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What a Taper Tantrum Looks Like and How They Start

Robin Brooks: The Sep 22 Fed press conference was a snoozer until Chair Powell signaled a “fast” taper starting Nov 3. That jolted markets & we’ve been in a bond market sell-off ever since, despite surprisingly weak data. In case you’re wondering, this is what a “taper tantrum” looks like…

The Next FOMC meeting is November 2-3. What will the Fed do?

My take.

Who cares at this point? 

The Fed delayed so long by the time they actually think they will hike, the Fed will be looking into the jaws of another recession with interest rates at zero. 

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3 Comments
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Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
4 years ago
“What a Taper Tantrum Looks Like and How They Start”
Much ado about nothing.
Federal Reserve ended QE October 2014 (before restart in 2019 with reverse repo) and what happened to 10 yr rate?
Chopped around for years before ultimately going LOWER … economy early 2020 slowing (flirting with R) … covid allowed 18 month can kick that “only” cost $6 trillion in deficit spending.
hfom
hfom
4 years ago
Figures are not showing up.
Christoball
Christoball
4 years ago
I have always done better in economic contractions than expansions. I guess it is just my style. This could be good news.

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