This is simply not true. The SS fund will be solvent until 2037. Then it will pay 76% of promised benefits in 2037 Dollars. The SSN will have money coming in from payroll taxes then.
Medicare,
It was fixer per the ACA but the GQP messed up because of The Trump tax cuts.
Also, the US spends 17% of GDP in healthcare, if the US spent 12% of GDP on healthcare like Canada, then medicare would be solid footing, per the economist by the name of Dr. Dean Baker.
Please check your facts.
Columbo
1 year ago
I think they’re going to raise the retirement age for the under 55 group. They will also raise the age for the RMD. That will allow them to lower the amount paid to early retiree’s from age 62. That means you will get less than what you get now for early retirement. Plus, like others have stated here, I think they will raise the SS tax limit. But, I don’t think they will eliminate the SS limit. Just my opinion from articles I have read.
whirlaway
1 year ago
About 50 years ago, for every dollar the corporations paid in taxes, the people paid 3 dollars.
Now, for every dollar that corporations pay in taxes, the people pay 8 dollars.
Let that sink in.
whirlaway
1 year ago
Almost 10 percent of the GDP is from privatized health insurance. And in return, hundreds of millions of people get crappy healthcare, and tens of millions get literally no healthcare.
BDR45
1 year ago
This worry about the budget deficit is moot. By the early 2030’s the so called “union” will have split up into several different areas and the Federal government will no longer exist. And good riddance, because all corruption eventually consumes itself and is destroyed. I don’t know what kind of “government” we will have, but we have had our experiment in “democracy”….”republic”, and hopefully have learned our lessons.
prumbly
1 year ago
The solutions seem fairly obvious to me, but of course they will never happen:
1) Stop going around the world starting expensive and unnecessary wars
2) Get rid of entitlement programs and replace with needs-based support. Yes, means testing. This would kinda suck for those who work hard and contribute to SS and later don’t qualify for payments, but is there really any alternative?
Why, exactly, am i paying for life support for your needy 96-year-old granny?
Since2008
1 year ago
Somewhere I read that historically, dying was the least expensive part of living. Our Federal Government has now made dying unaffordable.
Call_Me
1 year ago
Lead image has a couple serious errors – “Defense” wasn’t more than 40% of the federal budget in 1965 just as sure as it wasn’t 13% last year.
Truth in labeling, all you congresspersons — bring back the War Department.
Call_Me_Al
Cocoa
1 year ago
Well, it’s really game over. They all know it. The Congress is running out the clock, accumulating stock, assets etc. Clock management is math too and if you are in the club, you will get out. If interest overcomes revenues, then it’s Soviet Union 2.0. Minsky Moment
How much does the low paid employees working 40 year at Walmart to give you affordable prices able to save, 5 percent each check on a almost poverty level paycheck, ya there decisions lead them to that pay but who would be willing to pay higher prices to give them enough to save for retirement,if they stop paying ss do you think the government would let you keep that much of your pay check,it would just be a new tax, just no benefits,what ever political party starts carving on ss will be committing political suicide because even some of the most successful people who have loved ones who depend on that check they paid in to their whole working life
billybobjr
1 year ago
Since Social security doesn’t go negative till around 2034 at what time the deficit will be in the 50 trillion area then where did the 50 trillion deficit come from ? Because S&S would not have added a cent to that if they had not swiped the surpluses out to make the deficit look better than it was.
Nobody mentioned it till it started adding to the deficit rather than taking away from it . The video is right but Mish fails miserably to explain
that 50 trillion will have amassed before S&S adds anything to it .
The fed reserve has kept interest way to low to support the deficit spending that has in the end created this mess but at 50 trillion and 4 percent interest that’s 2 trillion a year interest before S&S would even be a contributing factor . So Mish where did the 50 trillion deficits come from ?
What did they spend the borrowed money from S$S on exactly ? Because till then S&S technically has not added to it
Jojo
1 year ago
It’s easy to fix SS.
1. Stop allowing the government to “borrow” incoming SS revenues and invest all SS collected taxes, after paying expenses, in T-bills with the gained interest funneled back into the SS program.
2. Eliminate the SS maximum cap on taxing income (currently $160,200 for 2023). SS tax must be paid on ALL income.
3. If the above two adjustments don’t help enough, then the SS tax percentage must be increased.
I’m confused by what you are trying to say here. The government borrows SS revenues by having SS “invest” them in T-bills and bonds. Since SS is now running a deficit, SS currently sells or redeems more T-bills and bonds than they buy. What are you wanting to change?
My understanding is that the government takes all incoming SS revenue, issues an IOU for it to SS as an accounting trick and pays back whatever is required for benefits and overhead. SS never has a chance to actually INVEST excess collections and perhaps build a future supplemental income stream in addition to tax revenues.
The reason they don’t do that is because it means SS also doesn’t suffer when there is an economic downturn (stocks crater, bonds tank, interest rates are suppressed etc).
Investing in TBills doesn’t make sense. It would be the government loaning money to itself with interest. That interest could only come from the printing press since it’s loaning money to itself. So it’s just easier to run the printing press rather than go through all the effort of buying TBills.
Incidentally you didn’t mention the most obvious fix of all. Raising the retirement age from say 62 to 65 with age 70 being full benefits (instead of 67).
We saw how well that went over in France! Americans are a little more timid however. SS intent was to give you some money for your last 5 years of life. People are taking SS into the 90s! The ponzi model broke down. They are retired longer than they worked sometimes.
babies born today are expected to live to 80. that’s the answer. it was an insurance deal. not retirement. just there for the old lady who lives too long and keeps her eating tuna fish sandwiches instead of the cat food.
Billy
1 year ago
ITR Economics has been predicting a depression around 2030 for the past 15 years. They have a 98% accuracy rate. Medicare and SS are one of the biggest factors along with National debt, Japan’s financial troubles, and the portion of baby boomer’s income taxes about to go away and be replaced with a population that doesn’t want kids or work.
No one cared when Ross Perot brought this up, why would they now?
Esclaro
1 year ago
I know no one here cares about ACTUAL facts but here is a fact you can cogitate on.
Mexico spends one tenth per capita on healthcare that the US does. Their life expectancy is one year less than ours (76.4 vs 75.24). We spend the most and get the least.
How much of that lack of improvement is related to actual medical care, and how much is related to diet, obesity, and lifestyle? Putting it another way, if we replaced the US healthcare system with the Mexican one, what would happen to our life expectancy?
Because Americans spend all that money on healthcare in that last year.
Bbbbbbb
1 year ago
Why not rescind the Trump tax cuts? They won’t, because it’s not about deficits, it’s about putting the costs of their economic f**kery on the backs of working people and continuing the gravy train for the rich and the capitalist class. There is no “democracy” in the US, just a constant Ponzi scheme run in the interests of the big capitalist monopolies. Neither the Democrats or the Republicans can solve this crisis.
I shop at Walmart and buy the store brand. I do it to save money so I can pay taxes. At the checkout, I see hordes using EBT cards to buy the name brand. Is that the gravy train you speak of?
Can’t afford that. CA is the 4th largest economy in the WORLD!
davidyjack
1 year ago
There are obviously huuge unfunded liabilities in government outlays. There needs to be a series of tax increases and spending cuts.
Here is my ideas:
* Social Security: Put a 2.5% tax on all income above the Social Security wage limit. That should make it solvent for at least another 30 years.
* Health Care: Government needs to to encourage companies (by tax benefits) to bring real cost savings to consumers by spurring innovation. Outsource some of healthcare to Mexico.
Having just played the commercial release DVD in my library I see some of the wafers being dispensed in the “scoops” street scene were orange and not red. Don’t recall seeing red or yellow at any time. Perhaps Soylent had problems with manufacturing combining yellow and red and getting orange. Trivia will drive you mad.
Salmo Trutta
1 year ago
“Indeed, once PPI growth takes a sustained downward turn, the US is often already in a recession or headed into one. We can see this pattern in 1982, 1990, 2000, 2008, and 2019. And now in 2022.”
PapaDave
1 year ago
All true.
So what are you going to do about it?
Complain? That’s what many here seem to spend a lot of their time doing.
Yeah. That works. Lol!
Or maybe get elected to Congress, Senate or President. Even if you did, what difference do you think you would make? Little to none.
Or accept how things are and how things work, and then take advantage of that reality to make a better life for yourself. That’s my preferred option.
Have to agree with that. We have all been hearing this for years and nothing changes. I’m reaching the age of Medicare and Social security. I expect to get nothing. I’ll keep working and trying to enjoy life.
‘Working and trying to enjoy life’ is not good enough for papadave, He expects you to risk whatever you have and invest with him, since he thinks he is the only person here who can take ‘advantage of that reality.’ I daresay most of us are taking advantage, but don’t brag, or over-personalize.
That said, people differ in their beliefs and values, and risk tolerances, and do what is right for them.
All ‘bets’, good and bad, have a price, and risks–both things papadave avoids discussing in a meaningful way. IMHO, now is NOT the time to buy oil. Long term, I have done well in energy. As always, it comes down to knowing when to buy and when to sell.
“As always, it comes down to knowing when to buy and when to sell.”
Lol! You are so full of sh*t!
So why didn’t you buy oil stocks 2 years ago genius? For almost two years you have been criticizing me and saying “now is the not the time to buy oil stocks”.
Meanwhile they went up over 50% each of the last two years. Some of my oil stocks are up 8x.
You are just another one of the folks here who are too scared to invest and have all their money in cash or gold. How can I tell? You never state what you are invested in or why. All you ever do is criticize those of us who are willing to state what they are invested in and why.
I am expecting to get another 20% to 30% at least out of my oil stocks again this year. And for several more years after that. Because even at $80, they generate a ton of free cash flow, and most of it is coming back to shareholders. And I expect oil prices to push higher for the rest of this decade.
Now, how about sharing what you expect to do well this year and how you are investing in it?
disagree. papa dave has given out some great stock picks. this website and zerohedge used to be much more investment focused. i love papa dave’s input and appreciate it. better than just listening to echo chambers.
If your reaching the age then you definitely won’t get nothing.
The idea that it’s going to go from where we are now to zero in 10 years or so is nonsense.
The easiest way will be to just run the printing press and pay out the social security money even if they collect nothing tax wise. The fall out will be inflation of course but the program won’t fail outright and thus the cost will be pushed onto everyone via that inflation.
You misconstrued what I said in a previous post when I said that 2023 will be the year of the Musk. I was not talking about the market. Tesla will do fine as a company but its valuation depends on the market and is unpredictable. It is SpaceX and Starlink that will shine this year. This month or next will see the first orbit of the Starship which will revolutionize space travel even more with the amount of tonnage we can put into orbit and beyond. That will definitely changes things and change things that truly matter.
Space junk can and will put a ceiling on what Starlink and SpaceX can do.It’s a major problem with no known solution and getting worse each year. This will absolutely cause major problems going forward and the cascade of debris is not far off, unless a solution is found.
Space litter can be picked up. There is work going on the various methods. Starlink satellites are in low-Earth orbit and at that level space debris gets de-orbited quickly. Starlink’s satellites’ orbits mean that they fall and burnup after three years so they have to be replaced continually. Also space is very big and even if the Russians destroy some satellites the resulting debris field will still not be enough to prohibit space operations.
Space litter can not yet be picked up. I know they are working on it, but the cost to do so is astronomical. Decarbonization will be cheaper. Of course, not every piece needs to be picked up.
I expect this won’t be solved and the only place where satellites will go eventually will be into a decaying orbit, like Starlink and will need to be replaced every so often. Gravity will ensure that the lowest portions of satellite orbits remain clear for future satellites. Eventually, all the higher spots will be non-useable due to junk. No one is going to volunteer to bankrupt their company or government to clean it up if there is another solution.
Several methods have already been tested. If you get low costs to orbit, and we are getting that, then you can go get the bigger pieces. The smaller ones can be de-orbited using lasers. Gravity does not clear low-orbit junk. It’s the tenuous atmosphere that exists at that level which gradually slows down the object to below orbital speed. There are already international agreements about space debris and companies are required to follow them otherwise they do not get authorization to launch.
100% papa. i like to do both. complain, but mostly laugh at the empire bread and circus as it implodes. but i’m watching out for me and mine by investing world wide and enjoy the game.
This is quite tiring. If you have nothing to say, then don’t. It is now universally known that your solution to everything is: “Buy oil stocks!”. You don’t have to say it again and again and again!
There is an easy solution to your problem. Hit the IGNORE button on me. I don’t care.
Meanwhile, keep reading all the morons here who spend their entire lives complaining, whining, bitching, and crying over things they have no control over. What a freaking waste of time. I guess you never get tired of all the whining. Right?
I do. That’s why I hit IGNORE on most of them.
El_Tedo
1 year ago
I don’t think these projections have been adjusted down for the accelerated aging and reduced lifespans resulting from covid vaccination. Pushing the jabs is probably the first fiscally conservative measure the government has taken in my lifetime.
The great reset will smooth out all these problems. Plus killing off seniors faster will help. Say, would you like some extra Soylent Green to go with your bugs?
Well Covid didn’t work and the vaccines are not killing enough people off fast enough
MPO45
1 year ago
Here is what will get done: Nothing. And what that means is that seniors will get progressively poorer and poorer and receive less and less access to healthcare even though they have medicare. I expect doctors and hospitals to increasingly reject medicare patient appointments.
America isn’t exactly known for its care and compassion of the elderly so why would it change now? It’s all about me..me..me in the US. How many comments have you read here alone making fun of Biden or Pelosi for being elderly.
I suspect we’ll be seeing stories in the news over the next decade about elderly abuse, senior being taken advantage of, robbed, etc especially in nursing homes. There is an old expression, “you reap what you sow” and that’s exactly what seniors are gonna get.
In Canada, euthanasia of the elderly (and now mentally ill) is growing, I expect that to come to America soon enough.
As for social security, it’s either cut the payments or let it go insolvent and then everyone gets a cut. Either way, seniors will have to do with less.
I agree nothing will get done, but not because America hates seniors. Seniors will not let anything happen. The easiest way to lose an election is to promise Social Security reform. Few over the age of 62 are willing to personally sacrifice for the future of the country. They are more concerned with the monthly checks continuing to come in. That is not a dig against the older generations, all generations act that way.
I am in my 30s. I would be willing to pay payroll taxes for the rest of my life without receiving the benefit of Social Security or Medicare if it meant the system would be fixed and my children would not inherit an insolvent nation. Unfortunately, without more willing to make personal sacrifices, nothing will change. I have a hard time blaming the politicians. We get what we vote for.
For my part I did my public service time with 8 years in the Navy. So you are right in that I’m not interested in further sacrifice for the future of the country.
By the way in case you don’t already know, you get no military pension unless you stay in for 20 years or are disabled from your service time. Military service does count for SS benefits though.
TRUE. in a nation of grifters everyone turns into a grifter. you seem like a needle in a haystack. i took the opposite approach. bleed them dry and chalk it up as an anti imperialist military protest. the quicker the empire unwinds the better for us all, domestically and internationally as fellow human primates. bombs away with biden and the D and R votes
Seems like a lot of the guys recently exercising their 2nd amendment rights at the general population are in their 60s and 70s. I would bet that as more hit the end of their rope, more are gonna act out in various ways. Keep an eye on those grouchy old guys… they may have nothing to lose and nowhere to put it.
The old stereotype of an old man shaking his cane yelling “get off my lawn” has turned into a gun wielding angry at the world mass shooter. As time progresses everything good and bad gets amplified so this tells you where things will be in 10 years. I’ll be reading about it from afar.
8dots
1 year ago
Our entitlements troubles are growing. Our troubles to supply Ukraine indicate that we are not ready for a prolong war, neither with
Russia, #2 most powerful army in the world behind US, or China #3. Definitely not against both.
‘This is not a moment to slow down’: U.S. says Ukraine making new gains
The battlefield advances come as nations pledge more arms for Kyiv ahead of a spring offensive.
01/23/2023 03:06 PM EST
Kyiv’s forces are taking ground around a strategic city in the eastern Luhansk region, a senior U.S. military official said Monday, ahead of what is expected to be a new Ukrainian counteroffensive to retake territory this spring.
While the front lines in the fight remain largely static, as winter weather makes it difficult for tanks and armored vehicles to move quickly, the Pentagon is seeing Ukraine beginning to make progress. The strategic city, Kreminna, is seen as a gateway to Sievierodonetsk and Lysychansk, two key industrial centers in the Donbas region that Russia seized last summer.
“What we’re seeing is Ukrainian counteroffensive operations, again, largely fluid in that area in terms of back and forth, making some incremental gains near Kreminna,” the official said, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive military operations.
The gains come as the U.S. and Western allies drastically ramp up support for Kyiv ahead of the expected spring counteroffensive. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin alluded to the upcoming operation last week after a meeting of defense ministers at Ramstein Air Base, Germany, noting that now is the time for the West to provide additional arms and training Ukraine needs to smash through Russian lines.
U.S. and allies pressure Germany over tanks for Ukraine
Puh-leeze! Russia never had the 2nd most powerful army in the world. It was all smoke and mirrors, which has been proven in Ukraine. 3rd rate countries like NK and Iran could kick Russia’s military rear end.
China’s real military strength is an unknown. Certainly better than Russia. But perhaps we will see for real when/if they attack Taiwan.
…. or when a few hundred thousand drones rise out of the pacific and raise hell with the west coast…
PreCambrian
1 year ago
Social Security (retirement) benefits are automatically cut if Social Security taxes do not cover them. Right now we are spending the “reserve” that has been built up. Since no one is willing to raise taxes then perhaps we should have all of our mandatory spending be automatically cut when taxes do not cover them.
My personal opinion is if we went back to the tax structure when George Bush (W) was in office, which was a sufficient level of taxation, then the government should live within its means. It makes people prioritize their spending. The Bush tax cut started a race of unfunded tax cuts which everyone found appealing. No they didn’t pay for themselves.
mr. WMD and global war on terror. W the dumber was a spend thrift grifter front man for a crime family……..
hmk
1 year ago
Another fix is to allow immigration for law abiding immigrants who will work and pay taxes. Secure the border though to allow appripriate inflow. These are so simple but it is beyond me why the dysfunctional politial system cannot come up with a solution. Every politician is catering to their money masters instead of doing what is right for the country. Evil, corrupt and incompetent best describes our political class.
FYI, the vast majority of new immigrants do not pay enough in taxes to cover the benefits they receive. That can change in subsequent generations, but happens years down the road.
EMS9233
1 year ago
Lol, if I trusted the government to run things I could fix healthcare. Yes, trust me I could fix everything.
hmk
1 year ago
Single payer funded by payroll and national sales tax will solve the medicare issue. Not popular amongs conservatives but a national discussion with relevant facts are in order. We have the worst health in the industialized world, rank dead last. Also per capita costs are a little less than double the rest of the world. That is a good starting point to look at. Just the savings in admin costs for the 1 million corrupt health insurance companies would reduce cost to begin with. Medicare has about a 5% admin cost vs private insurances which have a 20% or greater cost.
I peg the fraud in Medicare & Medicaid to be 1 Billion annually…….In addition, When they say Medicare for all, all is everyone in the world. I knew of people that received their green card only because they wanted to come here 2 to 3 times per year to get medical treatment they could not get from their country of origin. We can debate whether we should or should not allow that, but Medicare for all is not just talking about Americans whom have been here for a generation or more……..
The US already has a single payer system. It’s called “Medicare/Medicaid/VA”. And it is funded at that world rate you compare full US spending to. That is, about half of full US spending, per capita.
The US single payer system has been in place in its current form for 20 years. Variants for much longer. That’s enough time to judge its success. And, we can see that those who want to expand it are those who judge it most unsuccessful. Interesting.
Seems to me we’re living longer and healthier lives than any people in history.
EMS9233
1 year ago
Additionally, I heard there used to be 15 workers per retired person at the start of social security. I think we are just north of only 2 workers now. Check my facts I’m going on memory.
Taxing the robots has already been proposed. Whether to have a unit tax on each robot or a tax proportional to the number of humans replaced is up for debate.
Will the robot qualify for Medicare if it has 40 quarters of employment?
EMS9233
1 year ago
Lol. Mish, we currently have 181T in unfunded liabilities mostly, social security, medicare/Medicaid. In 2022 alone these 3 cost almost 2.8T 1/2 of the 4.6T we collected in taxes. This doesn’t include the 1.2T in infrastructure bill (late 2021) or the 1.7T omnibus bill including 850B in defense spending. Now, here’s another article. How does JP Mogan have about 3.7T assets, 2.8T in deposits but over 55T in credit and currency derivative swaps?? In 2000 CCD’s were roughly 88T and I’m sure by 08′ roughly 100T. Currently, CCD’s American Banks is north of 644T. So, what happens when hiccups occur? I would appreciate your input and thank you so much for your articles I really, really look forward to the emails!!!! Keep up the great work!
LawrenceBird
1 year ago
1/ Social security was never meant to be a retirement plan. No sympathy for seniors who lived large and saved not a penny counting on social security to get them through.
2/ I guess the large number of elderly deaths from Covid wasn’t enough to put a dent in these figures. Was the vax a mistake afterall? (said tongue in cheek)
i’m on SS and love the small pittance. but lawrencebird is correct. it was actuarially set up to only cover folks who out live the actuary tables. so let’s say 80 years old for kids born today. not sure the exact number. that is when it should kick in as it was set up for. it was just insurance, not a retirement plan. again, i’m 62 and gladly took SS last summer and just got a nice little 9% bump up. i’m happy to cash the pittance and buy myself a few fun things each month with it. but my kids are really paying. we all know this. i hope.
Hopefully you don’t rub their collective noses in it. Perhaps once per year you might give each of them a trifle of a pittance so they can enjoy something fun too. 🙂
Call_Me_Al
KidHorn
1 year ago
The country is run by senior citizen democrats. They want to funnel as much money as possible into their family before they die and couldn’t care less about the future of the country as a whole.
Correction – The country is run by senior citizen democratic POLITICIANS.
TexasTim65
1 year ago
#7 is the key point (#8 is just an expansion on that).
Americans in general are over paying for the services and drugs they get relative to other countries. That’s because big Pharma has captured both parties to ensure this continues. Unless that’s addressed none of the other points will really matter.
People need accept the cycle of life and not spend 90% of their lifetime health care in the final 6 months of life just to extend for a couple extra months.
That’s the real problem with health care. It costs way too much. Not high insurance costs. Insurance is expensive because health care is expensive. The ACA was supposed to fix this. It didn’t fix anything. Finding a way for some to afford insurance solves nothing. Really what it did was make sure this is never going to be fixed. You either believe the ACA fixed things or you’re in favor of letting grandma die.
Insurance is expensive because of lawyers (resulting in inflated cost of delivering health care) and insurers need for outsized profits. Secondary problem is the gaming of the system by big Pharma (who can still make plenty of money without doing so).
Spending all that money to get an extra month or two of life is ridiculous but if you ask doctors they will tell you that when someone is in the terminal phase they will 95% of the time opt to spend all that money to stay alive for just a little bit longer. Most often it has to be the decision of a family member to pull the plug.
Not me……..Told my son, around 80 to 85, will find tune it around then, if I can’t walk it, wheel me into my favorite vineyard in NY, in one arm give me my favorite red wine and morphine for the other arm…. Let me nudge which one I want to press on as the day goes on and hopefully its a sunny day surrounded my close friends and remaining family while I gum the brick oven pizza and its been a hell of a ride. God bless you all!
I would say the same but I haven’t been yet in terminal illness in the terminal phase so I don’t know what I would do especially since I would probably be under the influence of various drugs. My parents just hit 100 and they are still fine so maybe you better not kick the bucket at 80 to 85. You might sill have more life in you.
And my Dad just passed his driving test the day after his birthday. Living 50 years in Florida for didn’t hurt at all. I hope I inherited something but I might just revert to the norm.
Of course they opt to spend the money. Because it’s not theirs.
If they were spending their own money (selling homes and assets) then that’s fine. It’s their money and if that’s how they want to spend it, good for them. But they should not be allowed to spend tax payer money in that way. Once you hit the terminal stage we should only be spending money to ease pain (morphine and such) until you die.
Most folks don’t understand that that last 63 days of Medicare in the hospital helps underwrite the emergency room.
dbannist
1 year ago
People do not ever change unless forced to.I don’t expect any leadership out of Washington. Real leadership would say “hey, there’s a problem ahead, let’s see if we can steer around it”.
Politicians want to get elected and anyone who says “let’s reform SS” will not get elected. That’s baked in. Therefore, people will keep voting themselves free stuff (Republican and Democrat) until it’s insolvent and then and only then will reform happen. That’s going to be an absolute mess, probably worse than Lehman in terms of long term affects on the US economy.
Taxes will absolutely go up. I expect small reforms to happen on the welfare side as a concession, but it won’t be much.Inflation will be the major problem of the next 20 years. It’s gonna keep rearing its ugly head.
My investment advice is to absolutely buy everything you can that’s inflation protected. I personally love Barrick Gold, Petrobas (considered risky, but it’s got a PE of just 2, with massive earnings growth ahead) and Canadian energy stocks. I also own real estate that in income generating. I hope to come out fine in 20 years when I’m ready to retire.
Avery
1 year ago
That guy from 31 years ago …big ears…talked funny…mocked by corporate media.
Let that sink in.
link to investopedia.com.
We saw how well that went over in France! Americans are a little more timid however. SS intent was to give you some money for your last 5 years of life. People are taking SS into the 90s! The ponzi model broke down. They are retired longer than they worked sometimes.
Ahh remember those tax cuts the bean counters said will lose billions over the next ten years.
Couple of un funded wars.
Space junk can and will put a ceiling on what Starlink and SpaceX can do.It’s a major problem with no known solution and getting worse each year. This will absolutely cause major problems going forward and the cascade of debris is not far off, unless a solution is found.
I expect this won’t be solved and the only place where satellites will go eventually will be into a decaying orbit, like Starlink and will need to be replaced every so often. Gravity will ensure that the lowest portions of satellite orbits remain clear for future satellites. Eventually, all the higher spots will be non-useable due to junk. No one is going to volunteer to bankrupt their company or government to clean it up if there is another solution.
link to img.ifunny.co
Politicians want to get elected and anyone who says “let’s reform SS” will not get elected. That’s baked in. Therefore, people will keep voting themselves free stuff (Republican and Democrat) until it’s insolvent and then and only then will reform happen. That’s going to be an absolute mess, probably worse than Lehman in terms of long term affects on the US economy.
Taxes will absolutely go up. I expect small reforms to happen on the welfare side as a concession, but it won’t be much.Inflation will be the major problem of the next 20 years. It’s gonna keep rearing its ugly head.
My investment advice is to absolutely buy everything you can that’s inflation protected. I personally love Barrick Gold, Petrobas (considered risky, but it’s got a PE of just 2, with massive earnings growth ahead) and Canadian energy stocks. I also own real estate that in income generating. I hope to come out fine in 20 years when I’m ready to retire.