy targets and too dangerous for those ships.

The blockade is the better option to prevent Iranian ship movements.

Rogerroger
Rogerroger
19 days ago
Reply to  PapaDave

Yeah i agree the us wants the strait open. Mining takes a way their leverage of controlling it also. The us can use subs or more likely b52 to deliver mines.
Not saying its a good idea because every action has a reaction. It would deny irans ability to say they control the straight maybe forcing some sort of truce. . Mines laid in their chosen lanes and harbor entrances would stop source of crypto income and harbor would put a dent in the shadow fleet transfers.
Guess the question is would it be enough to bring them to the table and what are the consequences if not. Could just say you did it or do it on the low down and blame it on iran. Worry about the consequences when discovered.

Pavel
Pavel
20 days ago

Larry Johnson has done excellent reporting on the depletion of US strategic arms for quite some time, emphasising the rare earth minerals supply chain. Cf this recent post on his website, “The US Faces a Strategic Crisis with Iran…The Rapid Depletion of US Battlefield Missiles”
https://sonar21.com/the-us-faces-a-strategic-crisis-with-iran-the-rapid-depletion-of-us-battlefield-missiles/

He makes frequent appearance’s on the Dialogue Works youtube channel, which I highly recommend for expert analysis of the Iran war (and other geopolitics):

https://www.youtube.com/@dialogueworks01

The world is going to hell in a handbasket (largely thanks to Bibi and Trump) but at least we have better and broader coverage and analysis than we did during e.g. Iraq 1.0 and 2.0.

Jojo
Jojo
20 days ago
Reply to  Pavel

Johnson is full of crap and has been proven wrong time and again. He is a laughing stock to people in the know, which you clearly are not.

Pavel
Pavel
20 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

Example of where he’s been proven wrong… a sincere request. TIA

Jojo
Jojo
20 days ago
Reply to  Pavel

Easy peasy:

Most users on Reddit agree that former CIA analyst Larry Johnson frequently promotes inaccurate, out-of-date, and pro-Kremlin conspiracy theories.

Discredited Claims and Controversies

• Misrepresented Credentials: Often mistakenly cited or self-pushed as a former high-ranking CIA director, though he only served as a low-level analyst until 1993.

• Pro-Russian Narratives: Heavily amplified by Russian state media for spreading false assertions about the complete destruction of Ukrainian air defenses and impending regime collapse.

• Intelligence Fabrication: Promoted unfounded claims that British intelligence spied on Donald Trump for the Obama administration and that the CIA orchestrated the 2016 DNC hacks.

https://share.google/aimode/EwO9TkYJmhjBSB71o

Webej
Webej
19 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

He always emphasizes that he spent only limited time at the CIA.
But he spend a lot of time at State and in adjacent business, so he’s an insider. He is not leaking state secrets, he is analyzing.

He frequently gets factual stuff wrong, but, heh, we live in a post modern world.

As for the Steele dossier and the use of GCHQ to launder illegal (for US agencies) eavesdropping on American citizens, that’s well-established fact.

Yes, and UA AD is pretty much MIA, and the Nazi dictator regime is undergoing another earthquake at the moment.

Last edited 19 days ago by Webej
Jojo
Jojo
19 days ago
Reply to  Webej

He frequently gets factual stuff wrong, but, heh, we live in a post modern world.”

Thanks for confirming that! No one should hold any confidence in someone who can’t even get raw FACTS correct.

Jojo
Jojo
20 days ago
Reply to  Pavel
Tenacious D
Tenacious D
20 days ago
Reply to  Pavel

Pavel, you are feeding a troll. Instead of doing that, smash that hide button and ignore it’s comments.

Jojo
Jojo
19 days ago
Reply to  Tenacious D

You keep trying to convince others to join you in your walled off echo chamber, where you live because you are psychologically unable to deal with anyone who disagrees with you. 🤣

Pavel
Pavel
19 days ago
Reply to  Tenacious D

I looked up his wikipedia link which was such an obvious hit job it was embarrassing and reminded me never to trust Wiki on political matters again. The first link wasn’t any better. You are absolutely right. Cheers!

Bill
Bill
20 days ago

Been screaming from the rooftops that the drone guerilla warfare that Ukraine has deployed against a “super”(ahem)power like Russis redners us equally neutered by the mosquitoes of modern warfare–drones. Maybe we can get the ones the Russians modified using plywood and standard magnetic guidance? Needless to say unless and until a super power country is willing to go full on boots on the ground, tanks, and or tactical nukes, they will be thwarted by the miniaturization-of-everything model where drones can wreak havoc. What a waste of a military budget to not foresee this and adjust…and still they want more. 21 miles of water. TWENTY-ONE. Can’t open it and can’t protect the region. Russia and U.S. exposed.

The markets were about to open, a TACO was required.

Creamer
Creamer
20 days ago
Reply to  Bill

Ukraine is unique in that both sides dug in for years before the war started, but Iran also did the same thing which makes for a weird parallel. Both are very capable of fighting a defensive war even against the full might of a superpower because the current technology of war favors defense and speed in all matters of offense.

Both the US and Russia were planning for a fight against each other with stupid shit that was never realistic like tactical nukes ect. They spent so much time on that goose chase that both of them threw out having a professional, respectful, everyman’s army for a mix of macho stupidity and expensive toys. Both Ukraine and Iran are what you get when you let pro wrestlers and billionaires plan wars.

Euromario
Euromario
20 days ago
Reply to  Creamer

Since when Starlink is Ukrainian? Without Starlink and US satellites guidance Ukraine would be done many moons ago. No parallels at all!

Creamer
Creamer
20 days ago
Reply to  Euromario

You realize Russia also uses Starlink just as much and both have workarounds to not having it (like pre-set destinations, linked systems and offline gps), yes?

Who am I kidding you don’t know what any of that stuff even stands for. More braindead rattle from armchair experts who’ve never flown an RC plane, let alone a quadcopter.

Webej
Webej
19 days ago
Reply to  Creamer

Russia has only clandestine access to StarLink, and only above UA skies. There’s no such thing as offline GPS. Russia is slowly expanding its own constellation of LEOs. UA would (and almost did) have acceded to Russian demands in Apr 2022 were it not de facto (as Z and many others claim) NATO/US propping up the former Ukraine.

Mike R
Mike R
20 days ago
Reply to  Creamer

and yet we waste an incredible amount of money on the Army. We’ve increased the number of Army divisions by like double since the end of the Cold War. So we now have 12 regular divisions and 8 reserve divisions for a total of 20. Call it 15,000 troops per division or so and you’re talking and old school Army of 300,000 (conservative) and then add in independent regiments etc, and maybe it’s 350,000. And yet we won’t put boots on the ground bc we are terrified of taking any mass casualties.

So 10s of billions in Army troop salaries per yer, plus training cost, plus equipment costs, etc. Who knows – maybe $50B a year? $100B a year? All to pay for an Army that we can’t and won’t use bc we don’t like casualties (rightly so).

Talk about a missed DOGE opportunity. And yes, I am pro military but this is ridiculous.

Lefteris
Lefteris
20 days ago
Reply to  Mike R

True – a huge bureaucracy for 4-star generals to maintain departments/teams they have employed for unrelated things.
We’re in the era of the drone wars now, so I believe that the increased military budget is just to protect jobs.

Sentient
Sentient
20 days ago
Reply to  Mike R

Trump’s pushing the military budget from an obscene $1T to a crazy $1.5T, and the Republicans are largely responsible for going along with it. I got a lotta problems with the democrat party, but I expect to vote straight democrat this time. Republicans need to be punished.

most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
20 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

Only $1.5t? Check the rest of the budget(s).

most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
20 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

>> to vote straight democrat this time

Ouch. Changing the drapes won’t improve the food.

Tenacious D
Tenacious D
20 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

Or just stay home and don’t vote except maybe for local or.state issues/referenda. That punishes them as well.

Stoic
Stoic
20 days ago
Reply to  Tenacious D

Surely stopping Trump’s lunacy is no.1 priority?

Feral Finster
Feral Finster
19 days ago
Reply to  Tenacious D

Doesn’t punish them at all.

From the point of view of the Uniparty, the only thing that matters is that the elected officials’ orders have the force of law.

The vote of a congressman who is voted into office after winning an election with 90% turnout counts exactly the same as that of a congressman whose constituents barely bothered to vote.

Last edited 19 days ago by Feral Finster
Tenacious D
Tenacious D
19 days ago
Reply to  Feral Finster

Ok, fair.

Creamer
Creamer
20 days ago
Reply to  Mike R

Well why not waste money when you’re given a literal blank check? It’s no real wonder why every missile is thirty bazillion buckeroos when companies are allowed to charge any price they feel for them. Every new plane upgrade package is in the hundreds of billions, we don’t even bother with tanks anymore. There is zero incentive to perform because even startups like Andruril grift and scam too, promising endlessly and delivering zilch.

Not having limits can be a nasty thing.

Stoic
Stoic
20 days ago
Reply to  Mike R

Ah, but it makes Hegseth feel really big.

Feral Finster
Feral Finster
19 days ago
Reply to  Mike R

Why would anyone be “pro-military”? They do nothing to keep us safe.

Quite the opposite, in fact.

Last edited 19 days ago by Feral Finster
peelo
peelo
19 days ago
Reply to  Feral Finster

The financial backbone of my large urban area is military spending. The personnel just drive around, burn gas, eat food, and goof around on the Internet, like anyone else on modern consumer society. They have been the model of a redistributive socialist society since forever.

Last edited 19 days ago by peelo
Feral Finster
Feral Finster
19 days ago
Reply to  peelo

If we’re doing Keynesianism, why not spend money on things that generate a positive RoI? You know, schools, hospitals, infrastructure. I know, that’s commie talk.

Shit, we could just hand out massive wads of cash to random passers by and at least we would destroy less.

peelo
peelo
19 days ago
Reply to  Mike R

The military is a big, inherent component of the welfare state for both parties. This is inextricably a part of big nations since 1900. If we as a wealthy state are going to buy the complacency of the lower classes, might as well have them under maximum monitoring and available if needed for domestic deployment to respond to disorder.

Last edited 19 days ago by peelo
Webej
Webej
19 days ago
Reply to  Creamer

Both sides?
Where did Russia dig in?
All the NATO fortifications are in the former Ukraine.
Your whole point is counter-factual.

Stoic
Stoic
20 days ago
Reply to  Bill

Indeed, their ‘always preparing to fight the last war’ -type thinking has been cruelly exposed – but will the lessons be learned?

Webej
Webej
19 days ago
Reply to  Stoic

That the generals are ‘always preparing to fight the last war’ is a naïve trope but a misunderstanding.

Wiping out the current crop of young men in battle preserves the empire from the fuel for popular revolt and overthrow of the ensconced powers that be. They do it knowingly in an attempt to preserve the old order, with full advance knowledge of the impending waste. The problem lies not in the shortcomings of military tactics, but in the power elites those generals represent.

peelo
peelo
19 days ago
Reply to  Stoic

The primary purpose of this vast bureaucracy is domestic wealth redistribution and social order, as far as I can tell.

Last edited 19 days ago by peelo
Webej
Webej
19 days ago
Reply to  Bill

Drones and ubiquitous real-time battle-field surveillance (satellites, drones, modern electronics) have changed the nature of war.

But 85% of the fatalities in the UA theater are still bombs (artillery and guided dumb bombs). Nobody on the ground thinks you can do without trucks, tanks, armored personnel carriers, artillery, and infantry.

No such thing as just drones.

“super”(ahem)power like Russia — you do realize that Russia produces more weapons and ordinance every quarter than the whole of NATO from Tallinn to San Diego(according to the secretary general of NATO), why everybody is talking about expanding military/industrial capacity and multiplying Defense budgets.

Rjohnson
Rjohnson
20 days ago

Nuttyyahoo is coming to town for a pep talk this week. We both still have nukes.

Joe Penny
Joe Penny
20 days ago
Reply to  Rjohnson

Stated differently, THE president of the United States is flying in for a visit

Feral Finster
Feral Finster
19 days ago
Reply to  Joe Penny

The real president doesn’t want to hold office in the US, as that would open him up to scrutiny.

Better to govern int he shadows, by blackmail and (legal) bribery.

peelo
peelo
19 days ago
Reply to  Feral Finster

Ha ha! reminds me of Tony Accardo in the Chicago Outfit, who had a series of fake bosses as front men, The Outfit was great at that. They had our local guy, Allen Glick, as front man running casinos in Vegas. When that was going to be exposed, somebody got hit out here in San Diego.

Tony Frank
Tony Frank
20 days ago

Taco once again manipulating financial markets with his becoming predictive capitalulations on his idle threats. He wants to be known as the boy who cried wolf but enhanced his own wealth as well as a select relatively few.

peelo
peelo
19 days ago
Reply to  Tony Frank

Just think, as he exits with bags of money, he’ll be charging us top room and catering rates for any army of secret service agents staying at Mar A Lago, for the rest of his life.

Last edited 19 days ago by peelo
pokercat
pokercat
19 days ago
Reply to  peelo

Here’s hoping that life doesn’t last past noon today.

86/47 25th, impeach or god

whirlaway
whirlaway
20 days ago

That’s another way of saying that the markets are opening tomorrow morning after the weekend!

Creamer
Creamer
20 days ago

You have to admit it is very funny that “we ran out of bombs” is the official reason for the mighty, unstoppable, unmatched US of A to be waving the white flag.

spencer
spencer
20 days ago

Great Brittan tried to be the world’s policeman.

Dollars ceased to be convertible into gold because of the Pentagon’s communist containment policy.

Last edited 20 days ago by spencer
Joe Penny
Joe Penny
20 days ago
Reply to  spencer

…and now talk a walk through any English town…absolute horror

Stoic
Stoic
20 days ago
Reply to  Joe Penny

I take it that either you’re being ironic, or that you haven’t visited many English towns – mine is as peaceful as the day is long, as are most others..

pokercat
pokercat
19 days ago
Reply to  Stoic

Having never been to England I was surprised by the tv series Clarkson’s Farm. I tend to think of England as the streets of London, there is obviously much more.
One of the astonishing things I learned was the control the local government has over simple businesses like their country market and restaurant. In his small country store they were not allowed to sell anything not made or produced in their county or small designated area of England. Regulations were constantly created or changed that directly effected the farming operations.
Oh yeah he also had a Lamborghini tractor.

Pedro
Pedro
20 days ago

He is the laughingstock of the world and showing everyone that the USA is no longer indispensable. Get ready for more price increases as the benefits of empire are lost

the sweet irony is that the maga morons will suffer the most long term, especially the old ones

Augustine
Augustine
19 days ago
Reply to  Pedro

Only to Usonians, in their Hollywood fueled hubris, could seriously consider the US indispensable, that is, the rest of the world as dispensable.

MMchenry, CFA
MMchenry, CFA
20 days ago

More like #1 A**hole of the World.

One reason mentioned for the halt in bombing is the depleted arsenal. In that regard note the MASSIVE cost blackhole Numbnutts has created:

In late April, The New York Times reported that the Pentagon had used more than 1,200 Patriot interceptor missiles in the war, at more than $4 million apiece, leaving inventories worrisomely low, according to internal Defense Department estimates and congressional officials. The situation has worsened since then, military officials said this week.”

That is !,200 missles X $4 mil a piece = $4.8 BILLION out the window to protect everyone and their dog as Trump incentivizes Iranian attacks on it’s neighbors.

Note that milestone was at only < 2 months in – we’re now ~ 5 months in.

So we’ve probably burned twice that many now wasting $9.6 BILLION on Patriot Missles alone.

Another nice fact: Locheed charges an absurd 4 X the cost South Korea charges for this missile shields. I say screw Lockhead’s price gouging and get 4 X’s as many for the price from S. Korea.

“South Korea’s equivalent to the U.S. Patriot system is the Cheongung-II (also known as the KM-SAM Block II or M-SAM), a medium-range surface-to-air guided missile system developed by LIG Nex1 and Hanwha Aerospace.

System Overview and Costs

  • Role: Designed to intercept incoming ballistic missiles and aircraft simultaneously.
  • Cost: Approximately $320 million to $330 million per battery (about one-third the price of a U.S. Patriot battery).
  • Interceptor Price: Roughly $1 million per missile (compared to roughly $4 million for a Patriot PAC-3 interceptor).
  • Performance: Demonstrated a high interception success rate (over 90% to 96%) during operational combat deployments and testing.
Sentient
Sentient
20 days ago
Reply to  MMchenry, CFA

90% interception rate is an order of magnitude over Patriot missiles.

Mick
Mick
20 days ago

Main reason to stop the war : Trump will be busy saving a time-traveling George Washington who is in peril of falling from a cliff by Mt. Rushmore. It’s on Truth Social, so it must be true!

misc.
misc.
20 days ago

Maybe it got through to Iran that shooting at commercial shipping ain’t such a hot idea.

We will see.

Creamer
Creamer
20 days ago
Reply to  misc.

Yep Iran sure learned their lesson lol

misc
misc
20 days ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

The oil markets think Iran is done shooting at oil tankers. Price per barrel is down over $4.

whirlaway
whirlaway
20 days ago
Reply to  misc

Wrong. It is because it’s Sunday evening and the “Pakistan Seeks To Restart US-Iran Talks” balloon is up in the air.

MMchenry, CFA
MMchenry, CFA
20 days ago
Reply to  misc

The market is always happy to stop a big move, particularily down.
Recall elevator on the way down, stair on the way up. And everyone loves to catch a bounce. Whether is durable is what can lead to a bear market.

Been through them? There’s always “bounce” rallies. BUT repeatadly snuffing them out is the bear aspect. At a minimum you’d have to admit a 57 yr record overvaluation is a risk I will PASS on!

https://en.macromicro.me/charts/406/us-buffet-index-gspc

These are not “marginal” metrics. They are red flags you will lookback upon as SERIOUS RED FLAGS! Go ahead learn the hard way.

Myself, at these nosebleed valuation levels; AND due for a Trump recession any of my longs are mostly just rented – not owned.

Last edited 20 days ago by MMchenry, CFA
Sentient
Sentient
20 days ago
Reply to  misc

Narco Marco, imbecile, will convince Trump that they should again entice some sucker to try using the US / Oman corridor. Iran will shoot at those ships – again. In the unlikely event that this pause isn’t just an American head fake to ready some other attack, the pause will still end before long. We’re the scorpion on the frog’s back. Double-dealing is our nature.

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