Vote As Soon as You Can
- One thing Democrats could do—with basically no strategic downside—is to hammer home the message that voters should ask for and return their mail ballots as early as possible, which makes it more likely they’ll be included in tallies on election night.
- In most states, mail ballots received by Election Day will be counted with other ballots on election day; in some states they’ll even be counted first, in fact. It’s ballots postmarked by E-Day but not yet received (allowed in some states but not all) that can cause a late shift.
- But if Democrats return their ballots sooner, the late shift could be mitigated or even reversed. There’s maybe the slightest hint of that already in North Carolina, where Democrats represent 49% of absentee ballot *requests* but 54% of ballots *returned* so far.
The above courtesy of a Nate Silver Twitter Thread.
Some states allow early voting in person. That’s also a good solution for those worried about lines and Covid.
There were some objections to Silver’s Tweets. One concerned Ohio where if you request a mail-in ballot you have to vote mail-in or by a provisional vote if you change your mind.
I fail to understand the objection. Request a ballot early and vote early if you want to vote by mail. If you delay too long, then vote in person.
Four Pivotal States Likely Will Not be Called Election Evening
Please consider Why Four Pivotal Swing States Likely Won’t Be Called On Election Night
- The Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that ballots can arrive as late as Nov. 6 and still count as long as no evidence (e.g., a postmark) exists that they were mailed after Election Day (Nov. 3).
- A state judge in Michigan decreed that ballots can be counted as long as they are postmarked by the day before the election (Nov. 2) and received by Nov. 17.
- A federal judge ordered Wisconsin to count absentee ballots that are postmarked by Nov. 3 as long as they arrive by Nov. 9.
- And North Carolina reached a tentative court settlement with plaintiffs that, among other things, would allow ballots to count as long as they are postmarked by Nov. 3 and arrive by Nov. 12. (However, the settlement still needs to be approved by a judge before it officially goes into effect.)
Legal Challenges to State Rulings
The GOP legislative leaders in Wisconsin have already appealed that decision to the 7th Circuit Court of Appeals, and Republicans say they plan to take the Pennsylvania decision to the U.S. Supreme Court.
Potential Impact
The rulings, if upheld, and they should be, would give a tiny boost to Democrats.
If the challenges are upheld late enough, it could impact the outcome of the election in Pennsylvania or Wisconsin.
Either way, it increases the odds we do not know who won on election night.
Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and North Carolina are swing states. If all four go uncalled on election night, then we likely will not have a declared winner.
Wisconsin Twist
The Wisconsin appeal will be heard by a three-judge panel of the 7th Circuit Court of Appeals in Chicago.
That court includes Judge Amy Coney Barrett. It’s unknown whether Barrett will wind up on the panel that hears the Wisconsin voting case.
Pennsylvania
The Pennsylvania Case may be much ado over nothing.
Republicans are asking the Supreme Court to weigh in only on the state court’s ruling pushing back the deadline for mail ballots to arrive. The state court ruled that such ballots must be counted if they are postmarked by Nov. 3 — and even if they are not, “unless a preponderance of the evidence” shows that the ballots were mailed after Election Day.
Republicans argued that the ruling allows ballots to be counted even if they are cast after Election Day. “The Elections Clause of the United States Constitution vests the authority to regulate the times, places, and manner, of federal elections to Pennsylvania’s General Assembly, subject only to alteration by Congress, not this Court,” the Republicans wrote to the state court on Tuesday. The Hill first reported the filing. Democrats said they will oppose the GOP’s efforts to delay implementation of the new ballot deadline.
There are two issues in the Pennsylvania lawsuit. The first involves ballots postmarked by November 3. Those should be counted. And if they are, the second challenge is trivial.
The second issue pertains to counting late ballots “unless a preponderance of the evidence” shows that the ballots were mailed after Election Day.
The percentage of ballots with a missing or illegible postmark received after election day has to be miniscule.
In Pennsylvania you can easily request a mail-in ballot. So the simple remedy is to vote early.
Main-In Ballots Automatically Sent
Mail-in Applications Automatically Sent
All Voters Can Request a Mail-in Ballot
Voters Need an Excuse (Covid Does Not Count)
Mail in Voting Rules
The above maps from NPR’s Mail-In Voting Rules By State.
Except for five states that do not rate to figure prominently on election night (Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Tennessee, and Indiana) voters have ample time to vote early by mail if they wish to do so.
Of those five states, it is conceivable, but not likely for Democrats to flip Texas.
Some Texas polls are within margins of error but Trump has about a 75% chance of winning that state by my estimation.
What Happens if Trump Refuses to Leave?
Please consider What Happens if Trump Refuses to Leave?
The concern is not about Trump refusing to leave if he loses. Rather, it’s about steps he could take or states could take to declare the election invalid or come up with two sets of electors.
Trump and the states are not powerless. Pennsylvania could become a powderkeg if the vote count is very close.
94% Say Their Mind is Made Up
Note that In the Presidential Election, 94% Say Their Mind is Made Up
If your mind is made up, then there is no excuse (except in 5 states) for not getting a mail-in ballot and voting early.
If you wish to decide later, then do so early enough that mail-in delays do not rate to be a problem or just vote in person.
Strong Advantage Biden
Made up minds benefit the person in the lead.
Like it or not, it is preposterous to suggest anything but a clear and substantial Biden lead.
Biden’s lead is not insurmountable, however. Trump can still put it out.
But Biden is a solid favorite now and Trump needs a dramatic late reversal to pull out a victory.
Trump’s challenges on mail-in voting (and other nonsensical Tweets) may very well be a huge effort to vote early.
The main irony is that early voting includes some who would not bother showing up on a bad-weather day to vote in person on election day.
In that regard, Trump’s Tweets are counterproductive for him winning, but he just cannot shut his mouth.
Mish
Which other countries do mail-in voting? Curious. Foreigners I know used to laugh out-loud about not requiring voter-ID. Now they’re falling over and rolling on the ground with giggles.
Best vote before Tuesday’s debate, when everyone will see Hidden is an empty suit.
Nevada and Colorado are not going Blue because of mail-in voting.
NV is going blue because of an influx of people moving there from elsewhere.
CO is an environmental state.
Don’t be surprised to see some states in the NorthEast where the majority is strongly white go the other way.
I think Colorado has a lot in common with NV when it comes to population increase. Almost 1 million people have moved there since the 2010 census and I think quite a lot of that was from the true blue west coast where people simply can’t afford housing anymore. Making Denver almost as unaffordable. My best friend in Oregon (two good friends in fact) moved there, and Mish I think it goes a lot further than simply being an environmental state, though that is true. In their last election they voted in Governor Polis who is not only a preogressive democrat but an openly gay man as well. That takes some democgraphic shifting.
I also think this is why AZ is in play, it is estimated that 7.3 million people live there now, in a state as arid as that it makes you wonder where they plan to get the water they will need. This is up from 6.392 million in the last census. Again most of the increase is from other western states.
Even Utah went from 2.76 to 3.2 million and all but a few were from the coast, the rest seem to be from Illinois. 🙂
Texas has increase by 4 million, that is huge. Florida up 2.4 million even with it’s dodgy reputation.
These are demographic shifts that spell trouble as the areas grow ever more urban in character because as I have pointed out often enough the problems of urban areas are far FAR different from rural areas, they are a lot more complex and usually a lot more expensive. That was why your old home state was so purple red in the counties outside of Chicago and it’s suburbs, and that is why the rural red republicans basically cannot win, they are outnumbered. But when it comes to the unequal distribution of senators and of course president the red rural areas have far and away more representation, especially in the senate, and that was okay when it was not a third of a billion people, 85% of whom live in urban areas. Now those people are so underrepresented that I honestly believe we will have to go to a unicameral government of something like 900 representatives only.
This is pointed up nicely by the fact that Wyoming has two senators for it’s 563,000 people – that is about 282,000 people per senator. California has 40 million people so 20 million per senator, that level of unequal power is not tolerable.
Perhaps we need a feature in the constitution that says in order to qualify for statehood your state must have a minimum of two million and a maximum of 5 million. Force larger states to break apart at 5 million and combine smaller states till they reach the threshold for statehood.
What the answer is I do not know, but we have is unacceptable.
Northern California should be made their own state and Eastern California as well and this would create two Republican states.
Northern Nevada could be their own state too and this would create another Republican state.
Colorado could be split in two and leave with the other the Democrat areas and the other with the Republican areas.
Virginia could be split into two and leave the Democrat voting Federal Government bureaucrats in the other and the rest of the state that is heavily Republican to the other part and maybe call that Southern Virginia,
etc.
etc.
Beware what you wish for.
California has way too many house members.
They should have 5-8 house members less and would have 5-8 house members less if the census based on which house seats are allocated to the states would NOT count illegal immigrants for house seat allocation purposes.
I tolerate a lot of dissent but direct personal attacks – Goodbye
Do Not Respond to Trolls
I have a simple mechanism to delete every comment a person makes and if if I decide someone is a Troll I do just that.
Any responses get automatically deleted as well.
DontTreadOnMe is the latest – Bye
What a mess. I don’t personally think mail is voting is a good idea at all. It centralizes a process and fewer people controlling more power is never a good thing.
It’s pretty simple. You walk up, you show a document with your name on it and you vote. If you don’t have ONE document with your name on it you don’t deserve to get a vote.
Democracy never works for very long. It had a good run but I expect it’s time is coming to an end. Humans always cheer their own demise.
In all Western European countries you have to show ID to vote.
In less developed countries outside of Europe they dip your finger in permanent ink that last for several days to make sure you only vote once.
USA has neither of these systems.
USA should make ID mandatory to vote like Europe does.
In Europe early votes work as follows:
You go to a designated early voting place, provide your ID and make the vote individually in the booth and then place it in a closed envelope and it is stamped by the early voting official and dropped into a box that will be taken to the counting place where the counts start in the morning of the election date so the early votes are all counted when polls close that day and then they start counting the voting days votes.
There is no leaks of the early voting totals because this is highly regulated and the counters are spending that day just counting and will continue counting into the night and there are representatives from each party able to be in the counting place to make sure there are no irregularities and each vote is looked at by several counters.
It is totally anti-Democratic to mail people their mail-in ballots in their homes and then have them fill them out in their homes because this leads to pressure and coercion to vote a certain way from family members and relatives in quite many cases.
I think it good to complete your ballot at home.
My ballot will have:
10 local issues
2 school issues
11 state issues
4 judges
1 state rep
1 state board of education
1 each: US rep, Senator, President
Do you really want me standing in the queue ahead of you?
I just look at voting differently than most people. I personally have never had to wait to vote but I understand areas differ by density.
Replacing a system that has worked very well for a long time in one of the most decisive elections in recent memory just doesn’t seem like a good idea. The system we have while in convent at times has worked well.
At this point I don’t think it matters though. One side is promising money for votes and that always signals the end of any democratic system.
I’d be with you, if the government would provide enough voting resources for the walk up and show ID experience to be < 20 minutes. Unfortunately, we have lines like the DMV for voting. Until that’s fixed, mail in is really the only viable option.
Easy Solution.
Just copy Colorado’s system.
No one in my state is worried about their vote being counted.
75% just drop their ballots into big steel boxes.
Or Oregon where there are no polling stations and haven’t been in 20 years, all voting there is by mail and they have a better participation rate by mail than they used to when people had to go to a polling station. They have convicted like 10 people from the 2016 election for vote fraud out of more than 2.1 million votes cast which is a fraud rate of about 0.00000476% and so much for the orange fat ass’s wild claims that mail in balloting is prone to fraud, he must have been thinking about republican states because in blue Oregon it does not happen.
10 Oregon voters plead guilty to voter fraud in 2016 …www.oregonlive.com › politics › 2019/04 › 10-oregon…
Apr 29, 2019 – SALEM – Ten people in Oregon have been convicted so far in voter fraud cases stemming from the 2016 election.
That was out of about 50 suspected fraudulent votes.
I don’t understand why a reasoning person would choose to vote before any of the debates. Can Biden still handle himself? Will Harris be any better than Trump?
Because even if Biden, on day two of his Presidency died, and saw his presidency out “Weekend at Bernie’s” style. He would still do less HARM to the country than Trump.
Trump has destroyed and degraded so much of the US in just 4 years. The country and the world desperately doesn’t need 4 more.
The fact that we are even discussing these things is proof that Trump SHOULD have been removed from office and the fact that he was not rests upon the shoulders of the GOP which “tried” him without calling any witnesses.
Given this why would anyone still vote for any republican anywhere?
As far as mail in ballots go, I think most democrats now see that even if they requested and got one they will not vote it but instead not risk its not counting and go to the polls in person anyway, in spite of the threats by republicans. I know I will be going to my local polling place and casting my ballot in person.
Part of my reason is this, my signature looks different enough each time I sign that a corrupt election official selectively deleting dem ballots can use that as an excuse to pull mine – as if a corrupt election official in Florida actually needs an excuse. There was a time before chip enabled debit and credit cards when we had to sign for almost every transaction like checks, but in the years since maybe once every other month at most. I can barely even hold a pen these days no less have a signature look like it used to.
If I have to fight my way into the local Methodist Church that serves as this precinct’s polling station through a mob of armed redneck republicans then I will, I am not going to be denied my part in getting rid of Trump and restoring democracy to the US.
” I worry that if Biden is elected there will be massive overspending by the government.”
You do realize that in three years the administration brought back trillion dollar deficits, right?
LM, such a master of understatement. Obama inherited a budget from Bush that carried the largest deficit on record to that point as well as the global financial collapse, and that actually was why McCain could not win even when lifelong democrats like me voted for him. More than $1.2 trillion in his first year because Bush had to spend the money but refused to tax to pay for it.
Over eight years he got that deficit cut by more than half, and Trump has already added well over $6 trillion in new debt in his three budgets so far, his fourth which begins next week will have a deficit of $2 trillion more and that is if the congress does not pass another couple trillion in Covid relief. His final budget deficit could be over $4 trillion by itself.
Here is an odd tidbit though that Mish might want to squirrel away in his endless vault of knowledge, the US Treasury Department under Munchkin has terminated public access to the searchable DEBT TO THE PENNY function at the treasury website. You use to be able to go and type in a date and or a range of dates and get the starting balance and the ending balance to the actual penny on that/those days, and copy the results. It was taken down and a new version that I cannot make work put up in it’s place. So I would have typed January 20, 2017 and got the starting balance of the debt and then today’s date and see where it stands right now, subtract the smaller from the larger and presto you have the Trump deficit to the actual penny.
I do recall it was just a few hundred million below $20 Trillion that sad day when he took office. $26,786,132,350,375.35 as of Friday. So as you can see Trump’s first three FY budgets are already at an average of $2 trillion per year. We will hit $27 trillion before October 1, 2020 which is the start of FY 2021.
Nice post. I too had notice that change by the USTD but thought it might be an error… I guess now it confirms that public access to that data has been removed. In January of 2017 I imagined the US debt by 2021 to be around 25 trillion and then again by 2024 about 30 trillion. IMHO those numbers will now be shattered and by 2028 the total debt will be over 35-40 trillion. Trump campaigned on totally paying the national debt…. Imagine that? I new he couldn’t do it. Just mind boggling. Here is a link I found posted today about the trillion debt bomb coming.
Help! I live in NC and have already received my mail in ballot but I still don’t know who to vote for- Biden or Trump?! I’m annoyed at the democrats for the delays on more stimulus and for wanting to spend so much. I worry that if Biden is elected there will be massive overspending by the government. Although the spending would likely benefit me and my family I’m on the fence. Also concerned about the protests continuing if Trump wins. I disagree with the protesters but feel they won’t stop until Trump is gone. Don’t know what to do…. not vote if undecided or just go ahead and make up my mind? Voted for Trump last time. I’m registered as independent.
M in NC, if you can look at Trump and his henchmen in the senate and not be shaken to your core then I can predict right now you will vote for him, and it is the last ballot you will probably ever cast that is counted or means anything. If it comes down to theoretical dollars and cents to you then you should vote for Trump, even though he has added $6 trillion to the deficit in his first three budgets, that is nearly a 400% increase per year in debt over Obama’s last budget he inherited. I would say look at what he does and not what he says. Bush left the nation with an economy that was ravaged by the global financial collapse and the biggest deficit ever. Obama slashed that deficit by more than half and it took 8 years but got us back to a functional economy again. Trump has drown us in debt and now we have an economy far worse than the GFC was. Still think the republicans are good at economics?
If like reasonable people you see that this vote is about a last chance to save democracy itself then you will vote for Biden.
I am a democrat in Florida and I have always been a pretty liberal person, because I believe that people should be able to live their lives as they want to. That does not mean I am inflexible, I did vote for Reagan against Carter, and for McCain against Obama, though I did like Obama and voted for his reelection. Some people did not like how he governed but given how the senate GOP blocked him and refused anything he tried to do, the way his nominees could not get any hearings, the gridlock they imposed on the democrats it is a wonder we survived to the 2016 elections at all. Biden was not my first choice or even second, and I do not like Harris at all, but as a veteran I would vote for a ham sandwich before I would vote for a man that refers to our war dead as suckers and losers.
If we get this vote wrong dollars are going to be the very least of your worries.
That claim that Trump called dead American soldiers in France “suckers and losers” by anonymous sources aka two fired people previously in the Trump administration (or totally invented sources by The Atlantic which is fervently pro-Democrat) has been DEBUNKED by many people including John Bolton who spent that day with Trump and Bolton hates Trump since Trump made him resign and Bolton wrote a nasty book about Trump.
You Democrats have nothing but lies and lying left to try to convince people to vote for Joe “dementia” Biden.
Joe Biden has called American soldiers “‘Dull, Stupid Bastards” and it is on video and it is spreading so rapidly that even anti-Trump CNN was forced to make a news article about it to keep the little credibility they have left:
Sorry you russian troll but I do not feed fascist trolls anymore. I am just surprised Mish tolerates your bent posts! At best you are a willing tool of the russian FSB and at worst you ARE russian FSB. Take your QAnon bullshit and shove it.
Calm down there, Herkie. I too have accused people of being Russian trolls, but figure it’s probably best not to engage them. It’s possible that someone who has the time to write a 1,000 word response buried deep in blog comments could be A) a Russian agent, B) unemployed, and/or C) copy and pasting this in from somewhere. Remember that there are also a huge number of Americans that choose to get their news Fox filtered, if not from other more extreme right sources.
Besides, do you really want to get on the bad side of a Russian agent?
Ash, I welcome it.
If trump wins, your vote will never have meaning again…. so there’s that.
If Joe Biden wins Democrats will control USA for the next 50-100 years because Joe Biden has promised amnesty and US citizenship to all ILLEGAL immigrants currently in USA and there are 29.5 million ILLEGAL immigrants in USA currently according to MIT-Yale study from 2018 so that means 29.5 million new Democrat voters enabling Democrats to win the presidency and house and very likely the Senate too for the next 50-100 years even if they completely embrace AOC/Sanders socialist wing’s policies that Biden has partly taken as his own already.
Those 29.5 million new US citizens will also become eligible for SNAP-EBT food stamps, federal tax credits, state welfare systems, Section-8 housing, Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security etc. and this will lead to tens of millions new users for those programs leading either to cuts in those programs or trillions of dollars of new debt every year as long as the eye can see.
The Biden amnesty will also attract tens of millions of new ILLEGAL immigrants to USA to wait for the next amnesty thereby lowering/stagnating wages for all working class Americans worse than the current 29.5 million illegal immigrants have done for tens of years and stealing tens of millions new jobs from Americans in addition to the tens of millions jobs the current 29.5 million illegal immigrants have already stolen.
Vote for Joe Biden is a vote for the destruction of USA in my opinion.
“Joe Biden has promised amnesty and US citizenship to all ILLEGAL immigrants currently in USA”
which would be awesomely wonderful.
Open Borders !
Again with the russian trolls here, you are a liar and a fraud, you cannot post a link to support your claims because there is zero truth in them. Go back to Moscow where the food smells like boiled garbage and the women are WOOF are they even women at all?
I won’t tell you who to vote for, but I’ll tell you some of the things that will influence my vote.
I will not vote for someone that has blatantly broken the law while in office. Mueller dedicated an entire volume of his report documenting the case that Trump obstructed justice during his investigation.
I will not vote for someone that uses public funds for his personal benefit. Trump withheld aid to Ukraine in exchange for an announcement of an investigation into his political rival.
I will not vote for someone who refuses to take the responsibility of leading the country during the greatest crisis we’ve faced in the last 75 years. In the first months of the pandemic, states were bidding against each other AND the federal government for supplies. Even now, we’re 6 months in, and what is our federal response? What is our national strategy? All I see is experts saying one thing, and the White House reversing it within hours. It’s been a mess, and the only clear message has been “you’re on your own”.
Reagan once said, “are you better off now than you were 4 years ago?” Well, are you? Has the Trump admin improved your life on any way over the past 3.5 years?
The Mueller investigation was totally corrupt and full of Democrats that wanted to get rid of Trump.
The Mueller Special Counsel investigation should have NEVER been even started because the original reason was the totally debunked fraudulent Steele Dossier ordered and paid for by Hillary Clinton and DNC with bogus claims told by a subsource who was a Russian living permanently in USA and working for a Democrat thinktank who admitted to making up stuff with his drinking buddies.
This totally bogus Steele Dossier bounced around US intelligence and was used as the pretext to have Trump campaign under surveillance through Carter Page and NSA’s two-hop rule (When Carter Page called somebody and that somebody called Trump all three could be under NSA surveillance etc.)
The FBI lied to the FISA court repeatedly to get renewals even while Trump was already president by claiming to the FISA court that the subsource to the Steele Dossier had been “truthful” when in fact the subsource had said all the claims were bogus and just bar talk and rumors.
20+ investigators assigned to Mueller investigation “accidentally” wiped their phones when DOJ inspector general started looking into the Mueller investigation:
So it is clear the Mueller investigation was a conspiracy to GET TRUMP and they tried to get Lt. Gen. Flynn to LIE about Trump and when he would not do it they decided to punish him and the court case is still pending after the judge refused to dismiss the case even after DOJ said it should be dismissed because they found lot of wrongdoing by the investigators in Mueller’s team and FBI including not giving all the documents showing they had no case to the Flynn defense and instead got him to plea by threatening to prosecute his son for a foreign agent registration violation because Flynn had done some work for Turkey’s government and Flynn’s son had worked in his firm.
Later it was revealed the FBI agents themselves said there was no problem with the registration so FBI lied to Flynn and threatened him and his son.
The FBI agents in Mueller’s team even bought professional liability insurance for themselves because they were so convinced the Mueller/FBI investigation was totally rotten to the core and they would be taken to court if the truth would be revealed.
Many agents joked that the leaders of the investigation really led by Andrew Weismann (Mueller was just a figure head who did not know his own report when questioned on it in Senate/House) were playing “Collusion Clue” where just talking to somebody who had talked to somebody was evidence of collusion.
Latest news is that CIA analysts thought that Russia wanted Hillary Clinton to win but the Obama loyalist and ex-communist CIA director Brennan did not want that in the 17 intelligence agencies assessment so he put his own loyalists to write the report that totally left out facts that showed Russia wanted Hillary Clinton to win and only claimed that Russia wanted Trump to win.
The 17 intelligence agencies assessment was written by CIA under Brennan and FBI under Comey and NSA wanted to wash it’s hands of it since signal intelligence did NOT support it’s claims so NSA only put in that they have “moderate” confidence in the reports claims.
The rest of the intelligence agencies were just tacked on to make it seem that the Brennan/Comey hatchet job had more weight.
Russia wanting Hillary Clinton to win was perfectly logical since Hillary Clinton was the one who led State department when Russian government controlled company was given the OK to buy Uranium One and with it 20% of US uranium reserves and after the sellers of Uranium One “donated” hundreds of millions to Clinton Foundation and Russia invited Bill Clinton to make 1-hour speech in a Russian government run event and paid Bill Clinton 500k for it so Russia knew Hillary Clinton can be bought and Clinton would have likely continued the Obama policy of REFUSING to sell Ukraine guns and missiles.
Trump REVERSED the Obama policy and Trump allowed US weapons manufacturers to sell Ukraine guns and Javelin missiles to defend against Russia
If USA was a working Democracy all the facts about Mueller investigations shadiness would be the lead story for every news organization and all the FBI agents in the Mueller investigation who “accidentally” wiped their phones would be sitting in PRISON for criminal conspiracy.
The revelations that Hunter Biden got 3.5 million dollars as a wire transfer from Moscow Mayors wife who are part of Putin’s elite clearly shows that Russia has BOUGHT Joe Biden already and since it was revealed that Hunter Biden has been fucking sex-trafficked Ukrainian and Russian prostitutes it is clear Russia has those on tape as “compromat” aka compromising evidence that can be used to blackmail so Russia has Joe Biden in Russian control several ways already.
Also China is 100% certain to have Joe Biden and Hunter Biden on tape from the time Joe Biden took Hunter Biden along for official state visit to China when he was Vice-President and Hunter Biden got 1.5 billion aka 1500 million investment from Chinese government owned Bank of China despite no qualifications to invest that money and spending his time drinking heavily, snorting coke and doing crack and getting strippers pregnant so China will be in control of Joe Biden if he becomes president.
The way Joe Biden BRAGGED in a conference how he got that Ukrainian prosecutor looking into Burisma corruption fired by threatening Ukraine’s government that they would not get the promised 1 billion in loan guarantees if the prosecutor was NOT fired before Biden’s Air Force 2 left Ukraine shows that Joe Biden’s brain has been melting for a long time because that is a textbook example of corruption when Joe Biden’s son Hunter Biden was on Burisma board getting 80k+ a month aka 1+ million a year despite not knowing anything about Ukraine, not knowing Ukrainian language, not knowing anything about oil and gas and NOT even going to Ukraine.
Hunter Biden himself said in a New Yorker interview that he spent the time on his apartment getting drunk and around USA doing drugs and went once fishing in Norway with the Burisma owning oligarch and once went to Monaco for some meeting and snorted coke.
Joe Biden was BOUGHT by the oligarch owning Burisma by giving Hunter Biden a board seat in Burisma.
Joe Biden was BOUGHT because the Burisma owning oligarch wanted Joe Biden to stop investigations into Burisma corruption and there was a lot of corruption because Burisma founder was Ukraine’s Resources Minister and spent years giving Burisma oil and gas rights around Ukraine and thereby ROBBED Ukraine’s people and Ukraine as a country.
Joe Biden has also helped his brothers through CORRUPTION by getting his brothers State Department foreign aid to start projects abroad with companies/organizations who have hired Biden’s brothers and paid them huge salaries because they are Joe Biden’s brothers and could get this money.
Part of Joe Biden’s corruption is when he partly wrote and sponsored laws on bankruptcy and creditcards when he was in Senate and these were very favorable for creditcard companies and banks and as a textbook example of corruption around this time Hunter Biden was hired with a huge salary and luxury office by MBNA which was one of the biggest creditcard companies.
Hunter had NO qualifications for that job either like he did NOT have qualifications to sit on Burisma board and like he did NOT have qualifications to get 1.5 billion aka 1500 million from Bank of China to invest for them and take fat fees from that investment.
There should have been written a book called “Guide for Corrupt Politicians on how to use your political positions to make your relatives, family and children filthy rich.
Hunter Biden is most likely doing drugs like Cocaine and crack and drinking like a sponge because he knows his whole life is a fraud and the result of corruption starting from that MBNA job.
Strongly disagree with your statements on the Mueller investigation. Sounds like you’re saying that a subject of an investigation can choose to provide false and misleading statements to investigators if they determine that the investigation was politically motivated, or started under false pretenses – which I think is a very dangerous position to have.
To be fair, can the subjects of the Durham investigation also provide false and misleading statements if they think that the investigation is political, or was started under false pretenses?
You shouldn’t feel pressured to vote at all. This game of “lesser evilism” is not only pathetic, but it explains much of how we got to this low point.
We already know what our economic future is, and that remains constant regardless of which team wins this round in November.
Good piece, Mish. The four states you mentioned really, really need to make some changes so that this potential problem isn’t a problem in some future election. Too late this time, unfortunately.
I will be voting in person. I recommend it. If I’m still breathing, I will show up this time.
Trump has managed to convince some of the electorate we have election fraud despite lack of evidence. This country is clearly becoming stupid. Just watched a clip of Republican lawyer Ginsberg discuss. Its absurd we’ve even elevated this non issue to a debate on how to fix it
There will be massive voter-fraud in many Democrats controlled states.
The New Jersey election gives an example:
New Jersey only found the fraud BECAUSE:
“But in Paterson, there were procedures in place that enabled authorities to flag questionable ballots, notice that signatures did not match, or were bundled together in violation of state law or were voted in the name of another.”
Democrats have got rid of signature verification in many states.
Democrats allow bundling ballots together aka “ballot harvesting” in many states.
There is no way to catch people voting in the name of another when there is no signature verification and it easy to vote in the name of another when the states send automatic mail-in ballots to every voter leading to the ballots ending up in wrong addresses due to people having moved out or dying.
Also there will be massive amounts of co-coercion from crazed Democrats towards their family members and relatives and especially elderly parents to vote for Democrats.
I heard the voice of Hank Hill will reading this comment. Very sensible.
And, the mail in ballots found in a post office dumpster in PA???
Yeah, it looks like Mr. 3d chess is screwing up to win the election straight up by getting everybody riled up to vote. High turnouts don’t work well for R’s. Maybe he has made the judgement that he can’t win outright so needs to find some way to steal the election. One open question is what this does to the Senate races. Graham has a weak lead, and no money left. SC looks like it has straightforward mail in voting and in person early voting.
LM, it is hard these days to put faith in polling, but given that is the only evidence we have of the political mood of the country I would say the republicans are in very deep caca. In reality the fact that Graham is dead even tied with an African American male political novice in South Carolina; home of Strom Thurmond, pretty much sums up how deep that caca really is. That Graham is far FAR behind in campaign financing is yet another though I do not like to indicate our elections come down to funds in the bank, I prefer to think of it as people voting with their dollars and a good indication as to how they will vote with ballots in hand.
There are several deep red states where the republican incumbents are polling at or below the tied mark like Alaska, like Montana, like SC, like NC though that state is not as red as it used to be, like Gardener in Colorado, though I also would no longer call that state red anymore either, like Arizona, and other GOP senators that are in trouble and appear to be losing, like Collins in Maine, like Cornyn in Texas who has been up by 1 or 2% well within the margin of polling error. Like Joni Earnst in Iowa who is trailing Greenfield the democrat.
All those races could go either way except for Collins, McSally, Tillis, and Gardener who need actual miracles to stay in office. Even in the deepest red state in the nation, Alabama, the democrat incumbent will lose but not nearly by the margin that the GOP expected. And this tells me that because so many races are so close it will come down to black voter turnout. Even Alabama could turn the red tide if every voter votes.
I am also going to my polling station to vote in person, and if I find it blocked or if I find any intimidation of ANY kind I will be calling the cops to see to it my vote counts. There really is no state more crucial than this one, in a fair election we can deny trump Florida and while I think a reasonable electoral count as it now stands means even Florida cannot save the orange fat ass I want to see the biggest landslide possible so he cannot claim it was rigged. And we know he will, it is simple, he SAID he was going to call it rigged many times. He plans to attack the integrity of this election and the only way to stop him is if all democrats vote.
I think it is more likely that leftists and Antifa and extremists from BLM will be intimidating voters in polling places based on their behavior this summer and autumn.
“It’s unknown whether Barrett will wind up on the panel that hears the Wisconsin voting case”. She’d side-step that one in a hurry, to avoid the publicity and conflict of interest accusations.
Canon 1: A Judge Should Uphold the Integrity and Independence of the Judiciary
Canon 2: A Judge Should Avoid Impropriety and the Appearance of Impropriety in All Activities
Canon 3: A Judge Should Perform the Duties of the Office Fairly, Impartially and Diligently
Canon 4: A Judge May Engage in Extrajudicial Activities That are Consistent With the Obligations of Judicial Office
Canon 5: A Judge Should Refrain From Political Activity
Compliance with the Code of Conduct
Applicable Date of Compliance. March 18 2019
None of those canons ever restrained the likes of Thomas or Scalia or even Rhenquist, republicans are in a dwindling political minority and cannot afford ethics. This woman is a cult member and a deeply brainwashed far right fascist. She would get an abortion herself before she would do the right thing on the court by recusing herself and that is something I would bet the deed to my house on (if that were legal).
At the risk of being kicked off Mish’s site: Why does this seem to be about what Democrat voters can do? I must be missing a nuance. Why not all voters?
It applies to everyone
But Trump’s message and the way he states it is not beneficial to his goal.
Hi, and I appreciate the clarification. To be clear, I am not a citizen–I do not have a horse in the race. This election (presidential) is between a circus clown and a zombie. That said, what I see happening is very distressing given what lies ahead…
If Trump’s goal is to motivate every Republican to vote because they think Democrats are trying to steal the election I think Trump’s message however clumsily put is working.
If Trumps goal is to make Democrats nervous so they would not do the kinds of mail-in ballot fraud that are possible I think Trump’s message is working.
It is however likely that Trump’s messaging is causing Democrat leaning voters to vote in states with mail-in ballots sent to every voter that otherwise might not have voted on election day but this is more about the fact that those states send everyone mail-in ballots.
Republicans can forget Nevada and Colorado because they are definitely going to Democrats thanks to mail-in ballots.
Let’s see if California will have any Republican house members left after “ballot harvesting” that was first used in 2018.
Not to worry, we will still have Devon Nunez and his cow and his lawsuits.
Don’t call her a COW! Show some respect, some girlfriends are just a little more bovine than others, she can’t help being a Taurus!
By the way, last year I bought a cowbell on Amazon and had it shipped to his office in Clovis.
Nevada and Colorado are not going Blue because of mail-in voting.
NV is going blue because of an influx of people moving there from elsewhere.
CO is an environmental state.
Don’t be surprised to see some states in the NorthEast where the majority is strongly white go the other way.
Either Oregon or Washington could in theory go for Republicans if people are fed up enough about the riots, looting, arsons and attacks against police that have been going on for months in both with Seattle even having an autonomous zone for a long time and attacks against the Federal Courthouse in Portland going on for nearly 100 days by now.
Democrats have cheered this all and Democrat governors and mayors allow things to continue and some Democrat Senators/Congressmen have even claimed that “Antifa is myth” despite twitter being full of extreme leftists openly declaring themselves to be Antifa and encouraging more rioting and documenting their own rioting against police and many protestors waving the Antifa flag in the protests with the Antifa flag being so prominent that even CNN has shown it being waved around and carried repeatedly by protestors.
I think Portland Police has now had it’s police units now sworn in as federal police deputies so the Antifa and anarchists and BLM members attacking the police can be charged FEDERALLY now since the local Democrat officials DROP CHARGES all the time and release the people to riot the next night too despite police arresting them repeatedly.
Minnesota will with 90% likelihood go to Republicans since they are tired of the looting, riots, arsons that happened and the hugely increased crime like robberies, carjackings, rapes, open drug use etc. that followed Minnesota Council’s decision to abolish the Minnesota police and reimagine policing and now the same Democrats who voted to abolish the police department are complaining about the increased crime and even the one Democrat who said on TV that people should just accept their garage being broken into is complaining about increased crime.
The refusal of any Democrat to denounce BLM/Atifa violence by name is very disturbing. Continual releasing rioters without charges is equally disturbing. Until this stops, I’ve got to assume that BLM/Antifa is the terror wing of the DNC. Has anyone heard a Democrat say that BLM/Antifa violence has to stop. Biden’s beauty queen (All I want is world peace) campaign ad denouncing violence and then calling Trump divisive does not count.
Yeah, WildBull, I hear Dems denounce it ALL the time because I’m a Dem, I denounce it, and many, many, many Dems in office denounce the violence. Of course you won’t hear that on Fox or AON so I wouldn’t expect you to be any wiser. BTW – BLM and Antifa are not the same thing. Get your facts straight.
I haven’t voted much in the past, but trumps’shenanigans, and the party support of them, have made me permanently anti gop. For as long as the gop exists, I will vote for the candidate most likely to evict a republican.