Correction: The BLS reports Thursday. Here’s a breakdown of ADP’s report.
Please consider the ADP Employment Report for June 2026.
Job creation was uneven in June. Financial activities and information were among the gainers, while leisure and hospitality delivered a sixth month of weak hiring.
“The pace of hiring is telling a story of both supply and demand. We know it’s taking people longer to find work, but there also are signs of labor supply constraints in certain industries. For now, the overall effect is a slowdown in job creation,” said Dr. Nela Richardson ,Chief Economist, ADP
ADP vs BLS in 2026
- Jan: ADP 11,000 BLS: 180,000
- Feb: ADP 66,000 BLS: -148,000
- Mar: ADP 61,000 BLS: 202,000
- Apr: ADP: 105,000 BLS: 120,000
- May: ADP: 122,000 BLS:120,000
- Jun: ADP 98,000
- Jan-May: ADP: 465,000 BLS: 531,000
No Reason to Believe Either Set
- The BLS suffers from a small sample size and terrible response rates.
- ADP has a large sample size but is suspect on proper weighting.
ADP Change in Employment by Employer Size
Monthly Change by Employer Size
- Small 53,000
- 1-19 Employees 38,000
- 20-49 Employees 15,000
- Mid-sized 29,000
- 50-249 employees 19,000
- 250-499 employees 10,000
- Large 25,000
- 500+ employees 25,000
The stats show small employers have been on a relative tear in employment, all year long.
Goods Employment Change
- Natural resources and mining 5,000
- Construction 2,000
- Manufacturing 5,000
Services Employment Change
- Trade, transportation, and utilities 15,000
- Information 7,000
- Financial activities 14,000
- Professional and business services 2,000
- Education and health services 48,000
- Leisure and hospitality 2,000
- Other services 8,000
Education and Health Services added nearly half of the jobs this month.
On Thursday, we see what the BLS has to say.
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The plunge happened between June 24 and June 26, but the Atlanta Fed just posted results today.
July 1, 2026: Manufacturing ISM Up 6 Straight Months, Employment Down 33 Straight Months
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Addendum
The Market is closed Friday.
The BLS reports thursday
