Biden Having An Increasingly Difficult Time With G-20 Fissures

Map of G-20 countries from Atlas Big, annotations by Mish.

G-20 Pressure Failing 

The G-20 members are Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Republic of Korea, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Turkey, the United Kingdom, the United States, and the European Union. Spain is also invited as a permanent guest.

The Biden administration wants to increase pressure on Russia, but finds increasing resistance to do more.

Brazil, Russia, India, and China widely known as BRICs have not bowed to US pressure. Nor have Mexico, Saudi Arabia, or South Africa. 

The 2022 G-20 meets in November but those nations are also at an IMF summit right now. 

Treasury secretary Janet Yellen plans to avoid Russian officials at meetings this week, while engaging with countries that haven’t joined in sanctions. 

Janet Yellen Faces Challenge to Keep Pressure on Russia, While Addressing Global Consequences

The Wall Street Journal reports Janet Yellen Faces Challenge to Keep Pressure on Russia, While Addressing Global Consequences

Hanging over gatherings of finance ministers from around the world at the International Monetary Fund and World Bank meetings in Washington this week will be Russia’s war in Ukraine, as well as the sanctions campaign the U.S. and its allies have waged in response. As those sanctions efforts have brought the U.S. and its allies closer together, they are also laying bare deep differences in the broader Group of 20 major economies, which includes Russia, China and India, as well as European allies.

Ms. Yellen is expected to boycott some G-20 meetings this week that include Russian officials, and she last week warned countries against deepening their economic ties with Russia after the sanctions, singling out China.

In addition, Ms Yellen’s attempts to build support for an international tax agreement that was the focus of international economic diplomacy last year may not gain traction. Agreement on the deal still faces hurdles both in Congress and among European countries.

US Boycott

Yellen will IMF boycott meetings this week that include Russia. But what does that say about the G-20 summit in November. Will the US even go? 

On March 22, Biden proposed booting Russia from the G-20. Reuters comments on the difficulty.

“It’s impossible to remove Russia from G20” unless Moscow makes such a decision on its own, said an official of a G20 member country in Asia. “There’s simply no procedure to deprive Russia of G20 membership.”

With Spain there are 21 G-20 nations so a US boycott would get the group size correct. 

G-Whatever Meetings Are Useless

These G-7, G-20, G-Whatever meetings have always been useless.

G-Whatever meetings typically fail over agriculture, but with little fanfare. 

Failure is again a given, but usually there is no spotlight on that failure. Now there is. 

Seven G-20 nations, Brazil, Russia India, China, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, and South Africa, refuse to salute US demands.

Sanction Limits 

We are at the limits of sanctions and they have failed. There is little else to do.

The sanctions did nothing to deter Russia, they have only increased costs and added to inflation across the board. 

WTIC Oil Price

Meanwhile, oil prices remain well above the price at which Russia invaded Ukraine.

I asked, Oil Prices Jump Again, Hello Mr. President, What Will You Do For an Encore?

Biden’s Preposterous Claim 70 Percent of Inflation Jump is ‘Putin’s Price Hike’

CPI data from BLS, PCE data from BEA, chart by Mish

Also see Biden’s Preposterous Claim 70 Percent of Inflation Jump is ‘Putin’s Price Hike’

Inflation woes started with supply chain disruptions and free money stimulus, not Putin.

However, the invasion of Ukraine added to the woes, and so does sanction policy. The unfortunate irony is sanction policy has outright backfired, driving up costs and doing nothing to contain Russia.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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Jojo
Jojo
3 years ago
Opinion: Why the world fails on the ‘Never again’ pledge
Aaron David Miller
Updated 12:59 PM ET, Tue April 19, 2022
In a wide-ranging interview over the weekend, CNN’s Jake Tapper asked Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky whether he believed in the world’s “Never again” commitment to prevent genocide. Zelensky’s response: “I don’t believe the world after we have seen what’s going on in Ukraine. … Really, everybody is talking about this, and yet, as you can see, not everyone has got the guts. “
The straight-talking Zelensky, who has named and shamed governments around the world for their lack of support of Ukraine, could be forgiven for his blunt answer.
The international community has failed to intercede to stop mass killings, let alone genocide — from the Turkish genocide against Armenians to the Nazi Holocaust to Cambodia to Rwanda to Darfur and to Syria, among others. And when interventions have occurred, such as in Bosnia, they have been late and insufficient. It’s long past time we level with ourselves about how little we have done and are prepared to do. Sadly, “Never again” has become “Ever, ever again.”
“Never again” is neither a formal government policy nor an internationally binding obligation. The origins of the phrase are somewhat obscure — unlike the term genocide, coined in 1944 by Raphael Lemkin, a Jewish lawyer from Poland, trying to describe Nazi extermination efforts and eventually helping to create the United Nations-approved Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide four years later.
Some trace “Never again” to Hebrew poet Isaac Lambdan’s “Masada.” The militant Rabbi Meir Kahane popularized the phrase in the context of Jews fighting back against anti-Semitism and justifying violence to do so. Today it’s deployed either in the context of guarding against the complacency of allowing another Holocaust against Jews or in a more universal manner to stop genocide and mass killings wherever they may occur.
Whatever the precise intent of the phrase, the meaning of “Never again” is not simply to remember the Nazi Holocaust and make the world aware of the potential for other genocides. It implies action.
….
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
3 years ago
Trump broke what was left of any trust in America by other countries. Biden or anyone else won’t be able to fix it. If Trump runs again he will be president and this time he will finish the job from Jan 6th. There is a higher likelihood American government becomes like Russia or China by 2028. The closer we get to 2024 with Putin still in power, the more likely Putin gets his every wish.
dmartin
dmartin
3 years ago
Trump never did this human rights sanction stuff that only pissed off more allies like Saudi Arabia and India when he directed it at them. Piss off China so much over highly dubious claims of genocide that our own state dept attorney disagree with that fostered and lead China to cozy up with Russia prior to invasion etc. We should just call Biden “we are holier than thou” sanction Joe.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Nobody believes this absurd propaganda.
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
3 years ago
The next move may be for the IMF to coerce some of those countries to participating in sanctions, but that could backfire tremendously by driving resource-rich nations into the Chinese/Russian alliance.
Jojo
Jojo
3 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
I keep writing – MANHATTAN PROJECT FOR FUSION POWER!
Once we have fusion, countries whose economies are driven by their oil reserves become non-entities. That includes Russia and the Middle East. Up yours MBS.
Rbm
Rbm
3 years ago

I dont get the whole drill for energy independence argument. Sure we can produce our own oil but as long as we allow exports were gonna be paying global prices same as we are now. Least we would be keeping the money at home and jobs etc. doesnt make a difference at the pump.

Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
3 years ago
Reply to  Rbm
The biggest thing that would make a difference is restoring the derivatives regulation of the 1990s. Right now prices are not based purely on supply and demand. Derivatives, hedging and other instruments that have no intention of taking delivery of the end commodity are keeping prices higher in the era of cheap money for banksters. Neither party is interested in taking this issue up because it means all kinds of investments currently backed by the Fed will blow up. Commodities would be 50% cheaper and stay there if not for derivatives traders.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
3 years ago
So I should not be allowed to buy FX to hedge my overseas letter of credit? Yes, FX is the most liquid commodity.
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
3 years ago
Why would nations have to impose sanctions on Russia at US’ request(order) because of a bellicose conflict undeniably created and ruthlesslly prolongated by the very US ?!
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels
Oh comrade, you still think you Russian people, but no matter how many toilet emails you send, brave Russian peoples know you are merely traitor toilet gnat cowering in decadent west!
Jojo
Jojo
3 years ago
It’s lucky that none of the political power brokers pay any attention to rants like this article.
What is the world supposed to do? Turn a blind eye to anything Russia or China wants to take due to fear of their nukes or economic consequences? Sheese.
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
3 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
Should the world rather turn a blind eye to all the malicious scheming by the lying, cheating, terrorists supporting US of A ?!
whirlaway
whirlaway
3 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
So, what was the world supposed to do when the US laid to waste so many countries in just the last 20 years – Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Yemen… ?

They were supposed to say “No”. Well, they are late but they are doing it now. Better late than never!

StukiMoi
StukiMoi
3 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
“What is the world supposed to do? Turn a blind eye to anything Russia or China wants to take due to fear of their nukes or economic consequences?”
Yes. Just as they should wrt what the US wants to take.
The world should do exactly what the US espoused. Back when it still aspired to be a civilized country: Trade freely with all, entangling alliances with none.
As well as ensuring their defensive forces comprised almost entirely of nothing but, normally civilian, militiamen. All armed to whatever standard is at any time required to repel anything, with whatever happens to be the latest and coolest kit.
While also allowing anyone selling kit to all these militiamen, to sell ditto to anyone else, in Ukraine or elsewhere, who thinks the Montana Freemen, or perhaps Mujahideen, lifestyle; looks kinda neat. That would, very effectively, keep Russian standing armies out of anywhere. Probably even Russia.
Jojo
Jojo
3 years ago
Reply to  StukiMoi
And luckily, no one pays attention to your nonsense writings either.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
No. But, Ukraine is a corrupt country that was part of Russia for a long time and has many citizens who are from Russian decent. You have to pick your battles and this isn’t a battle we should care too much about. We have very little to gain in this conflict regardless of how it ends.
Jojo
Jojo
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
That’s an uninformed, short-sighted POV.
The likely reality is that IF Putin succeeds in taking Ukraine, then he may feel emboldened to also invade other countries such as Moldova, Latvia, Estonia, Romania, Poland, etc. The Ukrainians are willing to fight as proxies for the West to defeat Russia and prevent hopefully avoid future conflicts that the USA+NATO WOULD BE REQUIRED TO FIGHT. Ukraine’s outcome is vitally important to the West.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
3 years ago
Who said G7 meetings were useless?
During the last one, the finishing touches were put on AUKUS, and stabbing Macron in the back.
Russia was invited into G7 to keep Boris Yeltsin stupid and comfortable with NATO expansion east. And it worked! Leaving it was a smart move.
Other Gx meetings are about as useful as climate summits. Sure, countries are going to jump through hoops for climate change when they are being contained, boxed in, or threatened.
/sarc
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Cowardice and greed are the governing human emotions…. People can only suppress them to a limit, and here we are.
Nuddernoitall
Nuddernoitall
3 years ago
American policies continue to be myopic. For reasons unbeknownst to me, not seeing unintended consequences in the distance is becoming a continual American policy trait. And, that is a problem and a major weakness.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  Nuddernoitall
We are a quasi-democracy with a voter population containing 60% Ignorami.
It’s going pretty well, considering.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
The democrats are a little less than 60%.
whirlaway
whirlaway
3 years ago
Reply to  Nuddernoitall
It is not a bug. It is a feature. The “inability” to see unintended consequences is what makes the weapons manufacturers (and their politician puppets) rich.
Nuddernoitall
Nuddernoitall
3 years ago
Reply to  whirlaway
Won’t disagree regarding weapon manufacturers and their political sponsors. But in non-weaponry issues, we’re just as bad. To which you might say… poor planning in all areas create dollars for those on the inside. And, I would not disagree. We’ll call it a built-in parasitic feature of, if not the ideal American way, certainly the DC central government way.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  Nuddernoitall
Go work for the federal government. You’ll discover that it’s full of employees who could never succeed outside the government.
Billy
Billy
3 years ago
Biden just announced that he’s starting back the Keystone XL Pipeline so it can be done under the strict US environmental protection regulations, become energy independent, and to make gas cheap for American citizens.
Just kidding, that was Trump.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  Billy
If it involves burning gas, only thing it’s protecting is flabby suburban behinds.
Mish
Mish
3 years ago
Yep, I missed Mexico. That’s a big one.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  Mish

Maybe Mexico needs liberating…

Mish
Mish
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
Isn’t that what the Left is trying to do?
Dutoit
Dutoit
3 years ago
I think that also Mexico refuses to salute US demands.
Mish
Mish
3 years ago
Reply to  Dutoit
Let me check that – I thought so too but was not in the WSJ article.
Thanks

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